Troy at Iowa - 2024 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -23.5 (39.5) (-3000)  Open: -22.5 | 38.5
Iowa 38 - Troy: 21

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 2nd straight Road Game
IOWA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Iowa -26   (SP+ IOWA -22)

Projected Score: TROY: 10 - IOWA: 36 (45)
IOWA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
TROY Travel: 748 miles
Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs Nevada-7.544.5L 26 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Troy at Memphis+18.557.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 9/14 Troy at Iowa+23.539.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/21 Troy vs Florida A&M-21.548.5W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/28 Troy vs UL Monroe-6.046.0L 9 - 13UN
Thu 10/3 Troy vs Texas State+14.556.0L 17 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Troy at South Alabama+10.053.0L 9 - 25UN
Sat 10/26 Troy at Arkansas State+8.550.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/2 Troy vs Coastal Carolina+4.052.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Troy at Georgia Southern+7.054.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Troy at Louisiana+7.551.5L 30 - 51ON
Sat 11/30 Troy vs Southern Miss-17.548.5W 52 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa vs Illinois State-31.5
Sat 9/7 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.035.0L 19 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 Iowa vs Troy-23.539.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Iowa at Minnesota-3.034.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Iowa at Ohio State+17.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/12 Iowa vs Washington-2.541.5W 40 - 16OY
Sat 10/19 Iowa at Michigan State-7.039.5L 20 - 32ON
Sat 10/26 Iowa vs Northwestern-16.538.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Iowa vs Wisconsin-2.540.0W 42 - 10OY
Fri 11/8 Iowa at UCLA-6.544.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Iowa at Maryland-4.040.5W 29 - 13OY
Fri 11/29 Iowa vs Nebraska-3.541.5W 13 - 10UN
Mon 12/30 Iowa vs Missouri+1.041.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)2642% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)28.445% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense122622.744.3%4.431.3203701572134.454%46%42%48%16%.22
IOWA Defense1317.81342%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1228.434.343.3%3.770.7 - - - - - 53%47%45%42%17%.18
IOWA Offense1327.733.142.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1230:1720.350%47%6.758.81.30.76.31.5227
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1254% (43)42% (94)36.1157.34.417 (84).11 (82)2.88 (95)76% (49)11% (89)0.95 (77)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1253% (89)45% (87) - - - - .12 (68)2.99 (64)71% (52)11% (40)0.91 (36)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1246% (92)48% (15)17.828.3213.17.51221 (51)9 (48).36 (25)1.5 (81)31% (64)35% (32).41 (35)5% (50)1.9 (109)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1247% (48)42% (76) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (79)1.6 (76)29% (107)30% (71).28 (58)5% (91)2 (47)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -14.63   Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6   Iowa: 15.8




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 36
Troy 10


Total Points: 45

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Iowa38Troy21IowaIowa -23.5Troy39.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa101 Overs
Troy010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#112) Troy Info
Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Troy has lost 2 straight
Troy has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR

Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs

Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatIOWATROY
OverallOver#7#63
OffenseOff#30#45
DefenseDef#6#87
Special TeamsST#9#102
PassingPass#78#69
RushingRush#60#36
Run BlockRBLK#4#52
Pass BlockPBLK#15#78
Route RunningWR Rt#98#27
TacklingTkl#27#82
Run DefenseR Def#34#61
Pass Rush DefPRush#12#112
Coverage DefCov#6#86

Rematch from Week 3
Iowa -23.5 (39.5)
Iowa won vs Troy this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Troy last year (38-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | IOWA
Depth Chart: TROY | IOWA
Rosters: TROY | IOWA
(#31) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Iowa has lost 1 straight
Iowa has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad

Iowa Highlights
Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa defense is really good in red zone (#76)
Iowa Secondary is very good (#99)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#1)
Iowa Does Not Stuff Runs (#53)


  
Troy's OC Sean Reagan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell14122463%16081387.2
Will Crowder446370%547508.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Taylor173101075.856
Gerald Green (Tr)11154534.951
Tucker Kilcrease3911803.025
Will Crowder176313.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross7610441113.798
Landon Parker27350013.033
Peyton Higgins3130119.737
Zeriah Beason16208013.035

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Dontae Wright
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Jackson (Tr)7716223
Jordan Stringer778210
Justin Powe672104
Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr)542014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Lee3011571
Julian Peterson255310
Brendan Jackson (Tr)7716223
Jordan Stringer778210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaje Yancey494208
LJ Green272016
Justin Powe672104

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara10417261%1017655.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Johnson2401537216.475
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)35411211.759
Luke Lachey2823108.328
Kaleb Johnson2218828.572
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Higgins1243165
Nick Jackson915357
Quinn Schulte620003
Sebastian Castro573011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Deontae Craig437361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Jackson915357
Jermari Harris271007
Jay Higgins1243165