Western Carolina at NC State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Western Carolina Catamounts at NC State Wolfpack

Thursday, August 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
NC State -32.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 38 - Western Carolina: 21

Catamounts (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 38 (21 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: NC State -4 (SP+ NCST -4)
NCST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%

Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WCU Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Western Carolina at NC State	+32.5	60.5	L 21 - 38	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Carolina's Schedule

NC State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	NC State vs Western Carolina	-32.5	60.5	W 38 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	NC State vs Tennessee	+10.0	60.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/14	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	44.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/28	NC State vs Northern Illinois	-7.0	46.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	-4.0	52.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	NC State vs Syracuse	+1.0	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	NC State at California	+9.5	46.0	W 24 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	NC State vs Stanford	-10.0	46.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	NC State vs Duke	-3.5	51.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	NC State at Georgia Tech	+7.5	51.5	L 29 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	NC State at North Carolina	+2.5	54.5	W 35 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/28	NC State vs East Carolina	-7.5	61.5	L 21 - 26	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WCU		0%	21	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)	28.5	44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)	30.2	39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WCU Offense	1	21	21	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	40.9%	3.78	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	39%	43%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WCU Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	45.1%	3.97	1.7	19	345	130	215	4.4	47%	52%	44%	47%	19%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Carolina	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
NC State	13	29:10	18.6	37%	56%	4.8	45	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.8	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
NCST Defense	13	47% (33)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.2 (111)	3.07 (83)	76% (86)	12% (24)	1.28 (134)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
NCST Offense	13	47% (89)	44% (68)	29.6	130.3	4.4	21 (59)	.15 (56)	3.24 (36)	69% (92)	13% (127)	0.98 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NCST Defense	13	53% (106)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.19 (47)	1.5 (22)	33% (49)	30% (65)	.33 (83)	8% (16)	2.3 (120)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NCST Offense	13	52% (48)	47% (20)	18.2	28.1	214.8	7.7	11.8	18 (68)	12 (85)	.36 (24)	1.6 (45)	30% (35)	36% (24)	.57 (5)	6% (83)	2.2 (19)

Western Carolina's Power Ratings
Western Carolina's Power Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: -
Western Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina: NC State: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina: NC State: 3.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Carolina Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Western Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 31
Western Carolina 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 42
Western Carolina 12

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
NC State 34
Western Carolina 24

Total Points: 58

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/29	NC State	38	Western Carolina	21	NC State -32.5	Western Carolina	60.5	Under
2019	09/07	NC State	41	Western Carolina	0	NC State -41	Push	65.5	Under
2010	09/04	NC State	48	Western Carolina	7
2003	08/30	NC State	59	Western Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	4	0	0 Overs
Western Carolina	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) WCU at (#66) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WCU	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#66
SP+SP+	NR	#56
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#51
OffenseOff	NR	#58
DefenseDef	NR	#49
Spec TeamsST	NR	#94
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#33

Western Carolina Injury Report

NC State Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
(9/1) Close w/ W Car, gave up 9 TFLs, McCall good
NC State Injury Report

Western Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	WCU Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#49
SuccessSuc	NR	#59
ExplosiveExp	NR	#113
PPAPPA	NR	#86
PowerPwr	NR	#89
SP+SP+	NR	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	#67
HavocHav	NR	#16

Western Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	WCU Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#31
Run ExplRExp	NR	#134
PPAExp	NR	#111
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#83
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#105
TackleTak	-	#41

Western Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	WCU Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#87
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#22
PPAExp	NR	#47
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#57
F7 HavocF7	NR	#24
DB HavocDB	NR	#16

NC State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	WCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	NR
SuccessSuc	#36	NR
ExplosiveExp	#32	NR
PPAPPA	#26	NR
PowerPwr	#43	NR
SP+SP+	#47	NR
Pts POPPO	#61	NR
HavocHav	#122	NR

NC State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	WCU Def
Run GameRun	#110	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	NR
Run ExplRExp	#59	NR
PPAExp	#56	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#36	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#37	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	WCU Def
Pass GamePass	#40	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#45	NR
PPAExp	#24	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	NR
F7 HavocF7	#127	NR
DB HavocDB	#83	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82°

Rematch from Week 1
NC State -32.5 (60.5)
NC State won vs Western Carolina this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Western Carolina last year (38-21)

WCU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Gonzales	196	312	63%	2471	12	5	7.9
Taron Dickens	127	172	74%	1428	12	3	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Branson Adams	132	742	4	5.6	51
Patrick Boyd Jr.	40	201	1	5.0	40
Cole Gonzales	59	194	2	3.3	50
Marlin Cochran	47	146	0	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Andre Tamarez	33	576	6	17.5	61
AJ Colombo	59	571	5	9.7	28
Zion Booker	39	540	4	13.8	45
Malik Knight	22	377	1	17.1	48

View Western Carolina's Full Roster

WCU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Samaurie Dukes	6	1	1
CJ Williams	6	1	0
Hayward McQueen III	5	0	1
Tyquez Royal	5	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Morgan	3	1	1	1	0
Samaurie Dukes	6	1	0	0	1
Paxton Robertson	1	0	0	0	0
Walter Gibson	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Samaurie Dukes	6	1	1
Hayward McQueen III	5	0	1
Tyquez Royal	5	0	1

NCST's OC Robert Anae (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)	53	80	66%	518	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Jordan Waters (Tr)	95	470	4	4.9	94
Kendrick Raphael	78	425	3	5.4	40
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly (Tr)	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers (Tr)	35	478	1	13.7	75
Kevin Concepcion	53	459	6	8.7	42
Wesley Grimes (Tr)	24	319	1	13.3	30

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)	74	4	1	6	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bishop Fitzgerald	55	7	0	2	8
Devon Marshall (Tr)	33	1	0	0	7
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)	39	3	1	2	6