NC State at Clemson - 2024 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -17 (44.0) (-800)  Open: -7.5
Clemson 59 - NC State: 35  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CLEM coming off BYE
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -14.5   (SP+ CLEM -9)

Projected Score: NCST: 20 - CLEM: 34 (54)
CLEM Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
NCST Travel: 245 miles
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)34.750% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)23.443% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.845.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25
CLEM Defense1423.423.440.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.540.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
CLEM Offense1434.742.746.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (127)0.98 (59)
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (31) - - - - .2 (111)3.07 (83)76% (86)12% (24)1.28 (134)
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (20)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (83)2.2 (19)
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (49)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: -0.50 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: -0.50   Clemson: 16.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.9   Clemson: 13.3




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 34
NC State 20


Total Points: 54

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Clemson59NC State35ClemsonClemson -17Clemson44.0Over
202310/28NC State24Clemson17NC StateClemson -9.5NC State44.5Under
202210/01Clemson30NC State20ClemsonClemson -6.5Clemson46.0Over
202109/25NC State27Clemson21NC StateClemson -10.5NC State46.5Over
201911/09NC State10Clemson55ClemsonClemson -34Clemson54.5Over
201810/20Clemson41NC State7ClemsonClemson -17.5Clemson58.0Under
201711/04NC State31Clemson38ClemsonClemson -9.5NC State51.0Over
201610/15Clemson24NC State17ClemsonClemson -17NC State60.0Under
201510/31NC State41Clemson56ClemsonClemson -9.5Clemson50.5Over
201410/04Clemson41NC State0ClemsonClemson -14Clemson0
201309/19NC State14Clemson26ClemsonClemson -13NC State0
201211/17Clemson62NC State48Clemson
201111/19NC State37Clemson13NC State
201011/06Clemson14NC State13Clemson
200911/14NC State23Clemson43Clemson
200809/13Clemson27NC State9Clemson
200709/22NC State20Clemson42Clemson
200611/11Clemson20NC State14Clemson
200510/13NC State10Clemson31Clemson
200410/30Clemson26NC State20Clemson
200310/16NC State17Clemson15NC State
200210/24Clemson6NC State38NC State
200110/13NC State37Clemson45Clemson
200010/06Clemson34NC State27Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson1966 Overs
NC State553 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 98 - 34 - 14 - 2
Road Teams9 - 153 - 82 - 41 - 4

(#66) NC State Info
Power Rating: -0.50 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

NC State has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn

NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)

NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCLEMNCST
OverallOver#25#37
OffenseOff#33#49
DefenseDef#26#36
Special TeamsST#34#79
PassingPass#10#33
RushingRush#28#79
Run BlockRBLK#50#20
Pass BlockPBLK#54#10
Route RunningWR Rt#54#65
TacklingTkl#80#37
Run DefenseR Def#35#43
Pass Rush DefPRush#35#51
Coverage DefCov#34#43

Rematch from Week 4
Clemson -17.0 (44.0)
Clemson won vs NC State this year (59-35)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat NC State last year (59-35)
NC State beat Clemson in 2023 (24-17)
Clemson beat NC State in 2022 (30-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | CLEM
Depth Chart: NCST | CLEM
Rosters: NCST | CLEM
(#17) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Clemson has won 1 straight
Clemson has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Clemson Highlights
Clemson has Really Good Running Game (#118)
Clemson offense is efficent (#84)
Clemson has a top Offensive Line (#65)
Clemson offense is good in red zone (#101)
Clemson Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Clemson Secondary is very good (#76)
Clemson has a great TO Margin (#107)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#65)


  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)538066%518326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Jordan Waters (Tr)9547044.994
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly (Tr)43661415.440
Noah Rogers (Tr)35478113.775
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Wesley Grimes (Tr)24319113.330

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)744164
Devon Betty619262
Aydan White590005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4114722
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Devon Betty619262
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Devon Marshall (Tr)331007
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)393126

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Jake Briningstool49530710.841

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Barrett Carter7410476
R.J. Mickens686027
Sammy Brown6612522
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Barrett Carter7410476
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476