Coastal Carolina at Troy - 2024 Matchup Preview

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Troy Trojans

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Coastal Carolina -4 (52.0) (-180) Open: -5.0
Troy 38 - Coastal Carolina: 24 (Sun Belt)

Chanticleers (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck* (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (24 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CCU coming off BYE
Our Line: Troy -2 (SP+ TROY -0)
Projected Score: CCU: 26 - TROY: 28 (53)
CCU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CCU Travel: 426 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CCU Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Coastal Carolina at Jacksonville State	+3.5	54.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Coastal Carolina vs William & Mary	-17.5	0.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Coastal Carolina at Temple	-17.5	51.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/21	Coastal Carolina vs Virginia	+3.5	52.0	L 24 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion	-4.0	51.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Thu 10/10	Coastal Carolina at James Madison	+7.0	59.0	L 7 - 39	U	N
Sat 10/19	Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana	+6.0	57.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Coastal Carolina at Troy	-4.0	52.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Thu 11/7	Coastal Carolina vs App State	+1.5	62.5	W 38 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Coastal Carolina at Marshall	+7.5	57.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern	-2.0	59.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/30	Coastal Carolina at Georgia State	+0.5	52.5	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Mon 12/23	Coastal Carolina at UTSA	+12.5	56.5	L 15 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule

Troy's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Troy vs Nevada	-7.5	44.5	L 26 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Troy at Memphis	+18.5	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/14	Troy at Iowa	+23.5	39.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Troy vs Florida A&M	-21.5	48.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Troy vs UL Monroe	-6.0	46.0	L 9 - 13	U	N
Thu 10/3	Troy vs Texas State	+14.5	56.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Troy at South Alabama	+10.0	53.0	L 9 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/26	Troy at Arkansas State	+8.5	50.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Troy vs Coastal Carolina	+4.0	52.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Troy at Georgia Southern	+7.0	54.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Troy at Louisiana	+7.5	51.5	L 30 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Troy vs Southern Miss	-17.5	48.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU	#53 (.22)	42% (75)	22.2	40% (100)	2.91 (106)	155	43% (52)	262	3.45 (99)	#53 (.16)	44% (94)	33.1	47% (114)	41% (56)	3.77 (67)	57.6	1.3	1.8
TROY	#56 (.21)	41% (78)	23.5	42% (79)	3.12 (66)	154	41% (79)	265	3.78 (78)	#4 (.03)	38% (27)	23.9	37% (22)	40% (43)	2.96 (10)	46.4	1.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Offense	13	22.2	24	41.5%	3.45	1.3	21	416	155	262	4.3	49%	50%	40%	43%	14%	.22
TROY Defense	14	23.9	22.8	38.1%	2.96	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	40%	18%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CCU Defense	13	33.1	41.3	43.8%	3.77	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	47%	41%	15%	.16
TROY Offense	14	23.5	25.3	41.4%	3.78	1.3	21	419	154	265	4.4	48%	51%	42%	41%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina	13	31:44	21.2	44%	38%	5.6	57.6	1.3	1.8	4.2	1.5	2	27.4
Troy	14	30:59	21.1	41%	45%	5.1	46.4	1.3	1.6	6.9	3.1	1	30.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Offense	13	49% (75)	40% (100)	35.7	154.8	4.3	17 (81)	.09 (100)	2.91 (106)	67% (109)	10% (70)	1.01 (60)
TROY Defense	14	47% (29)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (10)	2.75 (18)	60% (9)	13% (9)	0.97 (48)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CCU Defense	13	52% (91)	47% (114)	-	-	-	-	.21 (105)	3.4 (118)	83% (118)	8% (120)	0.97 (47)
TROY Offense	14	48% (85)	42% (79)	34.6	153.9	4.4	19 (69)	.15 (75)	3.12 (66)	72% (88)	10% (62)	1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Offense	13	50% (57)	43% (52)	21	31.5	261.6	8.3	12.5	24 (41)	9 (40)	.37 (32)	1.7 (37)	32% (66)	34% (31)	.55 (12)	4% (10)	2.3 (10)
TROY Defense	14	52% (105)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.12 (11)	1.4 (12)	34% (36)	28% (41)	.2 (16)	5% (105)	1.9 (28)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CCU Defense	13	48% (44)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.13 (12)	1.5 (38)	32% (72)	33% (109)	.23 (27)	7% (52)	1.9 (18)
TROY Offense	14	51% (45)	41% (79)	19.9	32.6	265.1	8.1	13.3	29 (18)	6 (14)	.29 (66)	1.7 (41)	33% (85)	29% (80)	.3 (78)	6% (60)	2.2 (31)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -13.56 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.50 #90
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.88 #101
2024 Talent Rating: 236.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -13.56 Troy: -8.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -6.9 Troy: -6.6

