UL Monroe at Troy - 2024 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -6 (46.0) (-218) Open: -10.5
UL Monroe 13 - Troy: 9 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 2nd straight Road Game
TROY 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -11.5 (SP+ TROY -10)
Projected Score: ULM: 18 - TROY: 30 (48)
TROY Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ULM Travel: 361 miles

Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	45.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe vs UAB	+10.5	55.5	W 32 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Texas	+43.5	54.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe at Troy	+6.0	46.0	W 13 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs James Madison	+16.5	48.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	-4.5	41.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+7.0	45.0	L 17 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe at Marshall	+10.5	48.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Auburn	+24.5	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+3.0	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+8.5	50.5	L 23 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Troy's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Troy vs Nevada	-7.5	44.5	L 26 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Troy at Memphis	+18.5	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Troy at Iowa	+23.5	39.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Troy vs Florida A&M	-21.5	48.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Troy vs UL Monroe	-6.0	46.0	L 9 - 13	U	N
Thu 10/3	Troy vs Texas State	+14.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Troy at South Alabama	+10.0	53.0	L 9 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/26	Troy at Arkansas State	+8.5	50.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	+4.0	52.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Troy at Georgia Southern	+7.0	54.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Troy at Louisiana	+7.5	51.5	L 30 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Troy vs Southern Miss	-17.5	48.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#124 (.06)	36% (128)	16.6	40% (97)	3.18 (56)	146	32% (133)	175	2.61 (130)	#107 (.24)	46% (117)	31.9	44% (78)	49% (132)	4.1 (97)	53.6	1.5	1.6
TROY	#56 (.21)	41% (78)	23.5	42% (79)	3.12 (66)	154	41% (79)	265	3.78 (78)	#4 (.03)	38% (27)	23.9	37% (22)	40% (43)	2.96 (10)	46.4	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	16.6	15.4	35.6%	2.61	1.5	16	321	146	175	4.2	49%	50%	40%	32%	19%	.06
TROY Defense	14	23.9	22.8	38.1%	2.96	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	40%	18%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	31.9	39	45.6%	4.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	49%	15%	.24
TROY Offense	14	23.5	25.3	41.4%	3.78	1.3	21	419	154	265	4.4	48%	51%	42%	41%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	27:02	15.8	32%	35%	5.9	53.6	1.5	1.6	6.1	2	2	31
Troy	14	30:59	21.1	41%	45%	5.1	46.4	1.3	1.6	6.9	3.1	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	49% (78)	40% (97)	34.6	146.3	4.2	7 (131)	.11 (89)	3.18 (56)	74% (63)	12% (100)	0.92 (102)
TROY Defense	14	47% (29)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (10)	2.75 (18)	60% (9)	13% (9)	0.97 (48)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	53% (107)	44% (78)	-	-	-	-	.11 (42)	3.06 (58)	75% (78)	11% (55)	0.9 (26)
TROY Offense	14	48% (85)	42% (79)	34.6	153.9	4.4	19 (69)	.15 (75)	3.12 (66)	72% (88)	10% (62)	1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	50% (59)	32% (133)	14.8	28.8	174.8	6.1	11.9	15 (96)	13 (97)	.03 (131)	1.7 (22)	36% (124)	21% (133)	.12 (124)	7% (111)	2.3 (9)
TROY Defense	14	52% (105)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.12 (11)	1.4 (12)	34% (36)	28% (41)	.2 (16)	5% (105)	1.9 (28)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	46% (25)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.48 (132)	1.7 (97)	32% (68)	39% (130)	.52 (129)	5% (121)	2 (48)
TROY Offense	14	51% (45)	41% (79)	19.9	32.6	265.1	8.1	13.3	29 (18)	6 (14)	.29 (66)	1.7 (41)	33% (85)	29% (80)	.3 (78)	6% (60)	2.2 (31)

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -22.07 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 126.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -22.07 Troy: -8.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -16.7 Troy: -6.6

