NC State at Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview
NC State logo   NC State Wolfpack vs Kentucky Wildcats  Kentucky logo
Saturday, January 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 23 - NC State: 21  (TaxSlayer Gator Bowl)

 
Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wildcats (5 - 6) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Wake Forest+2.054.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/26 NC State at Virginia Tech+6.557.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/3 NC State at Pittsburgh+14.045.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 10/10 NC State at Virginia+7.059.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 10/17 NC State vs Duke-3.559.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/24 NC State at North Carolina+15.062.0L 21 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Miami+10.057.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Florida State-12.061.0W 38 - 22UY
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Liberty-4.066.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 NC State at Syracuse-17.550.5W 36 - 29ON
Sat 12/5 NC State vs Georgia Tech-7.061.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Kentucky at Auburn+6.047.0L 13 - 29UN
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Ole Miss-7.063.0L 41 - 42ON
Sat 10/10 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-3.557.5W 24 - 2UY
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Tennessee+6.045.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Missouri-3.547.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Georgia+17.042.0L 3 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-17.541.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Alabama+31.557.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 11/28 Kentucky at Florida+23.560.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 12/5 Kentucky vs South Carolina-12.046.0W 41 - 18OY
Sat 1/2 Kentucky vs NC State-3.050.5W 23 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1243%30.247%2.8415138%2293.45.243%27.241%44%3.6652.31.80.7
UK.1742%2345%3.2727934%1143.76.1441%26.443%38%3.0150.81.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1230.22343.5%3.451.8223801512294.344%53%47%38%25%.12
UK Defense1326.422.641.3%3.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%38%22%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1227.239.843.4%3.660.7 - - - - - 46%52%41%44%21%.2
UK Offense132331.742.3%3.761.5193922791146.366%33%45%34%22%.17

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1229:2221.635%48%5.952.31.80.78.53.5126.3
Kentucky1332:0919.439%52%5.850.81.51.85.83.2029.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1244%47%34.8151.24.314.12.8470%14%0.86
UK Defense1354%43% - - - - .16371%13%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1246%41% - - - - .163.0379%13%1.09
UK Offense1366%45%44.1278.86.336.233.2763%13%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1253%38%20.338.6229.15.911.31410.151.533%34%.1611%1.3
UK Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 8.131.533%33%.459%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1252%44% - - - - - - 4.261.536%37%.378%1.7
UK Offense1333%34%9.819.8113.75.811.698.021.631%30%.279%2.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Kentucky: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.6   Kentucky: 4.4




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4  #51
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 30
NC State 25

Projected Total Points: 55
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202001/02Kentucky23NC State21Kentucky -3NC State50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky100 Overs
NC State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

NC State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Gator Bowl NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23
2018N/A NC State vs Texas A&M+7.558.5L 13 - 52
2017N/A NC State vs Arizona State-5.062.5W 52 - 31
2016Independence Bowl NC State vs Vanderbilt-4.047.0W 41 - 17
2015N/A NC State vs Mississippi State+7.0L 28 - 51
2014Petersburg Bowl NC State vs UCF+2.047.5W 34 - 27
Kentucky Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2020Gator Bowl Kentucky vs NC State-3.050.5W 23 - 21
2019N/A Kentucky vs Virginia Tech+2.047.0W 37 - 30
2018Citrus Bowl Kentucky vs Penn State+4.547.5W 27 - 24
2017N/A Kentucky vs Northwestern+7.550.5L 23 - 24
2016N/A Kentucky vs Georgia Tech+5.061.0L 18 - 33
  
(#) NCST at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #51
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -3.0 (50.5)
Kentucky won vs NC State this year (23-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
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UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD