West Virginia at Pittsburgh - 2024 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
West Virginia -2.5 (60.5) (-122) Open: -4.5
Pittsburgh 38 - West Virginia: 34

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Pittsburgh -5 (SP+ PITT -3)
Projected Score: WVU: 27 - PITT: 32 (59)
WVU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WVU Travel: 55 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	West Virginia vs Penn State	+7.5	48.0	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	West Virginia vs UAlbany	-38.5	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	60.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	West Virginia vs Kansas	-1.5	56.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+2.5	65.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+3.0	54.0	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+2.5	56.5	L 18 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	West Virginia at Arizona	+5.5	51.5	W 31 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	West Virginia at Cincinnati	+5.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/16	West Virginia vs Baylor	+2.0	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	West Virginia vs UCF	+3.0	60.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+2.5	61.5	L 15 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/17	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Pittsburgh vs Kent State	-23.5	55.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	-2.5	62.5	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/14	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	+2.5	60.5	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State	-29.5	59.5	W 73 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	-2.5	63.0	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Pittsburgh vs California	-3.5	57.5	W 17 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-5.0	62.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Pittsburgh at SMU	+7.0	55.5	L 25 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/9	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-7.5	56.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	+12.0	52.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+7.0	57.0	L 9 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/30	Pittsburgh at Boston College	+3.5	50.5	L 23 - 34	O	N
Thu 12/26	Pittsburgh vs Toledo	-6.5	48.5	L 46 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	#35 (.27)	45% (37)	21.8	47% (29)	3.24 (42)	229	43% (60)	206	4.04 (54)	#78 (.19)	42% (61)	30.8	44% (76)	40% (47)	4.16 (106)	46.4	1	1.2
PITT	#119 (.09)	38% (113)	33.7	41% (90)	2.86 (109)	102	35% (117)	216	3.46 (98)	#23 (.11)	39% (39)	24.8	39% (32)	41% (67)	3.41 (33)	64.4	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	13	21.8	20.8	45.1%	4.04	1	22	435	229	206	5.3	62%	38%	47%	43%	14%	.27
PITT Defense	12	24.8	25.1	39.4%	3.41	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	39%	41%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	13	30.8	33.5	41.5%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	40%	19%	.19
PITT Offense	12	33.7	36.6	37.7%	3.46	1.8	16	318	102	216	3.4	45%	54%	41%	35%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	13	32:30	22.2	40%	53%	5.1	46.4	1	1.2	5.6	2	1	31.2
Pittsburgh	12	27:36	16.3	31%	50%	7.8	64.4	1.8	1.3	6.9	2.5	2	26.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	13	62% (6)	47% (29)	43.5	228.9	5.3	32 (10)	.26 (15)	3.24 (42)	67% (108)	9% (41)	1.13 (16)
PITT Defense	12	58% (131)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	.03 (17)	2.91 (37)	62% (16)	12% (18)	0.98 (57)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	13	47% (31)	44% (76)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.08 (63)	76% (91)	11% (49)	1.02 (83)
PITT Offense	12	45% (100)	41% (90)	29.7	101.9	3.4	10 (124)	.06 (118)	2.86 (109)	75% (52)	11% (94)	0.89 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	13	38% (127)	43% (60)	13.7	25.5	205.7	8.1	15	18 (81)	7 (21)	.32 (55)	1.7 (38)	31% (51)	36% (20)	.47 (25)	5% (47)	2 (75)
PITT Defense	12	41% (3)	41% (67)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.27 (67)	1.7 (103)	32% (58)	30% (75)	.29 (58)	6% (85)	2.2 (111)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	13	52% (109)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.26 (56)	1.6 (82)	32% (57)	30% (71)	.36 (89)	8% (10)	2.1 (73)
PITT Offense	12	54% (34)	35% (117)	16	30	216	7.2	13.5	17 (85)	12 (85)	.16 (109)	1.7 (36)	34% (103)	24% (122)	.17 (114)	8% (123)	2.2 (26)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 369.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 0.04 Pittsburgh: 5.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1 Pittsburgh: 4.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 387.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 32
West Virginia 27

