NC State at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#18)Georgia Tech logo
Thursday, November 21st 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Georgia Tech -7.5 (51.5) (-298)  Open: -9.5
Georgia Tech 30 - NC State: 29  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
NCST coming off BYE
GT coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Tech -5   (SP+ NCST -2)

Projected Score: NCST: 25 - GT: 30 (55)
GT Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 351 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 NC State vs Western Carolina-32.560.5W 38 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Tennessee+10.060.5L 10 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-20.547.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 NC State at Clemson+17.044.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Northern Illinois-7.046.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 NC State vs Wake Forest-4.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse+1.051.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/19 NC State at California+9.546.0W 24 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 NC State vs Stanford-10.046.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 NC State vs Duke-3.551.5L 19 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 NC State at Georgia Tech+7.551.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 11/30 NC State at North Carolina+2.554.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 12/28 NC State vs East Carolina-7.561.5L 21 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)28.544% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)30.239% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)28.945% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)25.641% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.845.1%3.971.7193451302154.447%52%44%47%19%.25
GT Defense1325.61742.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.540.9%3.781.4 - - - - - 47%53%39%43%20%.19
GT Offense1328.935.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:1018.637%56%4.8451.71.46.21.8228.9
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1347% (89)44% (68)29.6130.34.421 (59).15 (56)3.24 (36)69% (92)13% (127)0.98 (59)
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1347% (33)39% (31) - - - - .2 (111)3.07 (83)76% (86)12% (24)1.28 (134)
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1352% (48)47% (20)18.228.1214.87.711.818 (68)12 (85).36 (24)1.6 (45)30% (35)36% (24).57 (5)6% (83)2.2 (19)
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1353% (106)43% (87) - - - - - - 8 (93).19 (47)1.5 (22)33% (49)30% (65).33 (83)8% (16)2.3 (120)
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: -0.50 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: -0.50   Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.9   Georgia Tech: 1.9




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 30
NC State 25


Total Points: 55

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/21Georgia Tech30NC State29Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -7.5NC State51.5Over
202012/05NC State23Georgia Tech13NC StateNC State -7NC State61.5Under
201911/21Georgia Tech28NC State26Georgia TechNC State -2.5Georgia Tech46.5Over
201411/08NC State23Georgia Tech56Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -3Georgia Tech0
201110/01NC State35Georgia Tech45Georgia Tech
201009/25Georgia Tech28NC State45NC State
200611/04NC State23Georgia Tech31Georgia Tech
200510/06Georgia Tech14NC State17NC State
200411/06NC State14Georgia Tech24Georgia Tech
200310/04Georgia Tech29NC State21Georgia Tech
200211/02NC State17Georgia Tech24Georgia Tech
200110/20Georgia Tech27NC State17Georgia Tech
200009/20NC State30Georgia Tech23NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech922 Overs
NC State421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 72 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 62 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#66) NC State Info
Power Rating: -0.50 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

NC State has lost 1 straight
NC State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn

NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)

NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGTNCST
OverallOver#44#37
OffenseOff#42#49
DefenseDef#73#36
Special TeamsST#7#79
PassingPass#13#33
RushingRush#62#79
Run BlockRBLK#65#20
Pass BlockPBLK#25#10
Route RunningWR Rt#38#65
TacklingTkl#108#37
Run DefenseR Def#52#43
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#51
Coverage DefCov#81#43

Rematch from Week 13
Georgia Tech -7.5 (51.5)
Georgia Tech won vs NC State this year (30-29)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat NC State last year (30-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | GT
Depth Chart: NCST | GT
Rosters: NCST | GT
(#38) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia Tech has won 1 straight
Georgia Tech has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 0 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread)

Georgia Tech Notes
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech is Undefeated at Home

Georgia Tech offense is efficent (#24)
Georgia Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#112)
Georgia Tech Defensive Line is very good (#92)
Georgia Tech has a great TO Margin (#107)
Georgia Tech commits very few Penalties (#109)

Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech does not Sack the QB (#47)


  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey19630265%241217108.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)538066%518326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daylan Smothers8957166.453
Jordan Waters (Tr)9547044.994
Kendrick Raphael7842535.440
CJ Bailey9927952.831
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Joly (Tr)43661415.440
Noah Rogers (Tr)35478113.775
Kevin Concepcion5345968.742
Wesley Grimes (Tr)24319113.330

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sean Brown9593131
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)744164
Devon Betty619262
Aydan White590005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4114722
Travali Price379430
Sean Brown9593131
Devon Betty619262
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald557028
Devon Marshall (Tr)331007
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)393126

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Avery Boyd25316212.633
Chase Lane24283311.832

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014