Troy at Louisiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (5:00 PM EST)
Louisiana -7.5 (51.5) (-285) Open: -10.5
Louisiana 51 - Troy: 30 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

TROY 2nd straight Road Game
ULL 3rd straight Home Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -15.5 (SP+ ULL -11)
Projected Score: TROY: 19 - ULL: 35 (55)
ULL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 377 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (10 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (13 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Troy vs Nevada	-7.5	44.5	L 26 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Troy at Memphis	+18.5	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Troy at Iowa	+23.5	39.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Troy vs Florida A&M	-21.5	48.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Troy vs UL Monroe	-6.0	46.0	L 9 - 13	U	N
Thu 10/3	Troy vs Texas State	+14.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Troy at South Alabama	+10.0	53.0	L 9 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/26	Troy at Arkansas State	+8.5	50.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	+4.0	52.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Troy at Georgia Southern	+7.0	54.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Troy at Louisiana	+7.5	51.5	L 30 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Troy vs Southern Miss	-17.5	48.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Louisiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana vs Grambling	-26
Sat 9/7	Louisiana at Kennesaw State	-14.5	46.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisiana vs Tulane	+1.5	53.5	L 33 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana at Wake Forest	+3.0	59.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Louisiana at Southern Miss	-17.5	57.5	W 23 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	-10.0	64.0	W 34 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisiana at Coastal Carolina	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29	Louisiana at Texas State	+4.0	60.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana vs Arkansas State	-14.0	60.0	W 55 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana vs South Alabama	-6.5	60.0	L 22 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Louisiana vs Troy	-7.5	51.5	W 51 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana at UL Monroe	-8.5	50.5	W 37 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Louisiana vs Marshall	-5.0	58.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/28	Louisiana vs TCU	+9.5	61.0	L 3 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	#56 (.21)	41% (78)	26	42% (79)	3.12 (66)	154	41% (79)	265	3.78 (78)	#4 (.03)	38% (27)	28.4	37% (22)	40% (43)	2.96 (10)	46.4	1.3	1.6
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	30.9	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	24.1	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	26	22.7	41.4%	3.78	1.3	21	419	154	265	4.4	48%	51%	42%	41%	15%	.21
ULL Defense	13	24.1	25.6	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	28.4	34.3	38.1%	2.96	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	40%	18%	.03
ULL Offense	13	30.9	34	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:59	21.1	41%	45%	5.1	46.4	1.3	1.6	6.9	3.1	1	30.9
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	48% (85)	42% (79)	34.6	153.9	4.4	19 (69)	.15 (75)	3.12 (66)	72% (88)	10% (62)	1.03 (50)
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47% (29)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (10)	2.75 (18)	60% (9)	13% (9)	0.97 (48)
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	51% (45)	41% (79)	19.9	32.6	265.1	8.1	13.3	29 (18)	6 (14)	.29 (66)	1.7 (41)	33% (85)	29% (80)	.3 (78)	6% (60)	2.2 (31)
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	52% (105)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.12 (11)	1.4 (12)	34% (36)	28% (41)	.2 (16)	5% (105)	1.9 (28)
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -14.63 Louisiana: 4.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6 Louisiana: 4.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
2024 Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Louisiana's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Louisiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 35
Troy 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Louisiana	51	Troy	30	Louisiana	Louisiana -7.5	Louisiana	51.5	Over
2023	11/18	Troy	31	Louisiana	24	Troy	Troy -17.5	Louisiana	47.5	Over
2022	11/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	23	Troy	Troy -3.5	Troy	42.5	Under
2021	11/13	Troy	21	Louisiana	35	Louisiana	Louisiana -6.5	Louisiana	48.0	Over
2019	11/23	Louisiana	53	Troy	3	Louisiana	Louisiana -13	Louisiana	74.5	Under
2018	11/03	Troy	26	Louisiana	16	Troy	Troy -7.5	Troy	64.5	Under
2015	12/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	41	Troy	Louisiana -2	Troy	57.0	Over
2014	11/29	Troy	23	Louisiana	42	Louisiana	Louisiana -9.5	Louisiana	59.5	Over
2013	11/07	Louisiana	41	Troy	36	Louisiana	Louisiana -13	Troy	0
2012	09/08	Troy	24	Louisiana	37	Louisiana
2011	10/08	Louisiana	31	Troy	17	Louisiana
2010	10/16	Troy	31	Louisiana	24	Troy
2009	11/28	Louisiana	31	Troy	48	Troy
2008	11/22	Troy	48	Louisiana	3	Troy
2007	09/22	Louisiana	31	Troy	48	Troy
2006	11/04	Troy	42	Louisiana	28	Troy
2005	10/29	Louisiana	31	Troy	28	Louisiana
2004	11/13	Louisiana	10	Troy	13	Troy

