Northern Illinois Huskies at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -7 (46.0) (-265) Open: -10.0
NC State 24 - Northern Illinois: 17
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: NC State -7.5 (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: NIU: 20 - NCST: 28 (48)
NCST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NIU Travel: 687 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: NC State -7.5 (SP+ NCST -7)
Projected Score: NIU: 20 - NCST: 28 (48)
NCST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NIU Travel: 687 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 54 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Illinois at Notre Dame | +28.5 | 46.5 | W 16 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Northern Illinois vs Buffalo | -13.0 | 42.5 | L 20 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Northern Illinois at NC State | +7.0 | 46.0 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts | -14.0 | 41.0 | W 34 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Northern Illinois at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 46.5 | W 17 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northern Illinois vs Toledo | -3.0 | 42.5 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northern Illinois at Ball State | -13.5 | 47.5 | L 23 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Northern Illinois at Western Michigan | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Northern Illinois vs Akron | -14.0 | 43.5 | W 29 - 16 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) | +1.5 | 43.0 | L 9 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan | -16.5 | 41.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Mon 12/23 | Northern Illinois vs Fresno State | -2.0 | 41.0 | W 28 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| NC State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | NC State vs Western Carolina | -32.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | NC State vs Tennessee | +10.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | NC State vs Louisiana Tech | -20.5 | 47.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | NC State at Clemson | +17.0 | 44.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | NC State vs Northern Illinois | -7.0 | 46.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | NC State vs Wake Forest | -4.0 | 52.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | NC State vs Syracuse | +1.0 | 51.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | NC State at California | +9.5 | 46.0 | W 24 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | NC State vs Stanford | -10.0 | 46.5 | W 59 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | NC State vs Duke | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 19 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/21 | NC State at Georgia Tech | +7.5 | 51.5 | L 29 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | NC State at North Carolina | +2.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 61.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 24.5 | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 18.5 | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 28.5 | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 30.2 | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 24.5 | 20.7 | 42.1% | 3.39 | 1.2 | 21 | 383 | 204 | 179 | 4.8 | 59% | 41% | 44% | 40% | 15% | .16 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 30.2 | 24.7 | 40.9% | 3.78 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 20% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 18.5 | 19.7 | 37.7% | 3.08 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 41% | 35% | 17% | .06 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 28.5 | 31 | 45.1% | 3.97 | 1.7 | 19 | 345 | 130 | 215 | 4.4 | 47% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 19% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 13 | 33:20 | 21.5 | 42% | 45% | 4.2 | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 30.4 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:10 | 18.6 | 37% | 56% | 4.8 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 59% (11) | 44% (72) | 42.8 | 204.2 | 4.8 | 22 (55) | .14 (66) | 3.25 (33) | 72% (83) | 9% (60) | 1 (54) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 47% (33) | 39% (31) | - | - | - | - | .2 (111) | 3.07 (83) | 76% (86) | 12% (24) | 1.28 (134) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 49% (44) | 41% (52) | - | - | - | - | .08 (45) | 3.06 (79) | 74% (73) | 11% (53) | 0.9 (33) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 44% (68) | 29.6 | 130.3 | 4.4 | 21 (59) | .15 (56) | 3.24 (36) | 69% (92) | 13% (127) | 0.98 (59) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 41% (124) | 40% (86) | 16.5 | 28.5 | 179.1 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 16 (87) | 8 (40) | .23 (84) | 1.6 (58) | 31% (68) | 30% (89) | .17 (117) | 5% (39) | 1.9 (116) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 53% (106) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .19 (47) | 1.5 (22) | 33% (49) | 30% (65) | .33 (83) | 8% (16) | 2.3 (120) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 51% (93) | 35% (9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .04 (4) | 1.5 (55) | 36% (15) | 25% (10) | .18 (16) | 7% (37) | 2 (67) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (48) | 47% (20) | 18.2 | 28.1 | 214.8 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 18 (68) | 12 (85) | .36 (24) | 1.6 (45) | 30% (35) | 36% (24) | .57 (5) | 6% (83) | 2.2 (19) |
Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.77 NC State: 4.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5 NC State: 3.9
Northern Illinois: -2.77 NC State: 4.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5 NC State: 3.9
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 28
Northern Illinois 20
Total Points: 48
NC State 28
Northern Illinois 20
Total Points: 48
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/28 | NC State | 24 | Northern Illinois | 17 | NC State | NC State -7 | Push | 46.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 1 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Northern Illinois | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has lost 1 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has lost 1 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | NIU |
| OverallOver | #37 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #49 | #65 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #18 |
| Special TeamsST | #79 | #34 |
| PassingPass | #33 | #87 |
| RushingRush | #79 | #65 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #20 | #18 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #10 | #53 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #65 | #102 |
| TacklingTkl | #37 | #3 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #43 | #17 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #64 |
| Coverage DefCov | #43 | #22 |
Rematch from Week 5
NC State -7.0 (46.0)
NC State won vs Northern Illinois this year (24-17)
Previous Matchups
NC State beat Northern Illinois last year (24-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NIU | NCST
Depth Chart: NIU | NCST
Rosters: NIU | NCST
(#66) NC State Info
Power Rating: 4.2 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has lost 1 straight
NC State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (1 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
Power Rating: 4.2 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has lost 1 straight
NC State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (1 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hampton | 143 | 245 | 58% | 1608 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Josh Holst | 65 | 111 | 59% | 593 | 2 | 2 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 139 | 749 | 4 | 5.4 | 71 |
| Antario Brown | 115 | 567 | 4 | 4.9 | 49 |
| Telly Johnson Jr. | 103 | 480 | 4 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Josh Holst | 49 | 230 | 1 | 4.7 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Rudolph | 37 | 403 | 1 | 10.9 | 48 |
| Cam Thompson | 27 | 388 | 3 | 14.4 | 54 |
| Grayson Barnes | 31 | 338 | 4 | 10.9 | 60 |
| Andrew McElroy (Tr) | 26 | 264 | 0 | 10.2 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Fuhrman (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Dolphin | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte O'Malley | 38 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Roy Williams | 38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nevaeh Sanders | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Skyler Gill-Howard | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Jacob Finley | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 196 | 302 | 65% | 2412 | 17 | 10 | 8.0 |
| Grayson McCall (Tr) | 53 | 80 | 66% | 518 | 3 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 89 | 571 | 6 | 6.4 | 53 |
| Jordan Waters (Tr) | 95 | 470 | 4 | 4.9 | 94 |
| Kendrick Raphael | 78 | 425 | 3 | 5.4 | 40 |
| CJ Bailey | 99 | 279 | 5 | 2.8 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Joly (Tr) | 43 | 661 | 4 | 15.4 | 40 |
| Noah Rogers (Tr) | 35 | 478 | 1 | 13.7 | 75 |
| Kevin Concepcion | 53 | 459 | 6 | 8.7 | 42 |
| Wesley Grimes (Tr) | 24 | 319 | 1 | 13.3 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Donovan Kaufman (Tr) | 74 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Aydan White | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davin Vann | 41 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Travali Price | 37 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Fitzgerald | 55 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Devon Marshall (Tr) | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tamarcus Cooley (Tr) | 39 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |