NC State at Kentucky - 2020 Matchup Preview

Saturday, January 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 23 - NC State: 21 (TaxSlayer Gator Bowl)

Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ UK -1)
Projected Score: NCST: 22 - UK: 32 (54)
UK Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 414 miles

Wildcats (5 - 6) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
NCST Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	NC State vs Wake Forest	+2.0	54.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/26	NC State at Virginia Tech	+6.5	57.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/3	NC State at Pittsburgh	+14.0	45.5	W 30 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/10	NC State at Virginia	+7.0	59.0	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/17	NC State vs Duke	-3.5	59.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/24	NC State at North Carolina	+15.0	62.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6	NC State vs Miami	+10.0	57.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/14	NC State vs Florida State	-12.0	61.0	W 38 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/21	NC State vs Liberty	-4.0	66.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/28	NC State at Syracuse	-17.5	50.5	W 36 - 29	O	N
Sat 12/5	NC State vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	61.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 1/2	NC State vs Kentucky	+3.0	50.5	L 21 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Kentucky's 2020 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Kentucky at Auburn	+6.0	47.0	L 13 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/3	Kentucky vs Ole Miss	-7.0	63.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/10	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	-3.5	57.5	W 24 - 2	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Kentucky at Tennessee	+6.0	45.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Kentucky at Missouri	-3.5	47.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/31	Kentucky vs Georgia	+17.0	42.0	L 3 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-17.5	41.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/21	Kentucky at Alabama	+31.5	57.5	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/28	Kentucky at Florida	+23.5	60.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 12/5	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-12.0	46.0	W 41 - 18	O	Y
Sat 1/2	Kentucky vs NC State	-3.0	50.5	W 23 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.16	42%	30.3	43%	2.61	123	42%	262	3.87	.16	41%	29.2	40%	41%	3.82	74.3	1.6	1
UK	.12	43%	21.8	49%	3.07	196	35%	122	3.33	.13	45%	25.9	44%	46%	3.57	56	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	12	30.3	29.8	42.5%	3.87	1.6	22	385	123	262	3.4	50%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.16
UK Defense	11	25.9	22.2	45.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	46%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	12	29.2	34.4	40.7%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	40%	41%	18%	.16
UK Offense	11	21.8	29.4	43.4%	3.33	1.1	17	318	196	122	4.9	61%	38%	49%	35%	14%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	12	29:57	22.3	44%	67%	8.1	74.3	1.6	1	7.6	2.8	3	29.7
Kentucky	11	31:00	17.3	37%	47%	5.7	56	1.1	2	4.9	1.4	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	12	50%	43%	36.2	123.3	3.4	20	.03	2.61	71%	11%	0.84
UK Defense	11	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.86	59%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	12	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.71	59%	12%	0.99
UK Offense	11	61%	49%	39.8	196.4	4.9	19	.18	3.07	75%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2020)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	12	50%	42%	20.9	33.3	261.9	7.9	12.5	24	15	.3	1.8	31%	36%	.39	6%	2.1
UK Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.21	1.4	28%	36%	.39	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.6	34%	32%	.4	7%	2.1
UK Offense	11	38%	35%	13	21.9	121.8	5.6	9.4	7	5	.04	1.3	28%	22%	.15	5%	1.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: Kentucky: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.6 Kentucky: 4.4

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2020 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4 #51
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #41

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 32
NC State 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 35
NC State 17

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 29
NC State 27

Total Points: 56

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

Kentucky's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2020	01/02	Kentucky	23	NC State	21	Kentucky -3	NC State	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	1	0	0 Overs
NC State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

NC State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2020	Gator Bowl	NC State vs Kentucky	+3.0	50.5	L 21 - 23
2018	N/A	NC State vs Texas A&M	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 52
2017	N/A	NC State vs Arizona State	-5.0	62.5	W 52 - 31
2016	Independence Bowl	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17
2015	N/A	NC State vs Mississippi State	+7.0		L 28 - 51
2014	Petersburg Bowl	NC State vs UCF	+2.0	47.5	W 34 - 27

Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2020	Gator Bowl	Kentucky vs NC State	-3.0	50.5	W 23 - 21
2019	N/A	Kentucky vs Virginia Tech	+2.0	47.0	W 37 - 30
2018	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24
2017	N/A	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24
2016	N/A	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33

(#) NCST at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#51
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#31	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

NC State Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#52
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -3.0 (50.5)
Kentucky won vs NC State this year (23-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD