Florida Atlantic Owls at East Carolina Pirates
Thursday, November 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
East Carolina -5.5 (58.5) (-290) Open: -7.5 | 55.5
East Carolina 49 - Florida Atlantic: 14 (American Athletic)
Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
ECU coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -16.5 (SP+ ECU -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 21 - ECU: 37 (58)
ECU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FAU Travel: 657 miles
Our Line: East Carolina -16.5 (SP+ ECU -12)
Projected Score: FAU: 21 - ECU: 37 (58)
ECU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FAU Travel: 657 miles
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Florida Atlantic at Michigan State | +12.0 | 45.0 | L 10 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Florida Atlantic vs Army | -1.5 | 42.5 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Florida Atlantic vs Florida International | -3.5 | 44.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Florida Atlantic at UConn | +1.0 | 46.0 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Florida Atlantic vs Wagner | -34.5 | 52.5 | W 41 - 10 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Florida Atlantic vs North Texas | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 37 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Florida Atlantic at UTSA | +4.0 | 52.5 | L 24 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/1 | Florida Atlantic vs South Florida | +1.5 | 48.0 | L 21 - 44 | O | N | |
| Thu 11/7 | Florida Atlantic at East Carolina | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Florida Atlantic at Temple | +2.0 | 50.0 | L 15 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte | +3.0 | 49.5 | L 27 - 39 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Florida Atlantic at Tulsa | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 63 - 16 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 0
| East Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | East Carolina vs Norfolk State | -31.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | East Carolina at Old Dominion | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 20 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | East Carolina vs App State | -0.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | East Carolina at Liberty | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | East Carolina vs UTSA | -2.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | East Carolina at Charlotte | -9.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | East Carolina at Army | +17.5 | 54.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | East Carolina vs Temple | -8.5 | 48.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/7 | East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/14 | East Carolina at Tulsa | -16.0 | 63.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | East Carolina at North Texas | +2.5 | 73.5 | W 40 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | East Carolina vs Navy | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 20 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | East Carolina vs NC State | +7.5 | 61.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | #80 (.17) | 39% (108) | 25.9 | 40% (107) | 3.15 (48) | 189 | 39% (99) | 209 | 3.19 (122) | #90 (.21) | 41% (54) | 30.3 | 43% (72) | 38% (39) | 3.72 (62) | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 32 | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 27.3 | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | #80 (.17) | 39% (108) | 40% (107) | 3.15 (48) | 189 | 39% (99) | 209 | 3.19 (122) | #90 (.21) | 41% (54) | 43% (72) | 38% (39) | 3.72 (62) | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | ||
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Offense | 12 | 25.9 | 23.3 | 39.2% | 3.19 | 1.5 | 20 | 398 | 189 | 209 | 5 | 54% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 17% | .17 |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 21 | 39.5% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 37% | 43% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Defense | 12 | 30.3 | 30.8 | 40.6% | 3.72 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 43% | 38% | 16% | .21 |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 32 | 36 | 43.3% | 3.79 | 2.2 | 20 | 400 | 147 | 253 | 4.4 | 52% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 15% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 12 | 30:22 | 19.5 | 35% | 47% | 6.6 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 28.5 |
| East Carolina | 13 | 23:08 | 20.1 | 42% | 53% | 7.3 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Offense | 12 | 54% (41) | 40% (107) | 38 | 189.2 | 5 | 24 (45) | .2 (34) | 3.15 (48) | 64% (118) | 12% (113) | 1.28 (2) |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 54% (109) | 37% (11) | - | - | - | - | .03 (22) | 2.57 (14) | 57% (3) | 11% (48) | 1.02 (84) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Defense | 12 | 52% (86) | 43% (72) | - | - | - | - | .16 (87) | 3.09 (86) | 83% (124) | 10% (65) | 1.05 (97) |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 52% (63) | 44% (71) | 33.2 | 147.3 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .17 (47) | 3.07 (57) | 79% (27) | 8% (42) | 1.02 (48) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Offense | 12 | 45% (98) | 39% (99) | 17.1 | 29.2 | 208.6 | 7.2 | 12.2 | 14 (108) | 11 (72) | .19 (96) | 1.6 (51) | 33% (105) | 32% (65) | .39 (46) | 5% (37) | 2.1 (43) |
| ECU Defense | 13 | 46% (28) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (105) | 1.7 (98) | 33% (51) | 35% (117) | .46 (122) | 5% (104) | 2.1 (78) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU Defense | 12 | 47% (45) | 38% (39) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .28 (94) | 1.8 (129) | 34% (33) | 32% (88) | .35 (91) | 6% (52) | 2.2 (108) |
