West Virginia at Cincinnati - 2024 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -5.5 (54.5) (-215) Open: -4.0 | 57.5
West Virginia 31 - Cincinnati: 24 (Big 12)

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WVU coming off BYE
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -2.5 (SP+ WVU -2)
Projected Score: WVU: 26 - CIN: 28 (54)
CIN Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WVU Travel: 246 miles

Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	West Virginia vs Penn State	+7.5	48.0	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	West Virginia vs UAlbany	-38.5	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	60.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	West Virginia vs Kansas	-1.5	56.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+2.5	65.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+3.0	54.0	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+2.5	56.5	L 18 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	West Virginia at Arizona	+5.5	51.5	W 31 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	West Virginia at Cincinnati	+5.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/16	West Virginia vs Baylor	+2.0	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	West Virginia vs UCF	+3.0	60.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+2.5	61.5	L 15 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/17	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Cincinnati vs Towson	-33.5	56.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/7	Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	+2.5	62.5	L 27 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Cincinnati at Miami (OH)	-3.5	47.5	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Cincinnati vs Houston	-4.0	47.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Cincinnati at Texas Tech	+3.0	60.0	L 41 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Cincinnati at UCF	+2.0	58.0	W 19 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Cincinnati vs Arizona State	-5.5	51.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Cincinnati at Colorado	+6.0	57.0	L 23 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Cincinnati vs West Virginia	-5.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/16	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+7.0	52.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/23	Cincinnati at Kansas State	+7.5	54.5	L 15 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	Cincinnati vs TCU	+2.5	58.5	L 13 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)	29.2	44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)	31.9	41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)	25.2	44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)	24.6	46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	13	29.2	29.8	42.5%	4.6	1.5	23	406	196	210	4.9	56%	44%	44%	41%	16%	.2
CIN Defense	12	24.6	18.8	42.2%	3.51	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	39%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	13	31.9	30.8	44.8%	4.74	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	49%	13%	.3
CIN Offense	12	25.2	26.7	44.7%	3.33	1.5	22	422	185	237	5.2	50%	50%	44%	45%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	13	31:36	22.6	42%	62%	4.3	33.9	1.5	1.1	4.8	1.5	1	28.4
Cincinnati	12	31:42	22.1	42%	55%	5.3	44.4	1.5	1.2	5.4	1.6	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (75)	40.1	196	4.9	27 (30)	.16 (52)	3.05 (64)	78% (33)	10% (82)	1.07 (35)
CIN Defense	12	51% (75)	46% (94)	-	-	-	-	.14 (77)	3.19 (98)	73% (63)	11% (51)	0.95 (49)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	13	51% (68)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.08 (46)	2.83 (41)	64% (21)	9% (97)	1.02 (86)
CIN Offense	12	50% (72)	44% (67)	35.3	185	5.2	19 (73)	.15 (59)	3.03 (69)	71% (84)	11% (93)	1.07 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	13	44% (107)	41% (73)	17.4	28.6	210.3	7.4	12.1	20 (58)	14 (115)	.26 (65)	1.8 (16)	34% (117)	32% (63)	.37 (52)	6% (75)	2.3 (8)
CIN Defense	12	49% (63)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.23 (71)	1.7 (108)	31% (93)	31% (79)	.34 (86)	5% (87)	2 (66)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	13	49% (68)	49% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.53 (133)	1.8 (127)	31% (84)	38% (128)	.61 (133)	4% (126)	2.3 (123)
CIN Offense	12	50% (63)	45% (32)	21	32.9	236.5	7.2	11.3	18 (68)	7 (26)	.26 (63)	1.4 (121)	30% (41)	36% (20)	.5 (10)	5% (33)	2.1 (67)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 0.04 Cincinnati: 3.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1 Cincinnati: -0.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 3.415 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 28
West Virginia 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 25
Cincinnati 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 29
West Virginia 26

Total Points: 55

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Cincinnati	24	West Virginia	31	Cincinnati -5.5	West Virginia	54.5	Over
2023	11/18	West Virginia	42	Cincinnati	21	West Virginia -4.5	West Virginia	52.5	Over
2011	11/12	Cincinnati	21	West Virginia	24
2010	11/13	West Virginia	37	Cincinnati	10
2009	11/13	Cincinnati	24	West Virginia	21
2008	11/08	West Virginia	23	Cincinnati	26
2007	11/17	Cincinnati	23	West Virginia	28
2006	11/11	West Virginia	42	Cincinnati	24
2005	11/09	Cincinnati	0	West Virginia	38
2003	09/13	West Virginia	13	Cincinnati	15
2002	09/14	Cincinnati	32	West Virginia	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	3	0	2 Overs
West Virginia	8	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#63) WVU at (#56) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WVU	CIN
Power RatePwr	#63	#56
SP+SP+	#65	#72
Perf GradeGrade	#70	#70
OffenseOff	#35	#56
DefenseDef	#114	#69
Spec TeamsST	#20	#90
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#53

West Virginia Notes(12/29) Hired DC Z Alley (Okl, Jax St DC)
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
(10/13) Even w/ ISU, 3 TO's, Greene just not good enough
West Virginia Injury Report

Cincinnati Notes(11/25) 4 str L's, down 27-3 at H, Def killed by K St
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge
(7/30) All B12 DT Corleone out indefintely (7/3)
Cincinnati Injury Report

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	#69
SuccessSuc	#69	#76
ExplosiveExp	#13	#75
PPAPPA	#63	#75
PowerPwr	#32	#85
SP+SP+	#46	#57
Pts POPPO	#16	#40
HavocHav	#79	#67

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#66	#63
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#94
Run ExplRExp	#35	#49
PPAExp	#52	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#74	#56
TackleTak	-	#69

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#46
Pass SuccessPSuc	#73	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#108
PPAExp	#65	#71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#111
F7 HavocF7	#82	#51
DB HavocDB	#75	#87

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
Perf GradePerf	#56	#114
SuccessSuc	#43	#103
ExplosiveExp	#79	#128
PPAPPA	#59	#124
PowerPwr	#44	#118
SP+SP+	#79	#87
Pts POPPO	#118	#131
HavocHav	#69	#119

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#34	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#46
Run ExplRExp	#34	#86
PPAExp	#59	#46
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#69	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#53
TackleTak	-	#11

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#32	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#121	#127
PPAExp	#63	#133
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#102
F7 HavocF7	#93	#97
DB HavocDB	#33	#126

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Cincinnati -5.5 (54.5)
West Virginia won at Cincinnati this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Cincinnati last year (31-24)
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2023 (42-21)

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3
Nicco Marchiol	37	56	66%	434	5	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	149	845	7	5.7	55
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
CJ Donaldson	163	734	11	4.5	48
Nicco Marchiol	40	120	2	3.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement	51	741	5	14.5	44
Kole Taylor	43	448	3	10.4	39
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54
Rodney Gallagher	26	288	3	11.1	33

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Jeff Koonz (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3
Josiah Trotter	93	4	1	5	2
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)	40	14	7	1	0
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Hammond Russell IV	17	4	3	3	0
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)	46	1	0	0	6
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	249	389	64%	2813	18	7	7.2
Brady Lichtenberg	3	5	60%	25	0	0	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)	106	445	9	4.2	41
Evan Pryor (Tr)	56	418	6	7.5	65
Chance Williams (Tr)	15	67	0	4.5	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson	58	735	4	12.7	42
Joe Royer (Tr)	51	532	3	10.4	38
Tony Johnson (Tr)	49	452	6	9.2	23
Jamoi Mayes	29	349	1	12.0	52

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett (Tr)	70	12	8	2	3
Jake Golday (Tr)	57	7	1	0	2
Antwan Peek Jr.	54	1	0	0	1
Jonathan Thompson	49	5	2	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett (Tr)	70	12	8	2	3
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Dontay Corleone	26	5	3	4	0
Jonathan Thompson	49	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jordan Young	35	1	5
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	44	3	5
Josh Minkins (Tr)	45	2	4