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 208.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 28
Coastal Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Troy	38	Coastal Carolina	24	Coastal Carolina -4	Troy	52.0	Over
2022	12/03	Troy	45	Coastal Carolina	26	Troy -7	Troy	49.0	Over
2021	10/28	Coastal Carolina	35	Troy	28	Coastal Carolina -17	Troy	50.0	Over
2020	12/12	Troy	38	Coastal Carolina	42	Coastal Carolina -13.5	Troy	51.5	Over
2019	11/02	Coastal Carolina	36	Troy	35	Troy -2	Coastal Carolina	60.5	Over
2018	09/29	Troy	45	Coastal Carolina	21	Troy -13.5	Troy	57.5	Over
2017	11/11	Coastal Carolina	17	Troy	42	Troy -17	Troy	52.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	4	6	7 Overs
Coastal Carolina	3	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2

(#110) CCU at (#112) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CCU	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#110	#112
SP+SP+	#98	#96
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#89
OffenseOff	#79	#52
DefenseDef	#114	#107
Spec TeamsST	#94	#125
TalentTal	#103	#113
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#65

Coastal Carolina Notes(11/25) 4 TO's, Pass Def torched in bad L vs GaSo
(11/18) 3 TOs cost @ Marsh, Off OK, Run Def great in L
(11/8) Rgame good vs App St, 200+ yds, 5 ypc, 4 TD in W
(11/3) Run D torched by Troy? 3 straight L's, getting sad
(11/3) Beck called plays (Trickett) vs Troy, meh
(10/20) Pass D torched by ULL, all 17 4th Q pts in L
(10/10) Run Def all 200 yds (5.4 ypc) vs Old D. Vasko good
(10/10) Feasted on shit teams. Not competitive vs goods
(9/23) Run Def destroyed by UVA. Regroup after Bye?
(9/20) 1st 3 games, Run 2/3 time and good, pass bad
(7/30) HC Beck (bad IMO), OC & DC all in 2nd year
(7/30) QB battle Vasko (J w/ legs), Kim (MSU)/Hudson (NC)
Coastal Carolina Injury Report

Troy Notes(11/18) 2 str W's, upset GaSo. QB Caldwell great TW
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
(7/30) OL has some pieces, Def massive losses
Troy Injury Report

Coastal Carolina on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#107
SuccessSuc	#75	#27
ExplosiveExp	#27	#28
PPAPPA	#53	#4
PowerPwr	#90	#111
SP+SP+	#82	#90
Pts POPPO	#99	#10
HavocHav	#43	#25

Coastal Carolina Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#45	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#100	#22
Run ExplRExp	#60	#48
PPAExp	#100	#10
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#18
Stuff RateStuff	#124	#15
TackleTak	-	#95

Coastal Carolina Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#37	#12
PPAExp	#32	#11
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#85	#133
F7 HavocF7	#70	#9
DB HavocDB	#10	#105

Troy on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#114
SuccessSuc	#78	#94
ExplosiveExp	#33	#25
PPAPPA	#56	#53
PowerPwr	#58	#101
SP+SP+	#93	#108
Pts POPPO	#78	#67
HavocHav	#63	#104

Troy Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#51	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	#79	#114
Run ExplRExp	#50	#47
PPAExp	#75	#105
Run BlockR Blk	#66	-
OL YdsOLY	#66	#118
Stuff RateStuff	#89	#114
TackleTak	-	#109

Troy Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	TROY Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#79	#56
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#38
PPAExp	#66	#12
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#92	#78
F7 HavocF7	#62	#120
DB HavocDB	#60	#52

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Coastal Carolina 4.0 (52.0)
Troy won vs Coastal Carolina this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Coastal Carolina in 2024 (38-24)

CCU's OC Travis Trickett (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Vasko	148	271	55%	2120	14	8	7.8
Noah Kim (Tr)	30	56	54%	333	4	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braydon Bennett	134	781	11	5.8	67
Christian Washington (Tr)	102	537	5	5.3	68
Ethan Vasko	107	447	5	4.2	29
Simeon Price (Tr)	44	136	0	3.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jameson Tucker	33	574	6	17.4	47
Bryson Graves	27	327	2	12.1	50
Senika McKie (Tr)	24	319	4	13.3	41
Cameron Wright	19	314	2	16.5	58

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Craig Naivar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shane Bruce	68	5	0	2	1
Tobias Fletcher	59	0	0	0	0
Barry Brown	58	5	1	1	0
Juan Powell	57	2	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clev Lubin	43	11	10	7	3
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)	34	7	5	6	2
Tray Brown	34	6	3	4	1
Will Whitson	20	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Matthew McDoom	36	3	0	10
Cristian Conyer (Tr)	9	0	0	3
Juan Powell	57	2	1	3

TROY's OC Sean Reagan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Matthew Caldwell	141	224	63%	1608	13	8	7.2
Will Crowder	44	63	70%	547	5	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Taylor	173	1010	7	5.8	56
Gerald Green (Tr)	111	545	3	4.9	51
Tucker Kilcrease	39	118	0	3.0	25
Will Crowder	17	63	1	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devonte Ross	76	1044	11	13.7	98
Landon Parker	27	350	0	13.0	33
Peyton Higgins	31	301	1	9.7	37
Zeriah Beason	16	208	0	13.0	35

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Nathan Burton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)	54	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Lee	30	11	5	7	1
Julian Peterson	25	5	3	1	0
Brendan Jackson (Tr)	77	16	2	2	3
Jordan Stringer	77	8	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
LJ Green	27	2	0	1	6
Justin Powe	67	2	1	0	4