East Carolina at Charlotte Game Matchup
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -9.5 (47.5) (-340)  Open: -8.5
Charlotte 55 - East Carolina: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
CHAR is playing their 6th straight game
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -11   (SP+ ECU -14.5)

Projected Score: ECU: 33 - CHAR: 22 (60)
ECU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ECU Travel: 191 miles
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Charlotte vs James Madison+6.547.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Charlotte at North Carolina+21.547.5L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb-14.046.5W 27 - 26ON
Sat 9/21 Charlotte at Indiana+28.550.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Charlotte at Rice+4.048.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Charlotte vs East Carolina+9.547.5W 55 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Charlotte at Navy+16.557.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Charlotte at Memphis+17.056.5L 28 - 33OY
Thu 10/31 Charlotte vs Tulane+14.555.5L 3 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Charlotte vs South Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/23 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic-3.049.5W 39 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 Charlotte vs UAB-1.559.5W 29 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)3235% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)27.330% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
CHAR#126 (.05)35% (131)23.737% (125)2.91 (104)14533% (128)1682.84 (127)#55 (.16)41% (50)35.141% (50)41% (57)4 (87)58.61.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense12322933.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
CHAR Defense1235.133.340.6%41.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%41%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1227.334.734.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
CHAR Offense1223.724.234.6%2.841.8173131451683.854%44%37%33%18%.05

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Charlotte1232:1716.824%54%6.958.61.81.451.6228.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
CHAR Defense1253% (111)41% (50) - - - - .13 (59)2.97 (42)61% (14)9% (97)1.01 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
CHAR Offense1254% (34)37% (125)38.71453.816 (89).13 (81)2.91 (104)66% (114)12% (115)1.15 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
CHAR Defense1246% (23)41% (57) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (73)1.6 (72)31% (82)31% (85).28 (49)6% (88)1.9 (23)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
CHAR Offense1244% (103)33% (128)15.527.3167.86.110.87 (129)16 (121).02 (133)1.5 (83)36% (123)22% (128).11 (126)6% (53)2 (83)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Charlotte: -15.3




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 33
Charlotte 22


Projected Total Points: 60
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24CharlotteEast Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10CharlotteEast Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte221 Overs
East Carolina001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#65) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Charlotte
Power #65
#108
Off #59
#99
Def #56
#110
Talent #78
#118
SP+ #73
#118
SP+ Off #58
#102
SP+ Def #87
#124

Rematch from Week 6
East Carolina 9.5 (47.5)
Charlotte won vs East Carolina this year (55-24)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat East Carolina last year (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ECU | CHAR
Depth Chart: ECU | CHAR
Rosters: ECU | CHAR
(#108) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Javious Bond149216.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakye Barker8112211
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Zakye Barker8112211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013

Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson9155976.165
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Terron Kellman4824205.041
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Jairus Mack19418022.059
Isaiah Myers13237318.237
Colin Weber21213010.130

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746222
Cam Burden573002
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414
Reid Williford746222
Demon Clowney235210
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414