| ECU Offense | 13 | 48% (72) | 43% (54) | 18.5 | 30.7 | 252.7 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 26 (26) | 21 (134) | .28 (54) | 1.7 (24) | 30% (37) | 34% (33) | .51 (8) | 7% (92) | 2.3 (7) |
Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -16.03 East Carolina: 1.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.7 East Carolina: -1.0
Florida Atlantic: -16.03 East Carolina: 1.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.7 East Carolina: -1.0
East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.885 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina's Power Rating: 1.885 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Florida Atlantic 21
Total Points: 58
East Carolina 37
Florida Atlantic 21
Total Points: 58
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/07 | East Carolina | 49 | Florida Atlantic | 14 | East Carolina | East Carolina -5.5 | East Carolina | 58.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/11 | Florida Atlantic | 7 | East Carolina | 22 | East Carolina | Florida Atlantic -7.5 | East Carolina | 44.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 09/05 | East Carolina | 31 | Florida Atlantic | 13 | East Carolina | East Carolina -15 | East Carolina | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 3 | 3 | 1 Overs |
| Florida Atlantic | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 2 |
(#114) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida Atlantic has lost 3 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic offense is explosive (#65)
Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#69)
Florida Atlantic run game is really bad (#56)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida Atlantic has lost 3 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic offense is explosive (#65)
Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#69)
Florida Atlantic run game is really bad (#56)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ECU | FAU |
| OverallOver | #42 | #56 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #68 |
| DefenseDef | #33 | #47 |
| Special TeamsST | #105 | #67 |
| PassingPass | #47 | #99 |
| RushingRush | #43 | #49 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #34 | #28 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #57 | #65 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #32 | #66 |
| TacklingTkl | #66 | #95 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #16 | #93 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #66 | #33 |
| Coverage DefCov | #60 | #16 |
Rematch from Week 11
East Carolina -5.5 (58.5)
East Carolina won vs Florida Atlantic this year (49-14)
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic last year (49-14)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (22-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: FAU | ECU
Depth Chart: FAU | ECU
Rosters: FAU | ECU
(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 1.885 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 1 straight
East Carolina has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
Power Rating: 1.885 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 1 straight
East Carolina has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 126 | 212 | 59% | 1528 | 6 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Kasen Weisman (Tr) | 39 | 73 | 53% | 416 | 2 | 3 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Campbell | 165 | 860 | 11 | 5.2 | 58 |
| Zuberi Mobley | 91 | 471 | 4 | 5.2 | 72 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 99 | 365 | 3 | 3.7 | 76 |
| Xavier Terrell | 14 | 261 | 3 | 18.6 | 93 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Hayes | 39 | 590 | 3 | 15.1 | 71 |
| CJ Campbell | 40 | 466 | 3 | 11.7 | 78 |
| Jabari Smith | 17 | 296 | 3 | 17.4 | 76 |
| Marlyn Johnson (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 0 | 9.9 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Heard | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Ambush | 68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Eddie Williams | 51 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Merrifield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Marlon Bradley | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Jackson Ambush | 68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahzir Brown (Tr) | 42 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Daedae Hill | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 149 | 245 | 61% | 2006 | 18 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Jake Garcia (Tr) | 109 | 181 | 60% | 1426 | 8 | 12 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahjai Harris | 206 | 1166 | 11 | 5.7 | 86 |
| London Montgomery (Tr) | 71 | 359 | 2 | 5.1 | 48 |
| Marlon Gunn | 61 | 224 | 3 | 3.7 | 20 |
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 49 | 170 | 4 | 3.5 | 35 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith (Tr) | 41 | 799 | 6 | 19.5 | 64 |
| Chase Sowell | 34 | 678 | 3 | 19.9 | 56 |
| Winston Wright | 54 | 556 | 8 | 10.3 | 65 |
| Yannick Smith | 25 | 434 | 3 | 17.4 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Rogers | 105 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Zakye Barker | 81 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Morris | 31 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Samuel Dankah | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| J.D. Lampley | 25 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryheem Craig (Tr) | 49 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown-Murray | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |