Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -4 (52.5) (-185) Open: -6.0
Wake Forest 34 - NC State: 30 (ACC)
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: NC State -12 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: WAKE: 21 - NCST: 33 (55)
NCST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WAKE Travel: 89 miles
NCST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: NC State -12 (SP+ NCST -10)
Projected Score: WAKE: 21 - NCST: 33 (55)
NCST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WAKE Travel: 89 miles
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
| Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Wake Forest vs Virginia | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 30 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Wake Forest vs Ole Miss | +20.5 | 65.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Wake Forest vs Louisiana | -3.0 | 59.5 | L 38 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Wake Forest at NC State | +4.0 | 52.5 | W 34 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Wake Forest vs Clemson | +21.0 | 63.0 | L 14 - 49 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Wake Forest at UConn | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Wake Forest at Stanford | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 27 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | Wake Forest vs California | +7.5 | 54.5 | L 36 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Wake Forest at North Carolina | +10.5 | 64.5 | L 24 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Wake Forest at Miami | +23.5 | 67.0 | L 14 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Wake Forest vs Duke | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 7, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | NC State vs Western Carolina | -32.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | NC State vs Tennessee | +10.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | NC State vs Louisiana Tech | -20.5 | 47.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | NC State at Clemson | +17.0 | 44.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | NC State vs Northern Illinois | -7.0 | 46.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | NC State vs Wake Forest | -4.0 | 52.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | NC State vs Syracuse | +1.0 | 51.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | NC State at California | +9.5 | 46.0 | W 24 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | NC State vs Stanford | -10.0 | 46.5 | W 59 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | NC State vs Duke | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 19 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/21 | NC State at Georgia Tech | +7.5 | 51.5 | L 29 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | NC State at North Carolina | +2.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 61.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 25.7 | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 32.5 | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 28.5 | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 30.2 | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 25.7 | 24.4 | 41.9% | 3.2 | 1.8 | 22 | 372 | 131 | 240 | 3.6 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .13 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 30.2 | 24.7 | 40.9% | 3.78 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 20% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 32.5 | 29.4 | 50.7% | 4.12 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 48% | 53% | 12% | .27 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 28.5 | 31 | 45.1% | 3.97 | 1.7 | 19 | 345 | 130 | 215 | 4.4 | 47% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 19% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 12 | 28:51 | 21.8 | 39% | 64% | 5.1 | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 29 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:10 | 18.6 | 37% | 56% | 4.8 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 48% (86) | 43% (79) | 36.4 | 131.4 | 3.6 | 18 (78) | .05 (106) | 3 (79) | 81% (18) | 10% (70) | 0.92 (88) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 47% (33) | 39% (31) | - | - | - | - | .2 (111) | 3.07 (83) | 76% (86) | 12% (24) | 1.28 (134) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 44% (6) | 48% (110) | - | - | - | - | .18 (101) | 3.13 (88) | 80% (112) | 8% (110) | 0.96 (58) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 44% (68) | 29.6 | 130.3 | 4.4 | 21 (59) | .15 (56) | 3.24 (36) | 69% (92) | 13% (127) | 0.98 (59) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 52% (50) | 41% (75) | 20.7 | 33.6 | 240.1 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 17 (79) | 13 (103) | .23 (83) | 1.5 (115) | 31% (63) | 28% (102) | .15 (125) | 7% (93) | 1.9 (103) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 53% (106) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .19 (47) | 1.5 (22) | 33% (49) | 30% (65) | .33 (83) | 8% (16) | 2.3 (120) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 56% (129) | 53% (133) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .36 (116) | 1.3 (2) | 26% (130) | 40% (132) | .41 (106) | 4% (131) | 1.8 (18) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (48) | 47% (20) | 18.2 | 28.1 | 214.8 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 18 (68) | 12 (85) | .36 (24) | 1.6 (45) | 30% (35) | 36% (24) | .57 (5) | 6% (83) | 2.2 (19) |
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -10.36 NC State: 4.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7 NC State: 3.9
Wake Forest: -10.36 NC State: 4.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7 NC State: 3.9
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 33
Wake Forest 21
Total Points: 55
NC State 33
Wake Forest 21
Total Points: 55
