East Carolina at Old Dominion - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs  Old Dominion logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
Old Dominion -1.5 (53.5) (-125)  Open: -2.5 | 55.5
East Carolina 20 - Old Dominion: 14

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (24 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: East Carolina -2  (SP+ ECU -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 27 - ODU: 25 (52)
ODU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 107 miles
Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Old Dominion at South Carolina+20.549.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/7 Old Dominion vs East Carolina-1.553.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+15.547.5L 17 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Old Dominion at Bowling Green+11.051.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+4.051.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/12 Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.053.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Old Dominion vs Texas State+10.560.0W 24 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern+1.052.0W 47 - 19OY
Sat 11/2 Old Dominion at App State-2.558.0L 20 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Old Dominion vs James Madison+1.551.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 11/23 Old Dominion vs Marshall-3.051.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/30 Old Dominion at Arkansas State-5.558.5W 40 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)32.735% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)20.130% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
ODU#102 (.13)38% (109)3241% (92)3.08 (76)15437% (107)1953.14 (117)#30 (.13)44% (100)18.542% (60)47% (124)3.49 (46)60.61.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ODU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1232.730.833.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
ODU Defense1318.58.544.1%3.491.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%47%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1220.120.834.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
ODU Offense133234.338.5%3.141.4173481541954.250%49%41%37%20%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Old Dominion1324:4916.537%27%6.560.61.41.66.11.5229.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
ODU Defense1352% (98)42% (60) - - - - -.01 (11)2.81 (22)70% (50)11% (56)0.73 (2)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
ODU Offense1350% (70)41% (92)36.5153.54.215 (100).17 (58)3.08 (76)62% (127)15% (131)1.18 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
ODU Defense1347% (38)47% (124) - - - - - - 11 (53).31 (93)1.5 (39)28% (126)30% (71).24 (36)6% (70)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
ODU Offense1349% (68)37% (107)15.727.8194.8712.420 (70)11 (68).15 (112)1.7 (39)35% (119)31% (70).3 (79)5% (37)2.2 (33)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23  #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65  #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33  #56
2024 Talent Rating: 292.00  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Old Dominion: -2.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Old Dominion: -6.0




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.42  #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31  #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12  #66
2024 Talent Rating: 154.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0  #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 27
Old Dominion 25


Projected Total Points: 52
Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Old Dominion14East Carolina20Old Dominion -1.5East Carolina53.5Under
202209/10East Carolina39Old Dominion21East Carolina -13East Carolina49.5Over
201909/28Old Dominion21East Carolina24Old Dominion -3East Carolina46.5Under
201809/29East Carolina37Old Dominion35East Carolina -7Old Dominion61.5Over
201308/31East Carolina52Old Dominion38East Carolina -14.5Old Dominion0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion022 Overs
East Carolina532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 41 - 40 - 0
Road Teams2 - 34 - 10 - 04 - 1

(#65) ECU at (#77) ODU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUODU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #77
SP+SP+ #73 #95
Perf GradeGrade #58 #117
OffenseOff #47 #126
DefenseDef #44 #82
Spec TeamsST #128 #114
TalentTal #77 #126
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
East Carolina Notes
(11/29) Snapped vs Navy, Def abysmal, Rgame awful
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
(9/23) Blew 17-0 (Lib), Garcia meh, Rgame meh
East Carolina Injury Report
Old Dominion Notes
(11/25) Fight w/ Marshall, Off great but 2 TOs cost em
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.
(7/30) OC Decker's off is unique, but roster is limiting
Old Dominion Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #82
SuccessSuc #132 #100
ExplosiveExp #89 #4
PPAPPA #132 #30
PowerPwr #59 #66
SP+SP+ #58 #99
Pts POPPO #129 #46
HavocHav #116 #56
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
Run GameRun #60 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #60
Run ExplRExp #87 #2
PPAExp #123 #11
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLY #111 #22
Stuff RateStuff #74 #42
TackleTak -  #120
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ECU OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #59 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #124
Pass ExplPExl #92 #39
PPAExp #129 #93
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #65 #128
F7 HavocF7 #108 #56
DB HavocDB #116 #70
Old Dominion on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatODU OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #126 #44
SuccessSuc #109 #6
ExplosiveExp #9 #130
PPAPPA #102 #40
PowerPwr #34 #56
SP+SP+ #78 #87
Pts POPPO #117 #8
HavocHav #122 #11
Old Dominion Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
ODU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #10 #20
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #2
Run ExplRExp #4 #124
PPAExp #58 #13
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLY #76 #7
Stuff RateStuff #105 #12
TackleTak -  #76
Old Dominion Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatODU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #134 #74
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #37
Pass ExplPExl #39 #126
PPAExp #112 #100
Pass Block/RushP Blk #134 #75
F7 HavocF7 #131 #8
DB HavocDB #37 #53
Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Old Dominion -1.5 (53.5)
East Carolina won at Old Dominion this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Old Dominion in 2024 (20-14)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris2061166115.786
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Rogers1056122
Zakye Barker8112211
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Morris316420
Samuel Dankah347312
J.D. Lampley255260
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph13322260%16231157.3
Grant Wilson488656%507435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Young (Tr)14976865.251
Colton Joseph114647115.739
Bryce Duke (Tr)4628506.248
Quinn Henicle3427838.292
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isiah Paige61814313.372
Pat Conroy (Tr)37523514.175
Diante Vines (Tr)36393210.940
Myles Alston23246010.730

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koa Naotala875451
Jahron Manning856103
Mario Thompson6610551
Jahleel Culbreath628020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Thompson6610551
Koa Naotala875451
Kris Trinidad4410453
Jeremy Mack Jr.224320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Reason502004
Dywan Griffin40003
Jahron Manning856103