Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars
Tuesday, October 15th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -10 (53.0) (-395) Open: -13.5
South Alabama 25 - Troy: 9 (Sun Belt)
Trojans (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Gerad Parker (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
TROY coming off BYE
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -12.5 (SP+ USA -9)
Projected Score: TROY: 22 - USA: 35 (57)
USA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TROY Travel: 145 miles
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -12.5 (SP+ USA -9)
Projected Score: TROY: 22 - USA: 35 (57)
USA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TROY Travel: 145 miles
Jaguars (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Major Applewhite (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
| Troy's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Troy vs Nevada | -7.5 | 44.5 | L 26 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Troy at Memphis | +18.5 | 57.5 | L 17 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Troy at Iowa | +23.5 | 39.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Troy vs Florida A&M | -21.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 12 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Troy vs UL Monroe | -6.0 | 46.0 | L 9 - 13 | U | N | |
| Thu 10/3 | Troy vs Texas State | +14.5 | 56.0 | L 17 - 38 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/15 | Troy at South Alabama | +10.0 | 53.0 | L 9 - 25 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Troy at Arkansas State | +8.5 | 50.0 | L 31 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Troy vs Coastal Carolina | +4.0 | 52.0 | W 38 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Troy at Georgia Southern | +7.0 | 54.0 | W 28 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Troy at Louisiana | +7.5 | 51.5 | L 30 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Troy vs Southern Miss | -17.5 | 48.5 | W 52 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| South Alabama's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | South Alabama vs North Texas | -6.0 | 61.5 | L 38 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | South Alabama at Ohio | -1.5 | 55.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Thu 9/12 | South Alabama vs Northwestern State | -36.5 | 60.5 | W 87 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/19 | South Alabama at App State | +8.0 | 62.5 | W 48 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | South Alabama at LSU | +21.0 | 64.5 | L 10 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | South Alabama at Arkansas State | -2.5 | 62.5 | L 16 - 18 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/15 | South Alabama vs Troy | -10.0 | 53.0 | W 25 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | South Alabama vs UL Monroe | -7.0 | 45.0 | W 46 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | South Alabama vs Georgia Southern | -5.5 | 60.0 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | South Alabama at Louisiana | +6.5 | 60.0 | W 24 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | South Alabama at Southern Miss | -24.0 | 54.0 | W 35 - 14 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | South Alabama vs Texas State | +2.5 | 60.5 | L 38 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/14 | South Alabama vs Western Michigan | -6.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 23 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 26 | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 28.4 | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 34.4 | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 25.2 | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | #50 (.22) | 44% (49) | 42% (94) | 2.88 (95) | 157 | 48% (15) | 213 | 4.43 (22) | #77 (.18) | 43% (87) | 45% (87) | 42% (76) | 3.77 (65) | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | ||
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 12 | 26 | 22.7 | 44.3% | 4.43 | 1.3 | 20 | 370 | 157 | 213 | 4.4 | 54% | 46% | 42% | 48% | 16% | .22 |
| USA Defense | 13 | 25.2 | 27.8 | 40.9% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 39% | 43% | 16% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 12 | 28.4 | 34.3 | 43.3% | 3.77 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 45% | 42% | 17% | .18 |
| USA Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 44 | 49.8% | 4.66 | 0.9 | 22 | 442 | 199 | 243 | 5.8 | 51% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 14% | .34 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 12 | 30:17 | 20.3 | 50% | 47% | 6.7 | 58.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 27 |