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 208.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.4
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 30
UL Monroe 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	UL Monroe	14	Troy	37	Troy -4.5	Troy	45.5	Over
2024	09/28	Troy	9	UL Monroe	13	Troy -6	UL Monroe	46.0	Under
2023	11/11	UL Monroe	14	Troy	45	Troy -23.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2022	11/19	Troy	34	UL Monroe	16	Troy -15	Troy	48.5	Over
2021	09/25	UL Monroe	29	Troy	16	Troy -23.5	UL Monroe	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	UL Monroe	27	Troy	35	Troy -4.5	Troy	59.0	Over
2015	11/07	Troy	51	UL Monroe	14	Troy -5	Troy	52.0	Over
2014	09/27	UL Monroe	22	Troy	20	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Troy	0
2013	10/31	Troy	37	UL Monroe	49	Troy -3	UL Monroe	0
2011	10/15	Troy	10	UL Monroe	38
2010	10/30	UL Monroe	28	Troy	14
2009	10/31	Troy	42	UL Monroe	21
2008	11/01	UL Monroe	31	Troy	30
2007	09/29	Troy	24	UL Monroe	7
2006	10/14	Troy	24	UL Monroe	19
2005	10/15	UL Monroe	27	Troy	3
2003	11/22	Troy	28	UL Monroe	24
2001	11/10	UL Monroe	12	Troy	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	10	6	5 Overs
UL Monroe	8	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	3 - 6	2 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 2

(#123) ULM at (#112) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#123	#112
SP+SP+	#122	#96
Perf GradeGrade	#118	#89
OffenseOff	#112	#52
DefenseDef	#112	#107
Spec TeamsST	#118	#125
TalentTal	#129	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#65

UL Monroe Notes(12/1) 0-6 finish. Off was awful, Def couldn't hold. TO's
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
(7/30) Def was poor LY does have some exp.
UL Monroe Injury Report

Troy Notes(11/18) 2 str W's, upset GaSo. QB Caldwell great TW
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
(7/30) OL has some pieces, Def massive losses
Troy Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#107
SuccessSuc	#128	#27
ExplosiveExp	#71	#28
PPAPPA	#124	#4
PowerPwr	#124	#111
SP+SP+	#126	#90
Pts POPPO	#130	#10
HavocHav	#110	#25

UL Monroe Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#15	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#22
Run ExplRExp	#102	#48
PPAExp	#89	#10
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#18
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#15
TackleTak	-	#95

UL Monroe Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#133	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#12
PPAExp	#131	#11
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#133
F7 HavocF7	#100	#9
DB HavocDB	#111	#105

Troy on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#112
SuccessSuc	#78	#117
ExplosiveExp	#33	#61
PPAPPA	#56	#107
PowerPwr	#58	#115
SP+SP+	#93	#106
Pts POPPO	#78	#97
HavocHav	#63	#90

Troy Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#51	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	#79	#78
Run ExplRExp	#50	#26
PPAExp	#75	#42
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#66	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#38
TackleTak	-	#91

Troy Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	#79	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#97
PPAExp	#66	#132
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#92	#100
F7 HavocF7	#62	#55
DB HavocDB	#60	#121

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Troy -6.0 (46.0)
UL Monroe won at Troy this year (13-9)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat UL Monroe last year (37-14)
UL Monroe beat Troy in 2024 (13-9)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2023 (45-14)

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9
General Booty (Tr)	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	237	1352	13	5.7	80
James Jones	79	336	1	4.3	24
Taven Curry (Tr)	32	153	0	4.8	15
Hunter Herring	16	116	2	7.3	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
Davon Wells	29	262	2	9.0	51
Tyler Griffin (Tr)	8	193	1	24.1	40
Javon Campbell	8	176	1	22.0	44

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1
Tristan Shorter	16	4	3	3	1
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	141	224	63%	1608	13	8	7.2
Will Crowder	44	63	70%	547	5	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Taylor	173	1010	7	5.8	56
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Tucker Kilcrease	39	118	0	3.0	25
Will Crowder	17	63	1	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devonte Ross	76	1044	11	13.7	98
Landon Parker	27	350	0	13.0	33
Peyton Higgins	31	301	1	9.7	37
Zeriah Beason	16	208	0	13.0	35

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Nathan Burton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)	54	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Lee	30	11	5	7	1
Julian Peterson	25	5	3	1	0
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
LJ Green	27	2	0	1	6
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4