Norfolk State at East Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview

Norfolk State Spartans at East Carolina Pirates

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -31.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
East Carolina 42 - Norfolk State: 3

Spartans (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 42 (3 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 93° (49% Hum)
Our Line: East Carolina -2 (SP+ ECU -1)
ECU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%

Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (24 - 34)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NSU Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Norfolk State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Norfolk State at East Carolina	+31.5	51.5	L 3 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Norfolk State's Schedule

East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	East Carolina vs Norfolk State	-31.5	51.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	East Carolina at Old Dominion	+1.5	53.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/14	East Carolina vs App State	-0.5	56.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/21	East Carolina at Liberty	+7.5	55.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/28	East Carolina vs UTSA	-2.0	53.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	East Carolina at Charlotte	-9.5	47.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	East Carolina at Army	+17.5	54.0	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/26	East Carolina vs Temple	-8.5	48.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7	East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Thu 11/14	East Carolina at Tulsa	-16.0	63.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	East Carolina at North Texas	+2.5	73.5	W 40 - 28	U	Y
Fri 11/29	East Carolina vs Navy	-2.5	54.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 12/28	East Carolina vs NC State	+7.5	61.5	W 26 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NSU		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)	32	44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)	27.3	37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NSU Offense	1	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ECU Defense	13	27.3	21	39.5%	3.85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	37%	43%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NSU Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ECU Offense	13	32	36	43.3%	3.79	2.2	20	400	147	253	4.4	52%	48%	44%	43%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Norfolk State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
East Carolina	13	23:08	20.1	42%	53%	7.3	61	2.2	1.6	6.5	1.3	4	30.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ECU Defense	13	54% (109)	37% (11)	-	-	-	-	.03 (22)	2.57 (14)	57% (3)	11% (48)	1.02 (84)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ECU Offense	13	52% (63)	44% (71)	33.2	147.3	4.4	20 (67)	.17 (47)	3.07 (57)	79% (27)	8% (42)	1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ECU Defense	13	46% (28)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.32 (105)	1.7 (98)	33% (51)	35% (117)	.46 (122)	5% (104)	2.1 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ECU Offense	13	48% (72)	43% (54)	18.5	30.7	252.7	8.2	13.7	26 (26)	21 (134)	.28 (54)	1.7 (24)	30% (37)	34% (33)	.51 (8)	7% (92)	2.3 (7)

Norfolk State's Power Ratings
Norfolk State's Power Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Offense Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Norfolk State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Norfolk State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Norfolk State: East Carolina: 1.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Norfolk State: East Carolina: -1.0

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.885 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Norfolk State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Norfolk State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 26
Norfolk State 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 33
Norfolk State 13

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 38
Norfolk State 14

Total Points: 52

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	East Carolina	42	Norfolk State	3	East Carolina -31.5	East Carolina	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	1	1	0 Overs
Norfolk State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) NSU at (#65) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NSU	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#65
SP+SP+	NR	#73
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#58
OffenseOff	NR	#47
DefenseDef	NR	#44
Spec TeamsST	NR	#128
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#102

Norfolk State Injury Report

East Carolina Notes(11/29) Snapped vs Navy, Def abysmal, Rgame awful
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
(9/23) Blew 17-0 (Lib), Garcia meh, Rgame meh
East Carolina Injury Report

Norfolk State on Offense


CategoryCat	NSU Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#44
SuccessSuc	NR	#40
ExplosiveExp	NR	#100
PPAPPA	NR	#64
PowerPwr	NR	#56
SP+SP+	NR	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	#76
HavocHav	NR	#69

Norfolk State Run Game


CategoryCat	NSU Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#11
Run ExplRExp	NR	#84
PPAExp	NR	#22
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#14
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#11
TackleTak	-	#76

Norfolk State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NSU Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#86
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#98
PPAExp	NR	#105
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#75
F7 HavocF7	NR	#48
DB HavocDB	NR	#104

East Carolina on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	NSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	NR
SuccessSuc	#62	NR
ExplosiveExp	#18	NR
PPAPPA	#49	NR
PowerPwr	#59	NR
SP+SP+	#58	NR
Pts POPPO	#83	NR
HavocHav	#50	NR

East Carolina Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	NSU Def
Run GameRun	#60	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#71	NR
Run ExplRExp	#48	NR
PPAExp	#47	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#65	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

East Carolina Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ECU Off	NSU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#24	NR
PPAExp	#54	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#65	NR
F7 HavocF7	#42	NR
DB HavocDB	#92	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

NSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 93° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 1
East Carolina -31.5 (51.5)
East Carolina won vs Norfolk State this year (42-3)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Norfolk State last year (42-3)

NSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Norfolk State's Full Roster

NSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Daylan Long	6	2	1
Corey Chapman	5	0	0
Jamare Robinson	5	1	0
Terron Mallory	4	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daylan Long	6	2	1	0	0
Sage Beuchert-Irvine	2	1	0	1	0
Devon Allen	0	0	0	0	1
Jalen Swindell	0	0	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Devon Allen	0	1
Kaleb Broadbent	1	1
Martell Williams	4	1

ECU's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Katin Houser (Tr)	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahjai Harris	206	1166	11	5.7	86
London Montgomery (Tr)	71	359	2	5.1	48
Marlon Gunn	61	224	3	3.7	20
Katin Houser (Tr)	49	170	4	3.5	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)	41	799	6	19.5	64
Chase Sowell	34	678	3	19.9	56
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Yannick Smith	25	434	3	17.4	52

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Omar Rogers	105	6	1	2	2
Zakye Barker	81	12	2	1	1
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Morris	31	6	4	2	0
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2
J.D. Lampley	25	5	2	6	0
Ryheem Craig (Tr)	49	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Brown-Murray	40	1	0	0	6
Michael Edwards III	75	9	1	2	4
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4