| South Alabama | 13 | 29:20 | 21.5 | 39% | 68% | 8.2 | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 12 | 54% (43) | 42% (94) | 36.1 | 157.3 | 4.4 | 17 (84) | .11 (82) | 2.88 (95) | 76% (49) | 11% (89) | 0.95 (77) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 48% (38) | 39% (28) | - | - | - | - | .09 (53) | 2.78 (32) | 71% (51) | 10% (78) | 1.05 (98) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 12 | 53% (89) | 45% (87) | - | - | - | - | .12 (68) | 2.99 (64) | 71% (52) | 11% (40) | 0.91 (36) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 51% (67) | 53% (4) | 34.1 | 199.2 | 5.8 | 32 (14) | .33 (3) | 3.57 (6) | 82% (12) | 10% (79) | 1.06 (40) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Offense | 12 | 46% (92) | 48% (15) | 17.8 | 28.3 | 213.1 | 7.5 | 12 | 21 (51) | 9 (48) | .36 (25) | 1.5 (81) | 31% (64) | 35% (32) | .41 (35) | 5% (50) | 1.9 (109) |
| USA Defense | 13 | 52% (98) | 43% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .24 (73) | 1.5 (32) | 32% (69) | 30% (55) | .15 (8) | 6% (59) | 1.7 (5) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TROY Defense | 12 | 47% (48) | 42% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .25 (79) | 1.6 (76) | 29% (107) | 30% (71) | .28 (58) | 5% (91) | 2 (47) |
| USA Offense | 13 | 49% (68) | 47% (18) | 19.5 | 30 | 243.2 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 21 (51) | 6 (10) | .36 (27) | 1.5 (101) | 29% (27) | 33% (49) | .48 (15) | 4% (14) | 2.2 (14) |
Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Troy's Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Troy's Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Troy's Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Troy's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Troy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: -14.63 South Alabama: 2.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6 South Alabama: 2.8
Troy: -14.63 South Alabama: 2.08
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.6 South Alabama: 2.8
South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.08 #76
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
South Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3
Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3
Troy's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 35
Troy 22
Total Points: 57
South Alabama 35
Troy 22
Total Points: 57
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
South Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/15 | South Alabama | 25 | Troy | 9 | South Alabama | South Alabama -10 | South Alabama | 53.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/02 | Troy | 28 | South Alabama | 10 | Troy | Troy -5.5 | Troy | 44.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/20 | South Alabama | 6 | Troy | 10 | Troy | South Alabama -3 | Troy | 47.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Troy | 31 | South Alabama | 24 | Troy | Troy -3.5 | Troy | 47.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/05 | South Alabama | 0 | Troy | 29 | Troy | Troy -4.5 | Troy | 53.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/16 | Troy | 37 | South Alabama | 13 | Troy | Troy -17.5 | Troy | 55.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/23 | South Alabama | 17 | Troy | 38 | Troy | Troy -11 | Troy | 52.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/11 | Troy | 8 | South Alabama | 19 | South Alabama | Troy -18 | South Alabama | 51.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/20 | South Alabama | 21 | Troy | 28 | Troy | Troy -9 | South Alabama | 49.0 | Push |
| 2015 | 10/03 | Troy | 18 | South Alabama | 24 | South Alabama | Troy -3 | South Alabama | 61.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/24 | South Alabama | 27 | Troy | 13 | South Alabama | South Alabama -12 | South Alabama | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/05 | Troy | 34 | South Alabama | 33 | Troy | Troy -2.5 | South Alabama | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | South Alabama | 10 | Troy | 31 | Troy |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 4 | 6 | 2 Overs |
| Troy | 9 | 6 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 7 | 6 - 6 | 5 - 4 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 6 | 6 - 6 | 2 - 1 | 4 - 5 |
(#112) Troy Info
Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 2 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs
Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)
Power Rating: -14.63 #112
Offense Rating: 20.68 #58
Defense Rating: 15.27 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Great Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Troy has lost 2 straight
Troy has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Troy Notes
(11/3) Blasted C. Car, Rgame 344 yds, 6.4 ypc in upset
(10/27) Still fighting, close L (Ark St), Off 450+, Def bad
(10/22) QB Crowder out for season, 2 QB split for now
(10/16) Run game is awful, Run defense is almost as bad
(10/4) Runs 56% but horrible success. QB decent, D bad
(9/8) Serious Rgame issues, bad 0-2 start. Lotta flags
(9/8) QB Crower JAG, D all. 214 Ryds @ home (Nev L)
(7/30) New HC Parker (ND OC), OC Reagan (WVU QB)
(7/30) Major roster TO. 25 transfers out, only 11 in
(7/30) Bottom 5 ret prod. Lost QB, RB, top 3 WR
Troy Highlights
Troy offense is good in red zone (#115)
Troy offense is good on 3rd downs
Troy Deficiencies
Troy does not Sack the QB (#31)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | USA | TROY |
| OverallOver | #43 | #63 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #45 |
| DefenseDef | #48 | #87 |
| Special TeamsST | #91 | #102 |
| PassingPass | #66 | #69 |
| RushingRush | #3 | #36 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #93 | #52 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #78 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #34 | #27 |
| TacklingTkl | #102 | #82 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #36 | #61 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #93 | #112 |
| Coverage DefCov | #39 | #86 |
Rematch from Week 8
South Alabama -10.0 (53.0)
South Alabama won vs Troy this year (25-9)
Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: TROY | USA
Depth Chart: TROY | USA
Rosters: TROY | USA
(#76) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama has lost 2 straight
South Alabama has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama has Really Good Running Game (#57)
South Alabama offense is efficent (#61)
South Alabama has a top Offensive Line (#37)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama has a great TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Power Rating: 2.08 #76
Offense Rating: 25.69 #16
Defense Rating: 10.70 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
South Alabama has lost 2 straight
South Alabama has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
South Alabama Notes
(12/15) Great QB depth, backup Davenport can run/throw
(11/29) Def torched, gave up 3 TOs, OG'd by 160 by T St
(11/25) Rgame good, Lopez 3 TD over awful So Miss
(11/18) Huge W @ ULL, QB good, Def barely held on
(11/3) 450+ yds but 2 TOs cost badly in GaSo loss
(10/27) Rgame great (ULM), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc. Run D bad
(10/16) Avg 17 ppg last 3 games, stopped Troy, NBD
(10/4) Off great, Def v bad. High totals keep going under
(9/19) QB Lopez dynamic, FR RB Bothwell is a weapon
(9/8) QB Lopez (toe) DNP in L at Ohio
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama has Really Good Running Game (#57)
South Alabama offense is efficent (#61)
South Alabama has a top Offensive Line (#37)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama has a great TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Caldwell | 141 | 224 | 63% | 1608 | 13 | 8 | 7.2 |
| Will Crowder | 44 | 63 | 70% | 547 | 5 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Taylor | 173 | 1010 | 7 | 5.8 | 56 |
| Gerald Green (Tr) | 111 | 545 | 3 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Tucker Kilcrease | 39 | 118 | 0 | 3.0 | 25 |
| Will Crowder | 17 | 63 | 1 | 3.7 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Ross | 76 | 1044 | 11 | 13.7 | 98 |
| Landon Parker | 27 | 350 | 0 | 13.0 | 33 |
| Peyton Higgins | 31 | 301 | 1 | 9.7 | 37 |
| Zeriah Beason | 16 | 208 | 0 | 13.0 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Jackson (Tr) | 77 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Stringer | 77 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Powe | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Ian Conerly-Goodly (Tr) | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Lee | 30 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Peterson | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brendan Jackson (Tr) | 77 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Stringer | 77 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damaje Yancey | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| LJ Green | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Justin Powe | 67 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 205 | 311 | 66% | 2557 | 18 | 5 | 8.2 |
| Bishop Davenport | 48 | 79 | 61% | 604 | 3 | 1 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluff Bothwell | 112 | 834 | 13 | 7.4 | 59 |
| Kentrel Bullock | 152 | 832 | 7 | 5.5 | 59 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 82 | 465 | 7 | 5.7 | 50 |
| Bishop Davenport | 37 | 161 | 1 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Pritchett | 91 | 1126 | 9 | 12.4 | 75 |
| Jeremiah Webb | 36 | 649 | 5 | 18.0 | 52 |
| Devin Voisin | 34 | 407 | 0 | 12.0 | 28 |
| Shamar Sandgren | 19 | 208 | 1 | 10.9 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blayne Myrick | 101 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaden Voisin | 84 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Darius McKenzie (Tr) | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Jordan Scruggs | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney McBride | 39 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Parker Shattuck | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Thomas | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Norman | 25 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarion Fortenberry | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaden Voisin | 84 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Darius McKenzie (Tr) | 72 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 |