Troy at Memphis - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -18.5 (57.5) (-1200) Open: -18.5 | 57.5
Memphis 38 - Troy: 17

Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
MEM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Memphis -22 (SP+ MEM -16)
Projected Score: TROY: 18 - MEM: 40 (58)
MEM Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
TROY Travel: 326 miles

Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Troy vs Nevada	-7.5	44.5	L 26 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Troy at Memphis	+18.5	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Troy at Iowa	+23.5	39.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Troy vs Florida A&M	-21.5	48.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Troy vs UL Monroe	-6.0	46.0	L 9 - 13	U	N
Thu 10/3	Troy vs Texas State	+14.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Troy at South Alabama	+10.0	53.0	L 9 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/26	Troy at Arkansas State	+8.5	50.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	+4.0	52.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Troy at Georgia Southern	+7.0	54.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Troy at Louisiana	+7.5	51.5	L 30 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Troy vs Southern Miss	-17.5	48.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Memphis's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Memphis vs North Alabama	-38.5	62.5	W 40 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Memphis vs Troy	-18.5	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Memphis at Florida State	+7.0	52.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Memphis at Navy	-9.5	47.0	L 44 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/28	Memphis vs Middle Tennessee	-27.0	62.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Memphis vs South Florida	-10.0	61.0	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Memphis vs North Texas	-10.5	67.5	W 52 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/26	Memphis vs Charlotte	-17.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/2	Memphis at UTSA	-7.0	62.0	L 36 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/8	Memphis vs Rice	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/16	Memphis vs UAB	-16.0	62.0	W 53 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Memphis at Tulane	+12.5	54.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Tue 12/17	Memphis vs West Virginia	-5.0	60.0	W 42 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)	26	42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)	28.4	45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)	35.7	46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)	23.8	40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	12	26	22.7	44.3%	4.43	1.3	20	370	157	213	4.4	54%	46%	42%	48%	16%	.22
MEM Defense	13	23.8	19.1	40%	4.05	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	40%	40%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	12	28.4	34.3	43.3%	3.77	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	42%	17%	.18
MEM Offense	13	35.7	38.1	43.7%	4.66	0.6	23	446	175	270	5.1	46%	54%	46%	41%	12%	.27

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	12	30:17	20.3	50%	47%	6.7	58.8	1.3	0.7	6.3	1.5	2	27
Memphis	13	33:14	23.1	46%	52%	5.3	48	0.6	1.9	5.8	1.9	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	12	54% (43)	42% (94)	36.1	157.3	4.4	17 (84)	.11 (82)	2.88 (95)	76% (49)	11% (89)	0.95 (77)
MEM Defense	13	43% (5)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.09 (50)	2.64 (20)	64% (22)	12% (20)	1.13 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	12	53% (89)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.12 (68)	2.99 (64)	71% (52)	11% (40)	0.91 (36)
MEM Offense	13	46% (99)	46% (40)	34.2	175.1	5.1	33 (12)	.22 (26)	3.27 (31)	69% (93)	7% (17)	1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	12	46% (92)	48% (15)	17.8	28.3	213.1	7.5	12	21 (51)	9 (48)	.36 (25)	1.5 (81)	31% (64)	35% (32)	.41 (35)	5% (50)	1.9 (109)
MEM Defense	13	56% (130)	40% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (90)	1.7 (93)	34% (40)	30% (70)	.43 (112)	8% (13)	2.4 (134)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	12	47% (48)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.25 (79)	1.6 (76)	29% (107)	30% (71)	.28 (58)	5% (91)	2 (47)
MEM Offense	13	54% (33)	41% (71)	23.8	36.8	270.5	7.3	11.3	25 (31)	6 (10)	.31 (42)	1.6 (47)	30% (44)	34% (40)	.47 (16)	5% (32)	2.1 (61)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -14.63 Memphis: 11.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6 Memphis: 9.6

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 40
Troy 18

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 29
Troy 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 34
Troy 23

Total Points: 57

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Troy	7	Memphis	28	Memphis -4.5	Memphis	51.5	Under
2024	09/07	Memphis	38	Troy	17	Memphis -18.5	Memphis	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	2	2	0 Overs
Troy	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#112) TROY at (#36) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#112	#36
SP+SP+	#96	#31
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#37
OffenseOff	#52	#23
DefenseDef	#107	#67
Spec TeamsST	#125	#66
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#74

Troy Notes(11/18) 2 str W's, upset GaSo. QB Caldwell great TW
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
(7/30) OL has some pieces, Def massive losses
Troy Injury Report

Memphis Notes(12/18) Dumb, poorly coached football team
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks
(8/3) Fav'd in every game but FSU. USF/UTSA bigs
Memphis Injury Report

Troy on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#67
SuccessSuc	#49	#47
ExplosiveExp	#87	#123
PPAPPA	#50	#87
PowerPwr	#58	#61
SP+SP+	#93	#80
Pts POPPO	#22	#96
HavocHav	#75	#11

Troy Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#51	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#45
Run ExplRExp	#77	#120
PPAExp	#82	#50
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#95	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#14
TackleTak	-	#100

Troy Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	#15	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#93
PPAExp	#25	#90
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#119
F7 HavocF7	#89	#20
DB HavocDB	#50	#13

Memphis on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#23	#107
SuccessSuc	#57	#87
ExplosiveExp	#26	#50
PPAPPA	#23	#77
PowerPwr	#29	#111
SP+SP+	#12	#90
Pts POPPO	#14	#65
HavocHav	#18	#60

Memphis Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#29	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	#87
Run ExplRExp	#38	#36
PPAExp	#26	#68
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	#31	#64
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#80
TackleTak	-	#95

Memphis Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#76
PPAExp	#42	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#9	#133
F7 HavocF7	#17	#40
DB HavocDB	#32	#91

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Memphis -18.5 (57.5)
Memphis won vs Troy this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Troy last year (38-17)

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	141	224	63%	1608	13	8	7.2
Will Crowder	44	63	70%	547	5	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Taylor	173	1010	7	5.8	56
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Tucker Kilcrease	39	118	0	3.0	25
Will Crowder	17	63	1	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devonte Ross	76	1044	11	13.7	98
Landon Parker	27	350	0	13.0	33
Peyton Higgins	31	301	1	9.7	37
Zeriah Beason	16	208	0	13.0	35

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Nathan Burton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)	54	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Lee	30	11	5	7	1
Julian Peterson	25	5	3	1	0
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
LJ Green	27	2	0	1	6
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3
Harris Boyd	1	1	100%	14	0	0	14.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)	236	1362	18	5.8	53
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Gregory DeRosiers	31	228	3	7.4	46
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Anthony Landphere	33	379	4	11.5	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Matt Hudson (Tr)	60	4	1	1	0
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
William Whitlow Jr.	24	8	5	3	1
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6