Coastal Carolina at Troy - 2024 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Coastal Carolina -4 (52.0) (-180)  Open: -5.0
Troy 38 - Coastal Carolina: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
CCU coming off BYE
Our Line: Troy -2   (SP+ TROY -0)

Projected Score: CCU: 26 - TROY: 28 (55)
CCU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CCU Travel: 426 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Coastal Carolina at Jacksonville State+3.554.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Coastal Carolina vs William & Mary-17.50.0W 40 - 21OY
Sat 9/14 Coastal Carolina at Temple-17.551.5W 28 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Coastal Carolina vs Virginia+3.552.0L 24 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion-4.051.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/10 Coastal Carolina at James Madison+7.059.0L 7 - 39UN
Sat 10/19 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana+6.057.0L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Coastal Carolina at Troy-4.052.0L 24 - 38ON
Thu 11/7 Coastal Carolina vs App State+1.562.5W 38 - 24UY
Sat 11/16 Coastal Carolina at Marshall+7.557.0L 19 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern-2.059.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/30 Coastal Carolina at Georgia State+0.552.5W 48 - 27OY
Mon 12/23 Coastal Carolina at UTSA+12.556.5L 15 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Troy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Nevada-7.544.5L 26 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Troy at Memphis+18.557.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 9/14 Troy at Iowa+23.539.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/21 Troy vs Florida A&M-21.548.5W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/28 Troy vs UL Monroe-6.046.0L 9 - 13UN
Thu 10/3 Troy vs Texas State+14.556.0L 17 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Troy at South Alabama+10.053.0L 9 - 25UN
Sat 10/26 Troy at Arkansas State+8.550.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/2 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+4.052.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Troy at Georgia Southern+7.054.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+7.551.5L 30 - 51ON
Sat 11/30 Troy vs Southern Miss-17.548.5W 52 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)28.743% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)31.646% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)2642% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)28.445% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense1328.72840.5%4.241.3183751732024.756%44%43%37%14%.18
TROY Defense1228.422.543.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 53%47%45%42%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense1331.632.343.4%4.121.7 - - - - - 53%47%46%41%14%.21
TROY Offense122629.344.3%4.431.3203701572134.454%46%42%48%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina1328:4918.138%36%6.963.81.31.74.42.2229.3
Troy1230:1720.350%47%6.758.81.30.76.31.5227
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense1356% (29)43% (81)37172.84.721 (59).14 (61)3.05 (63)77% (40)8% (25)1.03 (44)
TROY Defense1253% (89)45% (87) - - - - .12 (68)2.99 (64)71% (52)11% (40)0.91 (36)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense1353% (97)46% (98) - - - - .14 (76)3.39 (122)85% (128)9% (99)0.92 (41)
TROY Offense1254% (43)42% (94)36.1157.34.417 (84).11 (82)2.88 (95)76% (49)11% (89)0.95 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense1344% (106)37% (112)1527.52027.313.520 (58)11 (72).26 (68)1.9 (9)33% (104)28% (100).3 (84)6% (86)2.3 (10)
TROY Defense1247% (48)42% (76) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (79)1.6 (76)29% (107)30% (71).28 (58)5% (91)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense1347% (39)41% (72) - - - - - - 11 (52).3 (102)1.8 (117)33% (47)30% (58).26 (46)5% (109)2.1 (73)
TROY Offense1246% (92)48% (15)17.828.3213.17.51221 (51)9 (48).36 (25)1.5 (81)31% (64)35% (32).41 (35)5% (50)1.9 (109)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -13.56 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.50 #90
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.88 #101
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -13.56   Troy: -8.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -6.9   Troy: -6.6




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
Coastal Carolina 26


Total Points: 55

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Troy38Coastal Carolina24TroyCoastal Carolina -4Troy52.0Over
202212/03Troy45Coastal Carolina26TroyTroy -7Troy49.0Over
202110/28Coastal Carolina35Troy28Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina -17Troy50.0Over
202012/12Troy38Coastal Carolina42Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina -13.5Troy51.5Over
201911/02Coastal Carolina36Troy35Coastal CarolinaTroy -2Coastal Carolina60.5Over
201809/29Troy45Coastal Carolina21TroyTroy -13.5Troy57.5Over
201711/11Coastal Carolina17Troy42TroyTroy -17Troy52.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy467 Overs
Coastal Carolina310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 25 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#110) Coastal Carolina Info
Power Rating: -13.56 #110
Offense Rating: 17.50 #90
Defense Rating: 13.88 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Coastal Carolina has lost 2 straight
Coastal Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Coastal Carolina Notes
(11/18) 3 TOs cost @ Marsh, Off OK, Run Def great in L
(11/8) Rgame good vs App St, 200+ yds, 5 ypc, 4 TD in W
(11/3) Run D torched by Troy? 3 straight L's, getting sad
(11/3) Beck called plays (Trickett) vs Troy, meh
(10/20) Pass D torched by ULL, all 17 4th Q pts in L
(10/10) Run Def all 200 yds (5.4 ypc) vs Old D. Vasko good
(10/10) Feasted on shit teams. Not competitive vs goods
(9/23) Run Def destroyed by UVA. Regroup after Bye?
(9/20) 1st 3 games, Run 2/3 time and good, pass bad
(7/30) HC Beck (bad IMO), OC & DC all in 2nd year

Coastal Carolina Highlights
Coastal Carolina offense is explosive (#110)

Coastal Carolina Deficiencies
Coastal Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Coastal Carolina pass game is really bad (#120)
Coastal Carolina Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Coastal Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#116)
Coastal Carolina has a bad defensive line (#78)
Coastal Carolina has a bad red zone defense (#67)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTROYCCU
OverallOver#63#72
OffenseOff#45#64
DefenseDef#87#94
Special TeamsST#102#79
PassingPass#69#35
RushingRush#36#30
Run BlockRBLK#52#66
Pass BlockPBLK#78#73
Route RunningWR Rt#27#75
TacklingTkl#82#94
Run DefenseR Def#61#97
Pass Rush DefPRush#112#67
Coverage DefCov#86#85

Rematch from Week 10
Coastal Carolina 4.0 (52.0)
Troy won vs Coastal Carolina this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Coastal Carolina last year (38-24)
Troy beat Coastal Carolina in 2022 (45-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CCU | TROY
Depth Chart: CCU | TROY
Rosters: CCU | TROY
(#112) Troy Info
Power Rating: -8.115 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has lost 4 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR

Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs

Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)


  
Coastal Carolina's OC Travis Trickett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko14827155%21201487.8
Noah Kim (Tr)305654%333415.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braydon Bennett134781115.867
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Ethan Vasko10744754.229
Simeon Price (Tr)4413603.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jameson Tucker33574617.447
Bryson Graves27327212.150
Senika McKie (Tr)24319413.341
Cameron Wright19314216.558

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster
Coastal Carolina's DC Craig Naivar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Bruce685021
Tobias Fletcher590000
Barry Brown585110
Juan Powell572013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin43111073
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)347562
Tray Brown346341
Will Whitson204220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom3630010
Cristian Conyer (Tr)90003
Juan Powell572013

Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell14122463%16081387.2
Will Crowder446370%547508.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Taylor173101075.856
Gerald Green (Tr)11154534.951
Tucker Kilcrease3911803.025
Will Crowder176313.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross7610441113.798
Landon Parker27350013.033
Peyton Higgins3130119.737
Zeriah Beason16208013.035

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)7716223
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)542014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Lee3011571
Julian Peterson255310
Brendan Jackson (Tr)7716223
Jordan Stringer778210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaje Yancey494208
LJ Green272016
Justin Powe672104