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	8	5	5 Overs
Troy	10	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	3 - 6	3 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 10	6 - 3	3 - 0	3 - 3

(#112) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 422.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR

Troy Ratings Matchup Louisiana

Power #112

#67

Off #58

#11

Def #111

#103

Talent #113

#85

SP+ #96

#53

SP+ Off #93

#38

SP+ Def #90

#78

Rematch from Week 13
Louisiana -7.5 (51.5)
Louisiana won vs Troy this year (51-30)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Troy last year (51-30)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2023 (31-24)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2022 (23-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | ULL
Depth Chart: TROY | ULL
Rosters: TROY | ULL

(#67) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #67
Offense Rating: 26.51 #11
Defense Rating: 14.25 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #78
Talent Rating: 548.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Notes
(11/25) Beat Troy, beat ULM=likely in SBC title game
(11/20) QB Wooldridge out for the season, Fields in
(11/18) Awful perf vs S Al, down 20-6 into 4th.
(11/3) Big W @ Tx St, QB good, Rgame good, Def great
(11/3) Only undefeated SBC team left after Tex St W
(10/20) Off 500+ yds, Wooldridge great vs Coastal
(10/12) OG's by App St but forced 5 TOs, Rgame decent
(9/28) Outgained Tul but 2 TOs, 2-9 3rd down cost game
(9/28) Even w/ Wake, Rgame 209 yds, QB good again
(9/25) QB Wooldridge decent, Run Def extremely bad

Troy's OC Sean Reagan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	141	224	63%	1608	13	8	7.2
Will Crowder	44	63	70%	547	5	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Taylor	173	1010	7	5.8	56
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Tucker Kilcrease	39	118	0	3.0	25
Will Crowder	17	63	1	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devonte Ross	76	1044	11	13.7	98
Peyton Higgins	31	301	1	9.7	37
Zeriah Beason	16	208	0	13.0	35
Brody Dalton	15	188	3	12.5	36

View Troy's Full Roster

Troy's DC Dontae Wright

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)	54	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Lee	30	11	5	7	1
Julian Peterson	25	5	3	1	0
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LJ Green	27	2	0	1	6
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)	54	2	0	1	4

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Beale	13	30	43%	126	0	2	4.2
D'Wayne' Winfield	1	2	50%	6	0	0	3.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	163	796	9	4.9	73
Zylan Perry	112	695	4	6.2	30
Dre'Lyn Washington	73	478	5	6.5	64
Bill Davis	9	103	0	11.4	73

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrance Carter	48	689	4	14.4	74
Harvey Broussard	31	486	3	15.7	50
Robert Williams	26	290	1	11.2	47
Caden Jensen	19	138	2	7.3	18

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Tyree Skipper	41	0	0	0	2
Jaden Dugger (Tr)	37	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	36	7	6	3	1
Jordan Lawson	44	11	6	5	1
Fitzgerald West Jr. (Tr)	21	2	1	0	0
Chase Edwards	8	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Justin Agu	36	2	4
Kody Jackson	22	1	3
Tyree Skipper	41	0	2