East Carolina at Tulsa Game Matchup
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Thursday, November 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -16 (63.5) (-800)  Open: -11.0
East Carolina 38 - Tulsa: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -20.5   (SP+ ECU -19.5)

Projected Score: ECU: 43 - TLSA: 22 (63)
ECU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
East Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Norfolk State-31.551.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 East Carolina at Old Dominion+1.553.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs App State-0.556.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 East Carolina at Liberty+7.555.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 East Carolina vs UTSA-2.053.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Charlotte-9.547.5L 24 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 East Carolina at Army+17.554.0L 28 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 East Carolina vs Temple-8.548.5W 56 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/7 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 49 - 14OY
Thu 11/14 East Carolina at Tulsa-16.063.5W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at North Texas+2.573.5W 40 - 28UY
Fri 11/29 East Carolina vs Navy-2.554.0L 20 - 34UN
Sat 12/28 East Carolina vs NC State+7.561.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulsa vs Northwestern State-37.555.5W 62 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at Arkansas State+9.565.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+17.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa at Louisiana Tech+3.056.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Tulsa at North Texas+7.065.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 10/5 Tulsa vs Army+13.550.5L 7 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Temple+3.551.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs UTSA+9.552.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at UAB+2.557.5L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Tulsa vs East Carolina+16.063.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Tulsa at South Florida+17.560.0L 30 - 63ON
Sat 11/30 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic+2.557.5L 16 - 63ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)3235% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)27.330% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)2540% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)42.543% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense12322933.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02
TLSA Defense1242.544.743.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1227.334.734.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
TLSA Offense122528.741%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23   Tulsa: -20.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0   Tulsa: -20.6




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 43
Tulsa 22


Projected Total Points: 63
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/14Tulsa31East Carolina38East CarolinaEast Carolina -16Tulsa63.5Over
202311/25East Carolina27Tulsa29TulsaEast Carolina -4.5Tulsa44.5Over
202010/30Tulsa34East Carolina30TulsaTulsa -17East Carolina59.5Over
201911/30East Carolina24Tulsa49TulsaTulsa -7Tulsa64.0Over
201611/05Tulsa45East Carolina24TulsaTulsa -10Tulsa76.5Under
201510/17East Carolina30Tulsa17East CarolinaEast Carolina -11East Carolina77.0Under
201411/28Tulsa32East Carolina49East CarolinaEast Carolina -17.5Tulsa0
201311/09East Carolina58Tulsa24East CarolinaEast Carolina -14East Carolina0
201009/05East Carolina51Tulsa49East Carolina
200911/15Tulsa17East Carolina44East Carolina
200812/06Tulsa24East Carolina27East Carolina
200610/14East Carolina10Tulsa31Tulsa
200511/12Tulsa45East Carolina13Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa654 Overs
East Carolina732 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 75 - 33 - 22 - 1
Road Teams7 - 63 - 51 - 22 - 3

(#65) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 590.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Tulsa
Power #65
#132
Off #59
#125
Def #56
#127
Talent #78
#94
SP+ #73
#128
SP+ Off #58
#105
SP+ Def #87
#129

Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 16.0 (63.5)
East Carolina won at Tulsa this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ECU | TLSA
Depth Chart: ECU | TLSA
Rosters: ECU | TLSA
(#132) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser (Tr)14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery (Tr)7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser (Tr)4917043.535
Javious Bond149216.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith (Tr)41799619.564
Chase Sowell34678319.956
Winston Wright54556810.365
Yannick Smith25434317.452

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakye Barker8112211
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Ryheem Craig (Tr)496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Zakye Barker8112211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Brown-Murray401006
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Gavin Gibson (Tr)527013

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Bill Jackson6731904.837
Lloyd Avant7625913.416
Cooper Legas (Tr)7920112.533
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joseph Williams30588519.672
Luke Mcgary17231113.632
Zion Steptoe (Tr)15203013.534
Corey Smith12179214.938

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Dayne Hodge601003
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)4710100
Chris Thompson Jr. (Tr)445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Jackson354302
Vontroy Malone255210
Owen Ostroski358240
Myles Jackson (Tr)366210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Dayne Hodge601003
Buddha Garrett381003