West Virginia at Arizona - 2024 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -5.5 (51.5) (-145)  Open: -3.0 | 55.0
West Virginia 31 - Arizona: 26  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ 2nd straight Home Game
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
WVU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -4   (SP+ WVU -5)

Projected Score: WVU: 29 - ARIZ: 25 (54)
ARIZ Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WVU Travel: 1798 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 West Virginia vs Penn State+7.548.0L 12 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 West Virginia vs UAlbany-38.553.5W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/14 West Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.560.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 West Virginia vs Kansas-1.556.0W 32 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 West Virginia at Oklahoma State+2.565.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 West Virginia vs Iowa State+3.054.0L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/19 West Virginia vs Kansas State+2.556.5L 18 - 45ON
Sat 10/26 West Virginia at Arizona+5.551.5W 31 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 West Virginia at Cincinnati+5.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/16 West Virginia vs Baylor+2.060.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 West Virginia vs UCF+3.060.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 West Virginia at Texas Tech+2.561.5L 15 - 52ON
Tue 12/17 West Virginia vs Memphis+5.060.0L 37 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39ON
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10UN
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41ON
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)29.244% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)31.941% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1329.229.842.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2
ARIZ Defense1231.827.744.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1331.930.844.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
ARIZ Offense1221.824.638.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 0.04   Arizona: -2.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1   Arizona: -2.8




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -2.755 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 29
Arizona 25


Total Points: 54

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Arizona26West Virginia31West VirginiaArizona -5.5West Virginia51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona001 Overs
West Virginia110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#63) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 0.04 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

West Virginia has lost 2 straight
West Virginia has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZWVU
OverallOver#71#48
OffenseOff#67#31
DefenseDef#97#94
Special TeamsST#45#18
PassingPass#45#59
RushingRush#66#47
Run BlockRBLK#77#8
Pass BlockPBLK#16#11
Route RunningWR Rt#54#64
TacklingTkl#111#10
Run DefenseR Def#91#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#87
Coverage DefCov#92#109

Rematch from Week 9
Arizona -5.5 (51.5)
West Virginia won at Arizona this year (31-26)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Arizona last year (31-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | ARIZ
Depth Chart: WVU | ARIZ
Rosters: WVU | ARIZ
(#90) Arizona Info
Power Rating: -2.755 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona has lost 3 straight
Arizona has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (1 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is explosive (#8)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Can Not Run the Ball (#40)
Arizona throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Arizona offense is really bad (#96)
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)
Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona has a bad defense (#11)
Arizona Does Not Stuff Runs (#19)
Arizona has a bad defensive line (#24)
Arizona has a bad red zone defense (#3)


  
West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene18931660%230015127.3
Nicco Marchiol375666%434527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White14984575.755
Garrett Greene13375165.656
CJ Donaldson163734114.548
Nicco Marchiol4012023.019
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Kole Taylor43448310.439
Traylon Ray28426415.254
Rodney Gallagher26288311.133

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Jeff Koonz (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Wilson1020003
Josiah Trotter934152
Trey Lathan799230
Tyrin Bradley568224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)4014710
Sean Martin236451
Hammond Russell IV174330
Trey Lathan799230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)461006
Tyrin Bradley568224
Anthony Wilson1020003

Arizona's OC Dino Babers
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley (Tr)15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley (Tr)3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Duane Akina
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss (Tr)494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith (Tr)487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy (Tr)174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith604006
Tacario Davis392016
Emmanuel Karnley140005