NC State at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

NC State Wolfpack at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#16)

Thursday, November 21st 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Georgia Tech -7.5 (51.5) (-298) Open: -9.5
Georgia Tech 30 - NC State: 29 (ACC)

Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST coming off BYE
GT coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Tech -5 (SP+ NCST -2)
Projected Score: NCST: 24 - GT: 29 (53)
GT Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 351 miles

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NCST Players
GT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	NC State vs Western Carolina	-32.5	60.5	W 38 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	NC State vs Tennessee	+10.0	60.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/14	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	44.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/28	NC State vs Northern Illinois	-7.0	46.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	-4.0	52.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	NC State vs Syracuse	+1.0	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	NC State at California	+9.5	46.0	W 24 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	NC State vs Stanford	-10.0	46.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	NC State vs Duke	-3.5	51.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	NC State at Georgia Tech	+7.5	51.5	L 29 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	NC State at North Carolina	+2.5	54.5	W 35 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/28	NC State vs East Carolina	-7.5	61.5	L 21 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule

Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Georgia Tech vs Florida State	+10.0	54.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 8/31	Georgia Tech vs Georgia State	-20.5	57.0	W 35 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia Tech at Syracuse	-2.5	60.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia Tech vs VMI	-42.5	53.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Georgia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	56.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Georgia Tech vs Duke	-10.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia Tech at North Carolina	-3.5	60.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame	+14.0	49.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/26	Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech	+11.0	52.0	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Georgia Tech vs Miami	+9.5	64.5	W 28 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	Georgia Tech vs NC State	-7.5	51.5	W 30 - 29	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia Tech at Georgia	+17.5	48.5	L 42 - 44	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt	-3.0	49.0	L 27 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)	28.5	44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)	30.2	39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)	28.9	45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)	25.6	41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)		45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)		41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	28.5	30.8	45.1%	3.97	1.7	19	345	130	215	4.4	47%	52%	44%	47%	19%	.25
GT Defense	13	25.6	17	42.3%	3.97	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	44%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	30.2	35.5	40.9%	3.78	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	39%	43%	20%	.19
GT Offense	13	28.9	35.2	45.9%	4.25	0.6	20	394	172	222	4.9	54%	46%	45%	46%	12%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	29:10	18.6	37%	56%	4.8	45	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.8	2	28.9
Georgia Tech	13	28:44	19.8	41%	56%	4.6	35.6	0.6	0.8	5.2	1.3	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	47% (89)	44% (68)	29.6	130.3	4.4	21 (59)	.15 (56)	3.24 (36)	69% (92)	13% (127)	0.98 (59)
GT Defense	13	47% (30)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.05 (31)	2.56 (12)	59% (9)	10% (73)	1 (74)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	47% (33)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.2 (111)	3.07 (83)	76% (86)	12% (24)	1.28 (134)
GT Offense	13	54% (44)	45% (47)	35	172.4	4.9	29 (18)	.14 (62)	2.85 (100)	75% (56)	7% (21)	1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	52% (48)	47% (20)	18.2	28.1	214.8	7.7	11.8	18 (68)	12 (85)	.36 (24)	1.6 (45)	30% (35)	36% (24)	.57 (5)	6% (83)	2.2 (19)
GT Defense	13	53% (107)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.27 (85)	1.5 (42)	32% (75)	27% (26)	.21 (33)	5% (88)	2 (50)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	53% (106)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.19 (47)	1.5 (22)	33% (49)	30% (65)	.33 (83)	8% (16)	2.3 (120)
GT Offense	13	46% (90)	46% (25)	18.8	29	221.8	7.7	11.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.36 (26)	1.5 (110)	29% (22)	38% (10)	.44 (24)	5% (34)	1.9 (105)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: -0.50 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: -0.50 Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.9 Georgia Tech: 1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 29
NC State 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 26
Georgia Tech 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Tech 33
NC State 25

Total Points: 58

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	NC State	48	Georgia Tech	36	Georgia Tech -4.5	NC State	58.5	Over
2024	11/21	Georgia Tech	30	NC State	29	Georgia Tech -7.5	NC State	51.5	Over
2020	12/05	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	13	NC State -7	NC State	61.5	Under
2019	11/21	Georgia Tech	28	NC State	26	NC State -2.5	Georgia Tech	46.5	Over
2014	11/08	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	56	Georgia Tech -3	Georgia Tech	0
2011	10/01	NC State	35	Georgia Tech	45
2010	09/25	Georgia Tech	28	NC State	45
2006	11/04	NC State	23	Georgia Tech	31
2005	10/06	Georgia Tech	14	NC State	17
2004	11/06	NC State	14	Georgia Tech	24
2003	10/04	Georgia Tech	29	NC State	21
2002	11/02	NC State	17	Georgia Tech	24
2001	10/20	Georgia Tech	27	NC State	17
2000	09/20	NC State	30	Georgia Tech	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Tech	9	2	3 Overs
NC State	5	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 7	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1

(#66) NCST at (#38) GT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NCST	GT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#66	#38
SP+SP+	#56	#66
Perf GradeGrade	#51	#61
OffenseOff	#58	#48
DefenseDef	#49	#93
Spec TeamsST	#94	#7
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#65

NC State Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
(9/1) Close w/ W Car, gave up 9 TFLs, McCall good
NC State Injury Report

Georgia Tech Notes(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report

NC State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	GT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#93
SuccessSuc	#36	#77
ExplosiveExp	#32	#72
PPAPPA	#26	#65
PowerPwr	#43	#79
SP+SP+	#47	#79
Pts POPPO	#61	#85
HavocHav	#122	#78

NC State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#110	#67
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#50
Run ExplRExp	#59	#74
PPAExp	#56	#31
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#36	#12
Stuff RateStuff	#37	#4
TackleTak	-	#124

NC State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#42
PPAExp	#24	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#10	#115
F7 HavocF7	#127	#73
DB HavocDB	#83	#88

Georgia Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	NCST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#49
SuccessSuc	#29	#59
ExplosiveExp	#88	#113
PPAPPA	#36	#86
PowerPwr	#14	#89
SP+SP+	#42	#68
Pts POPPO	#35	#67
HavocHav	#22	#16

Georgia Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#84	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	#47	#31
Run ExplRExp	#46	#134
PPAExp	#62	#111
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#83
Stuff RateStuff	#95	#105
TackleTak	-	#41

Georgia Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	GT Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#22
PPAExp	#26	#47
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#57
F7 HavocF7	#21	#24
DB HavocDB	#34	#16

Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 47° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Georgia Tech -7.5 (51.5)
Georgia Tech won vs NC State this year (30-29)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat NC State last year (30-29)

NCST's OC Robert Anae (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)	53	80	66%	518	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Jordan Waters (Tr)	95	470	4	4.9	94
Kendrick Raphael	78	425	3	5.4	40
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly (Tr)	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers (Tr)	35	478	1	13.7	75
Kevin Concepcion	53	459	6	8.7	42
Wesley Grimes (Tr)	24	319	1	13.3	30

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)	74	4	1	6	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bishop Fitzgerald	55	7	0	2	8
Devon Marshall (Tr)	33	1	0	0	7
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)	39	3	1	2	6

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King	196	269	73%	2114	14	2	7.9
Aaron Philo	38	74	51%	565	1	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	168	944	9	5.6	68
Haynes King	126	577	11	4.6	30
Chad Alexander	58	280	1	4.8	28
Eric Singleton Jr.	21	131	1	6.2	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	56	754	3	13.5	57
Malik Rutherford	62	702	3	11.3	52
Avery Boyd	25	316	2	12.6	33
Chase Lane	24	283	3	11.8	32

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Ahmari Harvey	62	3	0	0	2
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2
Clayton Powell-Lee	53	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	64	6	3	1	1
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Romello Height (Tr)	34	7	3	4	0
Trenilyas Tatum	55	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sylvain Yondjouen	24	6	3	7	5
Warren Burrell (Tr)	27	0	0	0	4
Rodney Shelley	19	5	0	1	4