Projected Total Points: 59

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	West Virginia	31	Pittsburgh	24	Pittsburgh -6.5	West Virginia	54.5	Over
2024	09/14	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	34	West Virginia -2.5	Pittsburgh	60.5	Over
2023	09/16	West Virginia	17	Pittsburgh	6	West Virginia -2.5	West Virginia	48.0	Under
2022	09/01	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	31	Pittsburgh -7.5	West Virginia	50.0	Over
2011	11/25	West Virginia	21	Pittsburgh	20
2010	11/26	Pittsburgh	10	West Virginia	35
2009	11/27	West Virginia	19	Pittsburgh	16
2008	11/28	Pittsburgh	19	West Virginia	15
2007	12/01	West Virginia	9	Pittsburgh	13
2006	11/16	Pittsburgh	27	West Virginia	45
2005	11/24	West Virginia	45	Pittsburgh	13
2004	11/25	Pittsburgh	16	West Virginia	13
2003	11/15	West Virginia	52	Pittsburgh	31
2001	11/24	West Virginia	17	Pittsburgh	23
2000	11/23	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	7	1	3 Overs
West Virginia	8	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 11	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1

(#63) WVU at (#56) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WVU	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#63	#56
SP+SP+	#65	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#70	#88
OffenseOff	#35	#116
DefenseDef	#114	#41
Spec TeamsST	#20	#37
TalentTal	#49	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#48

West Virginia Notes(12/29) Hired DC Z Alley (Okl, Jax St DC)
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
(10/13) Even w/ ISU, 3 TO's, Greene just not good enough
West Virginia Injury Report

Pittsburgh Notes(11/18) Fought vs Clem, Yarnell 350 yds, Rgame awful
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
(7/30) New OC Bell interesting, WC OC had top 10 off
Pittsburgh Injury Report

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#35	#41
SuccessSuc	#37	#39
ExplosiveExp	#52	#74
PPAPPA	#35	#23
PowerPwr	#32	#45
SP+SP+	#46	#64
Pts POPPO	#54	#33
HavocHav	#37	#36

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#66	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#32
Run ExplRExp	#16	#57
PPAExp	#15	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#37
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#16
TackleTak	-	#33

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#60	#67
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#103
PPAExp	#55	#67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#46
F7 HavocF7	#41	#18
DB HavocDB	#47	#85

Pittsburgh on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#114
SuccessSuc	#113	#61
ExplosiveExp	#66	#91
PPAPPA	#119	#78
PowerPwr	#78	#118
SP+SP+	#54	#87
Pts POPPO	#98	#106
HavocHav	#114	#18

Pittsburgh Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#83	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#90	#76
Run ExplRExp	#117	#83
PPAExp	#118	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#63
Stuff RateStuff	#101	#63
TackleTak	-	#11

Pittsburgh Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#47
Pass ExplPExl	#36	#82
PPAExp	#109	#56
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	#102
F7 HavocF7	#94	#49
DB HavocDB	#123	#10

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
West Virginia 2.5 (60.5)
Pittsburgh won vs West Virginia this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh last year (31-24)
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia in 2024 (38-34)
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (17-6)

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3
Nicco Marchiol	37	56	66%	434	5	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	149	845	7	5.7	55
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
CJ Donaldson	163	734	11	4.5	48
Nicco Marchiol	40	120	2	3.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement	51	741	5	14.5	44
Kole Taylor	43	448	3	10.4	39
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54
Rodney Gallagher	26	288	3	11.1	33

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3
Josiah Trotter	93	4	1	5	2
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)	40	14	7	1	0
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Hammond Russell IV	17	4	3	3	0
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)	46	1	0	0	6
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3

PITT's OC Kade Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eli Holstein (Tr)	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7
Nate Yarnell	98	167	59%	1056	10	5	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid (Tr)	184	966	5	5.3	72
Eli Holstein (Tr)	81	328	3	4.0	49
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Julian Dugger	21	88	1	4.2	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Desmond Reid (Tr)	52	579	4	11.1	72
Kenny Johnson	46	537	3	11.7	46
Raphael Williams	36	419	6	11.6	35

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Louis	100	16	7	9	3
Jimmy Scott	30	13	6	6	2
Nate Matlack (Tr)	23	7	5	8	3
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rasheem Biles	80	14	4	3	9
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
Donovan McMillon	115	1	0	0	7