Stanford at NC State Game Matchup
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -10 (46.5) (-375)  Open: -10.5
NC State 59 - Stanford: 28  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
NCST coming off BYE
STAN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -10.5   (SP+ NCST -12)

Projected Score: STAN: 21 - NCST: 31 (58)
NCST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
STAN Travel: 2390 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)22.841% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)33.756% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
NCST#89 (.15)40% (100)28.540% (96)3.11 (68)15739% (96)1944.11 (47)#16 (.1)39% (34)30.239% (34)40% (40)3.77 (66)46.31.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.237.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1
NCST Defense1330.224.738.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.351.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
NCST Offense1328.53139.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (27)11% (32)1.07 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (20)12% (106)0.93 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38   NC State: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2   NC State: 3.9




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 760.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
Stanford 21


Projected Total Points: 58
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02NC State59Stanford28NC StateNC State -10NC State46.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State111 Overs
Stanford000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#79) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
Stanford     Ratings Matchup     NC State
Power #79
#66
Off #80
#43
Def #112
#89
Talent #30
#38
SP+ #101
#56
SP+ Off #90
#47
SP+ Def #112
#68

Rematch from Week 10
NC State -10.0 (46.5)
NC State won vs Stanford this year (59-28)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Stanford last year (59-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 70° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: STAN | NCST
Depth Chart: STAN | NCST
Rosters: STAN | NCST
(#66) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.2 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 760.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn


  
Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325
Sedrick Irvin5107021.451

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002

NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)538066%518326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Jordan Waters (Tr)9547044.994
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly (Tr)43661415.440
Noah Rogers (Tr)35478113.775
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Wesley Grimes (Tr)24319113.330

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)744164
Kamal Bonner567160
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)744164
Kelvon Mcbride141110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Devon Marshall (Tr)331007
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)393126