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/11 | Wake Forest | 24 | NC State | 34 | NC State | NC State -7.5 | NC State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 10/05 | NC State | 30 | Wake Forest | 34 | Wake Forest | NC State -4 | Wake Forest | 52.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Wake Forest | 6 | NC State | 26 | NC State | Wake Forest -0.5 | NC State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/05 | NC State | 30 | Wake Forest | 21 | NC State | Wake Forest -3 | NC State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Wake Forest | 45 | NC State | 42 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -1 | Wake Forest | 65.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 09/19 | NC State | 45 | Wake Forest | 42 | NC State | Wake Forest -2 | NC State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Wake Forest | 44 | NC State | 10 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -7.5 | Wake Forest | 60.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/08 | NC State | 23 | Wake Forest | 27 | Wake Forest | NC State -17 | Wake Forest | 69.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Wake Forest | 30 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -3 | Wake Forest | 62.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | NC State | 33 | Wake Forest | 16 | NC State | NC State -9 | NC State | 48.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Wake Forest | 17 | NC State | 35 | NC State | NC State -8.5 | NC State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/15 | NC State | 42 | Wake Forest | 13 | NC State | NC State -12 | NC State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Wake Forest | 28 | NC State | 13 | Wake Forest | NC State -8 | Wake Forest | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | NC State | 37 | Wake Forest | 6 | NC State | ||||
| 2011 | 09/10 | Wake Forest | 34 | NC State | 27 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | NC State | 38 | Wake Forest | 3 | NC State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Wake Forest | 30 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | NC State | 21 | Wake Forest | 17 | NC State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Wake Forest | 38 | NC State | 18 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2006 | 10/14 | NC State | 23 | Wake Forest | 25 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2005 | 10/22 | Wake Forest | 27 | NC State | 19 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | NC State | 27 | Wake Forest | 21 | NC State | ||||
| 2003 | 09/06 | Wake Forest | 38 | NC State | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | NC State | 32 | Wake Forest | 13 | NC State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Wake Forest | 14 | NC State | 17 | NC State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/24 | NC State | 32 | Wake Forest | 14 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 14 | 7 | 6 Overs |
| Wake Forest | 12 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 19 - 7 | 8 - 5 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 19 | 5 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 5 |
(#102) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 3 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
Power Rating: -10.36 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 3 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | WAKE |
| OverallOver | #37 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #49 | #56 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #49 |
| Special TeamsST | #79 | #45 |
| PassingPass | #33 | #46 |
| RushingRush | #79 | #88 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #20 | #19 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #10 | #37 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #65 | #51 |
| TacklingTkl | #37 | #22 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #43 | #43 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #94 |
| Coverage DefCov | #43 | #44 |
Rematch from Week 6
NC State -4.0 (52.5)
Wake Forest won at NC State this year (34-30)
Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat NC State last year (34-30)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (26-6)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2022 (30-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | NCST
Depth Chart: WAKE | NCST
Rosters: WAKE | NCST
(#66) NC State Info
Power Rating: 4.2 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has won 1 straight
NC State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (1 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
Power Rating: 4.2 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has won 1 straight
NC State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (1 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 224 | 357 | 63% | 2593 | 16 | 10 | 7.3 |
| Michael Kern | 24 | 45 | 53% | 288 | 1 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demond Claiborne | 228 | 1048 | 11 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Tate Carney | 82 | 335 | 6 | 4.1 | 18 |
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 96 | 141 | 1 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Ty Clark III | 13 | 57 | 0 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Morin | 64 | 756 | 2 | 11.8 | 51 |
| Horatio Fields | 39 | 463 | 4 | 11.9 | 42 |
| Deuce Alexander | 36 | 400 | 2 | 11.1 | 38 |
| Donavon Greene | 23 | 380 | 3 | 16.5 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Andersen | 122 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dylan Hazen | 78 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasheen Davis | 31 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Pointer | 33 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Bryce Ganious | 26 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C'Darius Kelley | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jamare Glasker | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 196 | 302 | 65% | 2412 | 17 | 10 | 8.0 |
| Grayson McCall (Tr) | 53 | 80 | 66% | 518 | 3 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 89 | 571 | 6 | 6.4 | 53 |
| Jordan Waters (Tr) | 95 | 470 | 4 | 4.9 | 94 |
| Kendrick Raphael | 78 | 425 | 3 | 5.4 | 40 |
| CJ Bailey | 99 | 279 | 5 | 2.8 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Joly (Tr) | 43 | 661 | 4 | 15.4 | 40 |
| Noah Rogers (Tr) | 35 | 478 | 1 | 13.7 | 75 |
| Kevin Concepcion | 53 | 459 | 6 | 8.7 | 42 |
| Wesley Grimes (Tr) | 24 | 319 | 1 | 13.3 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Donovan Kaufman (Tr) | 74 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Aydan White | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davin Vann | 41 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Travali Price | 37 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Fitzgerald | 55 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Devon Marshall (Tr) | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tamarcus Cooley (Tr) | 39 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |