App State Mountaineers at East Carolina Pirates
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -0.5 (56.5) (-105) Open: -2.5 | 57.5
App State 21 - East Carolina: 19
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: East Carolina -10.5 (SP+ ECU -7)
Projected Score: APP: 24 - ECU: 34 (58)
ECU Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
APP Travel: 246 miles
Our Line: East Carolina -10.5 (SP+ ECU -7)
Projected Score: APP: 24 - ECU: 34 (58)
ECU Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
APP Travel: 246 miles
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| App State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | App State vs East Tennessee State | -35.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | App State at Clemson | +13.5 | 53.5 | L 20 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | App State at East Carolina | +0.5 | 56.5 | W 21 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Thu 9/19 | App State vs South Alabama | -8.0 | 62.5 | L 14 - 48 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | App State at Marshall | +3.0 | 56.5 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | App State at Louisiana | +10.0 | 64.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | App State vs Georgia State | -7.5 | 59.0 | W 33 - 26 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | App State vs Old Dominion | +2.5 | 58.0 | W 28 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Thu 11/7 | App State at Coastal Carolina | -1.5 | 62.5 | L 24 - 38 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | App State vs James Madison | +7.5 | 57.5 | W 34 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | App State at Georgia Southern | +2.5 | 60.5 | L 20 - 29 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for App State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| East Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | East Carolina vs Norfolk State | -31.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | East Carolina at Old Dominion | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 20 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | East Carolina vs App State | -0.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | East Carolina at Liberty | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | East Carolina vs UTSA | -2.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | East Carolina at Charlotte | -9.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | East Carolina at Army | +17.5 | 54.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | East Carolina vs Temple | -8.5 | 48.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/7 | East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/14 | East Carolina at Tulsa | -16.0 | 63.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | East Carolina at North Texas | +2.5 | 73.5 | W 40 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | East Carolina vs Navy | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 20 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | East Carolina vs NC State | +7.5 | 61.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | #57 (.21) | 44% (60) | 26.6 | 45% (58) | 3.01 (75) | 157 | 43% (62) | 273 | 3.89 (71) | #123 (.3) | 49% (127) | 32.9 | 51% (130) | 47% (119) | 4.78 (132) | 57 | 2 | 1.2 |
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 32 | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 27.3 | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP | #57 (.21) | 44% (60) | 45% (58) | 3.01 (75) | 157 | 43% (62) | 273 | 3.89 (71) | #123 (.3) | 49% (127) | 51% (130) | 47% (119) | 4.78 (132) | 57 | 2 | 1.2 | ||
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Offense | 11 | 26.6 | 24.3 | 43.6% | 3.89 | 2 | 24 | 430 | 157 | 273 | 4.5 | 48% | 51% | 45% | 43% | 16% | .21 |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 21 | 39.5% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 37% | 43% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Defense | 11 | 32.9 | 39.7 | 49% | 4.78 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 51% | 47% | 12% | .3 |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 32 | 36 | 43.3% | 3.79 | 2.2 | 20 | 400 | 147 | 253 | 4.4 | 52% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 15% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State | 11 | 30:06 | 23.9 | 43% | 59% | 6 | 57 | 2 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 27.6 |
| East Carolina | 13 | 23:08 | 20.1 | 42% | 53% | 7.3 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Offense | 11 | 48% (81) | 45% (58) | 34.9 | 157.4 | 4.5 | 13 (105) | .1 (89) | 3.01 (75) | 80% (21) | 7% (15) | 0.89 (104) |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 54% (109) | 37% (11) | - | - | - | - | .03 (22) | 2.57 (14) | 57% (3) | 11% (48) | 1.02 (84) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Defense | 11 | 56% (124) | 51% (130) | - | - | - | - | .26 (128) | 3.41 (125) | 77% (94) | 9% (89) | 1.04 (94) |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 52% (63) | 44% (71) | 33.2 | 147.3 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .17 (47) | 3.07 (57) | 79% (27) | 8% (42) | 1.02 (48) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Offense | 11 | 51% (53) | 43% (62) | 19.8 | 35.6 | 272.9 | 7.7 | 13.8 | 23 (41) | 16 (124) | .32 (41) | 1.8 (13) | 35% (122) | 37% (15) | .46 (19) | 9% (130) | 2.2 (18) |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 46% (28) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (105) | 1.7 (98) | 33% (51) | 35% (117) | .46 (122) | 5% (104) | 2.1 (78) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APP Defense | 11 | 44% (10) | 47% (119) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .37 (119) | 1.5 (46) | 26% (133) | 35% (115) | .38 (100) | 2% (134) | 2 (62) |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 48% (72) | 43% (54) | 18.5 | 30.7 | 252.7 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 26 (26) | 21 (134) | .28 (54) | 1.7 (24) | 30% (37) | 34% (33) | .51 (8) | 7% (92) | 2.3 (7) |
App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96 East Carolina: 1.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1 East Carolina: -1.0
