East Carolina Pirates at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Thursday, November 14th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -16 (63.5) (-800) Open: -11.0
East Carolina 38 - Tulsa: 31 (American Athletic)
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -20.5 (SP+ ECU -19.5)
Projected Score: ECU: 43 - TLSA: 22 (65)
ECU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: East Carolina -20.5 (SP+ ECU -19.5)
Projected Score: ECU: 43 - TLSA: 22 (65)
ECU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ECU Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| East Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | East Carolina vs Norfolk State | -31.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | East Carolina at Old Dominion | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 20 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | East Carolina vs App State | -0.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | East Carolina at Liberty | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | East Carolina vs UTSA | -2.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | East Carolina at Charlotte | -9.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | East Carolina at Army | +17.5 | 54.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | East Carolina vs Temple | -8.5 | 48.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/7 | East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/14 | East Carolina at Tulsa | -16.0 | 63.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | East Carolina at North Texas | +2.5 | 73.5 | W 40 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | East Carolina vs Navy | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 20 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | East Carolina vs NC State | +7.5 | 61.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
| Tulsa's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Tulsa vs Northwestern State | -37.5 | 55.5 | W 62 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Tulsa at Arkansas State | +9.5 | 65.5 | L 24 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Tulsa vs Oklahoma State | +17.5 | 62.5 | L 10 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Tulsa at Louisiana Tech | +3.0 | 56.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Tulsa at North Texas | +7.0 | 65.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Tulsa vs Army | +13.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Tulsa at Temple | +3.5 | 51.5 | L 10 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Tulsa vs UTSA | +9.5 | 52.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Tulsa at UAB | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/14 | Tulsa vs East Carolina | +16.0 | 63.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Tulsa at South Florida | +17.5 | 60.0 | L 30 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 16 - 63 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 32 | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 27.3 | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| TLSA | #124 (.06) | 34% (131) | 25 | 35% (128) | 2.88 (97) | 151 | 33% (126) | 239 | 3.54 (100) | #127 (.31) | 42% (75) | 42.5 | 38% (23) | 46% (115) | 4.7 (130) | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | ||
| TLSA | #124 (.06) | 34% (131) | 35% (128) | 2.88 (97) | 151 | 33% (126) | 239 | 3.54 (100) | #127 (.31) | 42% (75) | 38% (23) | 46% (115) | 4.7 (130) | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 32 | 29 | 43.3% | 3.79 | 2.2 | 20 | 400 | 147 | 253 | 4.4 | 52% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 15% | .22 |
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 42.5 | 44.7 | 42.2% | 4.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 38% | 46% | 15% | .31 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 34.7 | 39.5% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 37% | 43% | 16% | .16 |
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 25 | 28.7 | 34.1% | 3.54 | 1.9 | 20 | 390 | 151 | 239 | 4 | 47% | 53% | 35% | 33% | 18% | .06 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 13 | 23:08 | 20.1 | 42% | 53% | 7.3 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 30.4 |
| Tulsa | 12 | 29:44 | 20.4 | 37% | 32% | 5.9 | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 52% (63) | 44% (71) | 33.2 | 147.3 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .17 (47) | 3.07 (57) | 79% (27) | 8% (42) | 1.02 (48) |
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 48% (40) | 38% (23) | - | - | - | - | .11 (65) | 2.82 (40) | 69% (42) | 11% (42) | 1.2 (130) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 54% (109) | 37% (11) | - | - | - | - | .03 (22) | 2.57 (14) | 57% (3) | 11% (48) | 1.02 (84) |
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 47% (93) | 35% (128) | 37.5 | 151.4 | 4 | 11 (116) | -.03 (125) | 2.88 (97) | 74% (65) | 12% (110) | 0.9 (102) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 48% (72) | 43% (54) | 18.5 | 30.7 | 252.7 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 26 (26) | 21 (134) | .28 (54) | 1.7 (24) | 30% (37) | 34% (33) | .51 (8) | 7% (92) | 2.3 (7) |
| TLSA Defense | 12 | 52% (97) | 46% (115) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .51 (131) | 1.9 (133) | 32% (64) | 33% (100) | .45 (118) | 4% (130) | 2.3 (132) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 46% (28) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (105) | 1.7 (98) | 33% (51) | 35% (117) | .46 (122) | 5% (104) | 2.1 (78) |
| TLSA Offense | 12 | 53% (43) | 33% (126) | 20.7 | 36.4 | 238.6 | 6.6 | 11.5 | 23 (41) | 12 (85) | .16 (104) | 1.8 (21) | 34% (116) | 22% (131) | .17 (118) | 6% (77) | 2.2 (16) |
East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23 Tulsa: -20.915
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0 Tulsa: -20.6
East Carolina: -0.23 Tulsa: -20.915
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0 Tulsa: -20.6
Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 43
Tulsa 22
Total Points: 65
East Carolina 43
Tulsa 22
Total Points: 65
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7
Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7
Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/14 | Tulsa | 31 | East Carolina | 38 | East Carolina | East Carolina -16 | Tulsa | 63.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | East Carolina | 27 | Tulsa | 29 | Tulsa | East Carolina -4.5 | Tulsa | 44.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/30 | Tulsa | 34 | East Carolina | 30 | Tulsa | Tulsa -17 | East Carolina | 59.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | East Carolina | 24 | Tulsa | 49 | Tulsa | Tulsa -7 | Tulsa | 64.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Tulsa | 45 | East Carolina | 24 | Tulsa | Tulsa -10 | Tulsa | 76.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | East Carolina | 30 | Tulsa | 17 | East Carolina | East Carolina -11 | East Carolina | 77.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/28 | Tulsa | 32 | East Carolina | 49 | East Carolina | East Carolina -17.5 | Tulsa | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | East Carolina | 58 | Tulsa | 24 | East Carolina | East Carolina -14 | East Carolina | 0 | |
| 2010 | 09/05 | East Carolina | 51 | Tulsa | 49 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2009 | 11/15 | Tulsa | 17 | East Carolina | 44 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2008 | 12/06 | Tulsa | 24 | East Carolina | 27 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2006 | 10/14 | East Carolina | 10 | Tulsa | 31 | Tulsa | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Tulsa | 45 | East Carolina | 13 | Tulsa |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 6 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| East Carolina | 7 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 7 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 6 | 3 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 3 |
(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 2 straight
East Carolina has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has won 2 straight
East Carolina has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TLSA | ECU |
| OverallOver | #98 | #42 |
| OffenseOff | #95 | #41 |
| DefenseDef | #112 | #33 |
| Special TeamsST | #96 | #105 |
| PassingPass | #89 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #75 | #43 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #95 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #105 | #57 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #62 | #32 |
| TacklingTkl | #114 | #66 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #85 | #16 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #39 | #66 |
| Coverage DefCov | #113 | #60 |
Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 16.0 (63.5)
East Carolina won at Tulsa this year (38-31)
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)
Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ECU | TLSA
Depth Chart: ECU | TLSA
Rosters: ECU | TLSA
(#132) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has lost 1 straight
Tulsa has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa offense is explosive (#97)
Tulsa has a good run defense (#90)
Tulsa Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#64)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Tulsa offense is really bad (#88)
Tulsa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#79)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa pass game is really bad (#49)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Tulsa does not Sack the QB (#31)
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)
Tulsa has a bad red zone defense (#83)
Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has lost 1 straight
Tulsa has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa offense is explosive (#97)
Tulsa has a good run defense (#90)
Tulsa Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#64)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Tulsa offense is really bad (#88)
Tulsa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#79)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa pass game is really bad (#49)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Tulsa does not Sack the QB (#31)
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)
Tulsa has a bad red zone defense (#83)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 149 | 245 | 61% | 2006 | 18 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Jake Garcia (Tr) | 109 | 181 | 60% | 1426 | 8 | 12 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahjai Harris | 206 | 1166 | 11 | 5.7 | 86 |
| London Montgomery (Tr) | 71 | 359 | 2 | 5.1 | 48 |
| Marlon Gunn | 61 | 224 | 3 | 3.7 | 20 |
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 49 | 170 | 4 | 3.5 | 35 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith (Tr) | 41 | 799 | 6 | 19.5 | 64 |
| Chase Sowell | 34 | 678 | 3 | 19.9 | 56 |
| Winston Wright | 54 | 556 | 8 | 10.3 | 65 |
| Yannick Smith | 25 | 434 | 3 | 17.4 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Rogers | 105 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Zakye Barker | 81 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Morris | 31 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Samuel Dankah | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| J.D. Lampley | 25 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryheem Craig (Tr) | 49 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown-Murray | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Francis | 149 | 253 | 59% | 1585 | 9 | 6 | 6.3 |
| Cooper Legas (Tr) | 87 | 162 | 54% | 1144 | 12 | 6 | 7.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Watkins | 87 | 402 | 4 | 4.6 | 77 |
| Viron Ellison Jr. | 62 | 353 | 1 | 5.7 | 32 |
| Bill Jackson | 67 | 319 | 0 | 4.8 | 37 |
| Lloyd Avant | 76 | 259 | 1 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Benjamin | 70 | 822 | 6 | 11.7 | 74 |
| Joseph Williams | 30 | 588 | 5 | 19.6 | 72 |
| Luke Mcgary | 17 | 231 | 1 | 13.6 | 32 |
| Zion Steptoe (Tr) | 15 | 203 | 0 | 13.5 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Potter (Tr) | 75 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Dayne Hodge | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Malachi Jones | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Zach Marcheselli (Tr) | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Jackson | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Owen Ostroski | 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Vontroy Malone | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Myles Jackson (Tr) | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keuan Parker | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Buddha Garrett | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Dayne Hodge | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |