Maryland at NC State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins vs NC State Wolfpack

Friday, December 30th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
NC State -2.5 (45.0) (105) Open: -1.0 | 46.0
Maryland 16 - NC State: 12 (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (12 - 23)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2 (SP+ MD -4.5)
Projected Score: MD: 22 - NCST: 28 (50)
NCST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 338 miles

Wolfpack (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (64 - 49)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MD Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Maryland vs Buffalo	-24.0	66.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Maryland at Charlotte	-28.0	65.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Maryland vs SMU	-3.0	74.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Maryland at Michigan	+17.0	66.0	L 27 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	58.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Maryland vs Purdue	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Maryland at Indiana	-11.0	63.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/22	Maryland vs Northwestern	-14.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Maryland at Wisconsin	+5.0	47.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Maryland at Penn State	+10.5	56.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Maryland vs Ohio State	+26.5	62.5	L 30 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Maryland vs Rutgers	-14.5	48.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

NC State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	NC State at East Carolina	-12.5	52.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/10	NC State vs Charleston Southern	-45.5	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/17	NC State vs Texas Tech	-10.5	55.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	NC State vs UConn	-38.5	48.0	W 41 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/1	NC State at Clemson	+6.5	46.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/8	NC State vs Florida State	-3.5	50.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	NC State at Syracuse	+3.0	42.5	L 9 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27	NC State vs Virginia Tech	-13.0	39.0	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	+3.0	54.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	NC State vs Boston College	-18.0	41.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/19	NC State at Louisville	+4.0	43.0	L 10 - 25	U	N
Fri 11/25	NC State at North Carolina	+6.5	56.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Fri 12/30	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	.26	49%	23.5	47%	2.94	136	50%	305	3.8	.22	44%	26.5	46%	41%	3.81	56.8	1.4	0.8
NCST	.24	41%	30.2	42%	3.28	126	41%	288	4.2	.08	34%	27.2	35%	34%	3.6	64.5	0.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	23.5	17.5	48.7%	3.8	1.4	23	441	136	305	4	41%	59%	47%	50%	14%	.26
NCST Defense	12	27.2	21	33.8%	3.6	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	34%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	26.5	22.3	43.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	41%	14%	.22
NCST Offense	12	30.2	35.3	41.3%	4.2	0.9	21	415	126	288	4.1	40%	59%	42%	41%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	29:24	23.3	38%	50%	6.7	56.8	1.4	0.8	4.9	2.4	1	27.9
NC State	12	31:15	21.3	40%	42%	7.4	64.5	0.9	1.4	6.6	2.8	4	30.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	41%	47%	33.8	136.2	4	20	.13	2.94	69%	10%	0.9
NCST Defense	12	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.79	50%	11%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.01	75%	8%	0.9
NCST Offense	12	40%	42%	31	126.2	4.1	11	.11	3.28	81%	8%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	59%	50%	26.1	37.6	304.6	8.1	11.7	27	12	.36	1.4	28%	32%	.43	5%	2.2
NCST Defense	12	55%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.14	1.6	39%	26%	.21	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.7	30%	33%	.47	6%	2.1
NCST Offense	12	59%	41%	24	36.9	288.4	7.8	12	35	6	.35	1.7	33%	29%	.34	6%	2.3

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Maryland's 2022 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #32
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #39
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: NC State: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 11.2 NC State: 6.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2022 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #49
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #99
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #13

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 28
Maryland 22

Projected Total Points: 50

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/30	NC State	12	Maryland	16	NC State -2.5	Maryland	45.0	Under
2013	11/30	NC State	21	Maryland	41	Maryland -3	Maryland	0
2012	10/20	Maryland	18	NC State	20
2011	11/26	NC State	56	Maryland	41
2010	11/27	Maryland	38	NC State	31
2009	11/07	NC State	38	Maryland	31
2008	10/25	Maryland	27	NC State	24
2007	11/24	NC State	0	Maryland	37
2006	10/21	Maryland	26	NC State	20
2005	11/26	NC State	20	Maryland	14
2004	10/16	Maryland	3	NC State	13
2003	11/22	NC State	24	Maryland	26
2002	11/09	Maryland	24	NC State	21
2001	11/17	NC State	19	Maryland	23
2000	11/03	Maryland	35	NC State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	5	0	0 Overs
Maryland	10	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 8	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

Maryland Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Mayo Bowl	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12
2021	Pinstripe Bowl	Maryland vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	55.0	W 54 - 10
2016	Lane Bowl	Maryland vs Boston College	+1.0	44.0	L 30 - 36

NC State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Mayo Bowl	NC State vs Maryland	-2.5	45.0	L 12 - 16
2020	Gator Bowl	NC State vs Kentucky	+3.0	50.5	L 21 - 23
2018	N/A	NC State vs Texas A&M	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 52
2017	N/A	NC State vs Arizona State	-5.0	62.5	W 52 - 31
2016	Independence Bowl	NC State vs Vanderbilt	-4.0	47.0	W 41 - 17

(#) MD at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#68	#54
OffenseOff	#62	#94
DefenseDef	#90	#20
Spec TeamsST	#49	#13
TalentTal	#38	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Maryland Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#74	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#25	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	MD Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#105	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
NC State -2.5 (45.0)
Maryland won at NC State this year (16-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC Tim Beck* (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD