East Carolina at Old Dominion - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
Old Dominion -1.5 (53.5) (-125)  Open: -2.5 | 55.5
East Carolina 20 - Old Dominion: 14

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: East Carolina -2   (SP+ ECU -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 29 - ODU: 27 (56)
ODU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ECU Travel: 107 miles
Monarchs (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (15 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Old Dominion at South Carolina+20.549.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/7 Old Dominion vs East Carolina-1.553.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech+15.547.5L 17 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Old Dominion at Bowling Green+11.051.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina+4.051.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/12 Old Dominion at Georgia State+3.053.0W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Old Dominion vs Texas State+10.560.0W 24 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern+1.052.0W 47 - 19OY
Sat 11/2 Old Dominion at App State-2.558.0L 20 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Old Dominion vs James Madison+1.551.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 11/23 Old Dominion vs Marshall-3.051.0L 35 - 42ON
Sat 11/30 Old Dominion at Arkansas State-5.558.5W 40 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)2845% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)2838% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense13322943.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
ODU Defense122827.838.8%3.641.4 - - - - - 53%46%38%40%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.334.739.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
ODU Offense122828.242.4%4.751.7204042111935.455%44%45%40%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Old Dominion1227:5919.743%64%6.254.21.71.46.21.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)
ODU Defense1253% (101)38% (22) - - - - .1 (61)3.01 (71)77% (94)11% (49)1.03 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
ODU Offense1255% (34)45% (55)39.5211.35.427 (30).21 (30)3.24 (34)67% (108)11% (105)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)
ODU Defense1246% (32)40% (64) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (95)1.8 (126)35% (24)31% (78).4 (104)5% (98)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
ODU Offense1244% (104)40% (89)16.327.8192.66.911.917 (79)9 (48).27 (61)1.6 (41)33% (107)30% (86).36 (56)5% (30)2.2 (17)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Old Dominion: -2.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Old Dominion: -6.0




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Old Dominion's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Old Dominion's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 29
Old Dominion 27


Total Points: 56

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Old Dominion's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Old Dominion14East Carolina20East CarolinaOld Dominion -1.5East Carolina53.5Under
202209/10East Carolina39Old Dominion21East CarolinaEast Carolina -13East Carolina49.5Over
201909/28Old Dominion21East Carolina24East CarolinaOld Dominion -3East Carolina46.5Under
201809/29East Carolina37Old Dominion35East CarolinaEast Carolina -7Old Dominion61.5Over
201308/31East Carolina52Old Dominion38East CarolinaEast Carolina -14.5Old Dominion0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion022 Overs
East Carolina532 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 41 - 40 - 0
Road Teams2 - 34 - 10 - 04 - 1

(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODUECU
OverallOver#84#42
OffenseOff#102#41
DefenseDef#63#33
Special TeamsST#93#105
PassingPass#109#47
RushingRush#10#43
Run BlockRBLK#96#34
Pass BlockPBLK#117#57
Route RunningWR Rt#89#32
TacklingTkl#104#66
Run DefenseR Def#27#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#107#66
Coverage DefCov#80#60

Rematch from Week 2
Old Dominion -1.5 (53.5)
East Carolina won at Old Dominion this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Old Dominion last year (20-14)
East Carolina beat Old Dominion in 2022 (39-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | ODU
Depth Chart: ECU | ODU
Rosters: ECU | ODU
(#77) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: -2.42 #77
Offense Rating: 23.31 #34
Defense Rating: 9.12 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(11/18) Fight w/ JMU, QB awful, Rgame good, R D awful
(11/3) 4 TOs broke W streak, QB Joseph good, Def bad
(10/24) Rgame good, Run D good in big W (GaSo)
(10/20) Rgame good, Run D better in big upset (Tex St)
(10/13) Rgame good, Run Def great vs Ga St. QB meh
(10/10) Rgame 200 yds(5.4 pc) L to C.Car., Def torched
(10/10) QB Joseph a huge upgrade, JAG w/ mobility
(9/28) Rgame better (189/5.3), QBs abysmal in L to BGU
(8/26) OL gave up most sacks in CFB LY
(7/30) Year 5, won last 2 LY to go bowling.

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion has a good run defense (#132)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Old Dominion gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#4)


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris2061166115.786
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omar Rogers1056122
Zakye Barker8112211
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Morris316420
Samuel Dankah347312
J.D. Lampley255260
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Michael Edwards III759124
Ja'Marley Riddle634004

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph13322260%16231157.3
Grant Wilson488656%507435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Young (Tr)14976865.251
Colton Joseph114647115.739
Bryce Duke (Tr)4628506.248
Quinn Henicle3427838.292
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isiah Paige61814313.372
Pat Conroy (Tr)37523514.175
Diante Vines (Tr)36393210.940
Myles Alston23246010.730

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koa Naotala875451
Jahron Manning856103
Mario Thompson6610551
Jahleel Culbreath628020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Thompson6610551
Koa Naotala875451
Kris Trinidad4410453
Jeremy Mack Jr.224320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Reason502004
Dywan Griffin40003
Jahron Manning856103