East Carolina at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -17.5 (54.0) (-900)  Open: -13.5
Army 45 - East Carolina: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
ECU coming off BYE
ARMY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Army -10.5   (SP+ ARMY -10)

Projected Score: ECU: 22 - ARMY: 33 (55)
ARMY Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ECU Travel: 440 miles
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense13322943.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
ARMY Defense1415.514.343.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.334.739.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
ARMY Offense1431.13650.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Army: 9.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 33
East Carolina 22


Total Points: 55

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Army45East Carolina28ArmyArmy -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28East Carolina
200310/18Army32East Carolina38East Carolina
200210/05East Carolina59Army24East Carolina
200110/13Army26East Carolina49East Carolina
200010/13East Carolina42Army21East Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army101 Overs
East Carolina510 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has lost 1 straight
East Carolina has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARMYECU
OverallOver#6#42
OffenseOff#1#41
DefenseDef#60#33
Special TeamsST#48#105
PassingPass#52#47
RushingRush#9#43
Run BlockRBLK#1#34
Pass BlockPBLK#61#57
Route RunningWR Rt#2#32
TacklingTkl#55#66
Run DefenseR Def#68#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#66
Coverage DefCov#55#60

Rematch from Week 8
Army -17.5 (54.0)
Army won vs East Carolina this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
Army beat East Carolina last year (45-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | ARMY
Depth Chart: ECU | ARMY
Rosters: ECU | ARMY
(#42) Army Info
Power Rating: 9.865 #42
Offense Rating: 26.97 #9
Defense Rating: 8.96 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #37
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Army has won 6 straight
Army has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Army Notes
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success

Army Highlights
Army is Undefeated at Home

Army has Really Good Running Game (#58)
Army offense is efficent (#99)
Army has a top Offensive Line (#107)
Army offense is good in red zone (#83)
Army offense is good on 3rd downs
Army does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#40)

Army defense is really good in red zone (#111)
Army has a great TO Margin (#54)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)
Army defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Army Deficiencies
Army offense is not Explosive (#90)
Army has a bad defensive line (#46)


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris2061166115.786
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Rogers1056122
Zakye Barker8112211
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Morris316420
Samuel Dankah347312
J.D. Lampley255260
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004

Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123