Western Carolina at NC State - 2024 Matchup Preview
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Western Carolina Catamounts at NC State Wolfpack

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Thursday, August 29th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
NC State -32.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 38 - Western Carolina: 21

 
Catamounts (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 42 (10 - 42 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: NC State -4  (SP+ NCST -4)
NCST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Western Carolina at NC State+32.560.5L 21 - 38UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Carolina's Schedule
NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WCU0%100%000%000%420%0%0000
NCST#89 (.15)40% (100)30.240% (96)3.11 (68)15739% (96)1944.11 (47)#16 (.1)39% (34)27.239% (34)40% (40)3.77 (66)46.31.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WCU Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NCST Defense1327.22138.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WCU Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NCST Offense1330.235.339.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Carolina10:000NAN%0%0000000100
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WCU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (27)11% (32)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WCU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (20)12% (106)0.93 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WCU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WCU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)

Western Carolina's Power Ratings
Western Carolina's Power Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: -
Western Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 85.99
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina:    NC State: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina:    NC State: 3.9




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2  #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82  #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12  #89
2024 Talent Rating: 393.00  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Western Carolina Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Western Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
Western Carolina 27

Projected Total Points: 57
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29NC State38Western Carolina21NC State -32.5Western Carolina60.5Under
201909/07NC State41Western Carolina0NC State -41Push65.5Under
201009/04NC State48Western Carolina7
200308/30NC State59Western Carolina20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State400 Overs
Western Carolina012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) WCU at (#66) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWCUNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #66
SP+SP+NR #56
Perf GradeGradeNR #51
OffenseOffNR #58
DefenseDefNR #49
Spec TeamsSTNR #94
TalentTalNR #36
Blue ChipsBC%NR #33
NC State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
(9/1) Close w/ W Car, gave up 9 TFLs, McCall good
NC State Injury Report
Western Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
WCU OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #49
SuccessSucNR #34
ExplosiveExpNR #72
PPAPPANR #16
PowerPwrNR #89
SP+SP+NR #68
Pts POPPONR #66
HavocHavNR #22
Western Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
WCU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNR #53
Run SuccessRSucNR #34
Run ExplRExpNR #103
PPAExpNR #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #31
Stuff RateStuffNR #23
TackleTak -  #41
Western Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
WCU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNR #54
Pass SuccessPSucNR #40
Pass ExplPExlNR #28
PPAExpNR #15
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #57
F7 HavocF7NR #32
DB HavocDBNR #25
NC State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffWCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #58NR
SuccessSuc #100NR
ExplosiveExp #97NR
PPAPPA #89NR
PowerPwr #43NR
SP+SP+ #47NR
Pts POPPO #47NR
HavocHav #97NR
NC State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffWCU Def
Run GameRun #110NR
Run SuccessRSuc #96NR
Run ExplRExp #100NR
PPAExp #83NR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLY #68NR
Stuff RateStuff #65NR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffWCU Def
Pass GamePass #40NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #96NR
Pass ExplPExl #67NR
PPAExp #95NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10NR
F7 HavocF7 #106NR
DB HavocDB #72NR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
NC State -32.5 (60.5)
NC State won vs Western Carolina this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Western Carolina in 2024 (38-21)

  
WCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Gonzales19631263%24711257.9
Taron Dickens12717274%14281238.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Branson Adams13274245.651
Patrick Boyd Jr.4020115.040
Cole Gonzales5919423.350
Marlin Cochran4714603.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
De'Andre Tamarez33576617.561
AJ Colombo5957159.728
Zion Booker39540413.845
Malik Knight22377117.148

View Western Carolina's Full Roster

WCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samaurie Dukes61001
CJ Williams61000
Hayward McQueen III50001
Tyquez Royal50001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Morgan31110
Samaurie Dukes61001
Paxton Robertson10000
Walter Gibson10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samaurie Dukes61001
Hayward McQueen III50001
Tyquez Royal50001

NCST's OC Robert Anae (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)538066%518326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Jordan Waters (Tr)9547044.994
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly (Tr)43661415.440
Noah Rogers (Tr)35478113.775
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Wesley Grimes (Tr)24319113.330

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)744164
Devon Betty619262
Aydan White590005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4114722
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Devon Betty619262
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Devon Marshall (Tr)331007
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)393126