East Carolina at Army - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Army Black Knights  Army logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -17.5 (54.0) (-900)  Open: -13.5
Army 45 - East Carolina: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (24 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
ECU coming off BYE
ARMY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Army -10.5  (SP+ ARMY -10)

Projected Score: ECU: 21 - ARMY: 31 (52)
ARMY Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ECU Travel: 440 miles
Black Knights (12 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (70 - 55)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 2 (#6)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Army's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Army vs Lehigh-28
Sat 9/7 Army at Florida Atlantic+1.542.5W 24 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Army vs Rice-7.044.0W 37 - 14OY
Thu 9/26 Army at Temple-11.046.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/5 Army at Tulsa-13.550.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 10/12 Army vs UAB-27.055.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 10/19 Army vs East Carolina-17.554.0W 45 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Army vs Air Force-18.038.5W 20 - 3UN
Sat 11/9 Army at North Texas-6.568.0W 14 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Army vs Notre Dame+14.544.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Army vs UTSA-6.553.5W 29 - 24UN
Fri 12/6 Army vs Tulane+4.546.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 12/14 Army vs Navy-6.039.5
Sat 12/28 Army vs Louisiana Tech-15.044.5W 27 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)32.735% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)20.130% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)23.841% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)21.647% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1232.730.833.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
ARMY Defense1221.624.245.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1220.120.834.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
ARMY Offense1223.825.639.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23  #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65  #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33  #56
2024 Talent Rating: 292.00  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Army: 9.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Army: 9.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 9.865  #42
Army's Offense Rating: 26.97  #9
Army's Defense Rating: 8.96  #64
2024 Talent Rating: 71.00  #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Army's 2024 Expected Record: 12.0 - 2.0
Army's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2  #37
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 31
East Carolina 21


Projected Total Points: 52
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2024 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/25East Carolina28Army6East Carolina -3.5East Carolina52.5Under
202410/19Army45East Carolina28Army -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28
200310/18Army32East Carolina38
200210/05East Carolina59Army24
200110/13Army26East Carolina49
200010/13East Carolina42Army21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army101 Overs
East Carolina621 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#65) ECU at (#42) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #42
SP+SP+ #73 #37
Perf GradeGrade #58 #6
OffenseOff #47 #1
DefenseDef #44 #79
Spec TeamsST #128 #57
TalentTal #77 #133
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
East Carolina Notes
(11/29) Snapped vs Navy, Def abysmal, Rgame awful
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
(9/23) Blew 17-0 (Lib), Garcia meh, Rgame meh
East Carolina Injury Report
Army Notes
(12/14) Killed by Navy, offense was awful (2.9 ypc, 3 TO's)
(12/6) Beat UTSA, routed Tulane in AAC title game
(12/6) 57 car, 335 yds, 5.9 ypc, 5 TD in AAC Title game
(11/25) Killed by ND, avg 16 ppg in last 3. AACC vs Tulane
(11/16) Clinched AAC title game appearance
(11/3) QB Daily DNP vs Air Force
(11/3) Rgame OK vs AFA w/o Daily, not near with him
(11/1) 3-0 w/ avg 31 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/22) Def stop rate 79% (#5) but bad opp Off so far
(10/20) Rgame 295 yds, 5.3 ypc. QB 7-10, 147 vs ECU
(10/18) Great start, played no one, Def still #88 success
(9/26) Ran for 417 (7.3 ypc) vs Temple. Absolute machine
Army Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #79
SuccessSuc #132 #116
ExplosiveExp #89 #35
PPAPPA #132 #95
PowerPwr #59 #64
SP+SP+ #58 #33
Pts POPPO #129 #3
HavocHav #116 #127
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #60 #85
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #107
Run ExplRExp #87 #96
PPAExp #123 #123
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLY #111 #122
Stuff RateStuff #74 #110
TackleTak -  #62
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #59 #68
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #119
Pass ExplPExl #92 #16
PPAExp #129 #71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #65 #104
F7 HavocF7 #108 #112
DB HavocDB #116 #131
Army on Offense
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #44
SuccessSuc #99 #6
ExplosiveExp #125 #130
PPAPPA #99 #40
PowerPwr #9 #56
SP+SP+ #42 #87
Pts POPPO #122 #8
HavocHav #11 #11
Army Run Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffECU Def
Run GameRun #9 #20
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #2
Run ExplRExp #118 #124
PPAExp #88 #13
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #7
Stuff RateStuff #8 #12
TackleTak -  #76
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCatARMY OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #67 #74
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #37
Pass ExplPExl #2 #126
PPAExp #51 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #69 #75
F7 HavocF7 #42 #8
DB HavocDB #5 #53
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Army -17.5 (54.0)
Army won vs East Carolina this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Army last year (28-6)
Army beat East Carolina in 2024 (45-28)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris2061166115.786
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Rogers1056122
Zakye Barker8112211
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Morris316420
Samuel Dankah347312
J.D. Lampley255260
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004

ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily5410352%1007949.8
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily3111653325.342
Kanye Udoh1791117106.272
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Casey Reynolds19449323.650
Noah Short17318318.758
Cam Schurr783111.918
Hayden Reed663110.523

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elo Modozie308671
Brett Gerena403310
Kyle Lewis254310
Kalib Fortner7610343
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Max DiDomenico562003
Chance Keith452123