App State: -8.96 East Carolina: 1.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1 East Carolina: -1.0
East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.885 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.885 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7
App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7
App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 34
App State 24
Total Points: 58
East Carolina 34
App State 24
Total Points: 58
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/14 | East Carolina | 19 | App State | 21 | App State | East Carolina -0.5 | App State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/16 | App State | 43 | East Carolina | 28 | App State | Appalachian State -7.5 | App State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 09/02 | App State | 33 | East Carolina | 19 | App State | Appalachian State -9 | App State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2012 | 09/01 | East Carolina | 35 | App State | 13 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2009 | 09/05 | East Carolina | 29 | App State | 24 | East Carolina |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 2 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| App State | 3 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 2 |
(#97) App State Info
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
App State has lost 1 straight
App State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread )
App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State Highlights
App State offense is explosive (#127)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
App State has a bad defense (#69)
App State Does Not Stuff Runs (#49)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)
App State has a bad red zone defense (#96)
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
App State has lost 1 straight
App State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread )
App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State Highlights
App State offense is explosive (#127)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
App State has a bad defense (#69)
App State Does Not Stuff Runs (#49)
App State has a bad defensive line (#32)
App State has a bad red zone defense (#96)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ECU | APP |
| OverallOver | #42 | #59 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #57 |
| DefenseDef | #33 | #72 |
| Special TeamsST | #105 | #57 |
| PassingPass | #47 | #75 |
| RushingRush | #43 | #33 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #34 | #43 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #57 | #81 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #32 | #39 |
| TacklingTkl | #66 | #74 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #16 | #71 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #66 | #31 |
| Coverage DefCov | #60 | #88 |
Rematch from Week 3
East Carolina -0.5 (56.5)
App State won at East Carolina this year (21-19)
Previous Matchups
App State beat East Carolina last year (21-19)
App State beat East Carolina in 2023 (43-28)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: APP | ECU
Depth Chart: APP | ECU
Rosters: APP | ECU
(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 1.885 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 2 straight
East Carolina has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
Power Rating: 1.885 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 2 straight
East Carolina has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Aguilar | 218 | 390 | 56% | 3002 | 23 | 14 | 7.7 |
| Kaedin Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmani Marshall | 149 | 713 | 7 | 4.8 | 29 |
| Kanye Roberts | 82 | 332 | 1 | 4.0 | 18 |
| Anderson Castle | 50 | 246 | 1 | 4.9 | 21 |
| Joey Aguilar | 58 | 217 | 2 | 3.7 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaedin Robinson | 53 | 840 | 2 | 15.8 | 50 |
| Makai Jackson | 46 | 745 | 5 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Christan Horn | 19 | 367 | 1 | 19.3 | 83 |
| Dalton Stroman | 20 | 307 | 5 | 15.4 | 47 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Harrington | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Arnholt | 54 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| DJ Burks | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Chambers (Tr) | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Davis | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Santana Hopper | 30 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Fletcher | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Joshua Donald (Tr) | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Favors | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Ethan Johnson | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brendan Harrington | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 149 | 245 | 61% | 2006 | 18 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Jake Garcia (Tr) | 109 | 181 | 60% | 1426 | 8 | 12 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahjai Harris | 206 | 1166 | 11 | 5.7 | 86 |
| London Montgomery (Tr) | 71 | 359 | 2 | 5.1 | 48 |
| Marlon Gunn | 61 | 224 | 3 | 3.7 | 20 |
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 49 | 170 | 4 | 3.5 | 35 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith (Tr) | 41 | 799 | 6 | 19.5 | 64 |
| Chase Sowell | 34 | 678 | 3 | 19.9 | 56 |
| Winston Wright | 54 | 556 | 8 | 10.3 | 65 |
| Yannick Smith | 25 | 434 | 3 | 17.4 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Rogers | 105 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Zakye Barker | 81 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Morris | 31 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Samuel Dankah | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| J.D. Lampley | 25 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryheem Craig (Tr) | 49 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown-Murray | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |