West Virginia Mountaineers at Cincinnati Bearcats
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -5.5 (54.5) (-215) Open: -4.0 | 57.5
West Virginia 31 - Cincinnati: 24 (Big 12)
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
WVU coming off BYE
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -2.5 (SP+ WVU -2)
Projected Score: WVU: 26 - CIN: 29 (55)
CIN Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WVU Travel: 246 miles
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -2.5 (SP+ WVU -2)
Projected Score: WVU: 26 - CIN: 29 (55)
CIN Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WVU Travel: 246 miles
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| West Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | West Virginia vs Penn State | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 12 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | West Virginia vs UAlbany | -38.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | West Virginia at Pittsburgh | -2.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | West Virginia vs Kansas | -1.5 | 56.0 | W 32 - 28 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | West Virginia at Oklahoma State | +2.5 | 65.0 | W 38 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | West Virginia vs Iowa State | +3.0 | 54.0 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | West Virginia vs Kansas State | +2.5 | 56.5 | L 18 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | West Virginia at Arizona | +5.5 | 51.5 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | West Virginia at Cincinnati | +5.5 | 54.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | West Virginia vs Baylor | +2.0 | 60.0 | L 35 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | West Virginia vs UCF | +3.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | West Virginia at Texas Tech | +2.5 | 61.5 | L 15 - 52 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/17 | West Virginia vs Memphis | +5.0 | 60.0 | L 37 - 42 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Cincinnati vs Towson | -33.5 | 56.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 62.5 | L 27 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Cincinnati at Miami (OH) | -3.5 | 47.5 | W 27 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Cincinnati vs Houston | -4.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Cincinnati at Texas Tech | +3.0 | 60.0 | L 41 - 44 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Cincinnati at UCF | +2.0 | 58.0 | W 19 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Cincinnati vs Arizona State | -5.5 | 51.0 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Cincinnati at Colorado | +6.0 | 57.0 | L 23 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Cincinnati vs West Virginia | -5.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Cincinnati at Iowa State | +7.0 | 52.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Cincinnati at Kansas State | +7.5 | 54.5 | L 15 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Cincinnati vs TCU | +2.5 | 58.5 | L 13 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 29.2 | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 31.9 | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| CIN | #59 (.21) | 45% (43) | 25.2 | 44% (67) | 3.03 (69) | 185 | 45% (32) | 237 | 3.33 (118) | #75 (.18) | 42% (76) | 24.6 | 46% (94) | 39% (43) | 3.51 (40) | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | #63 (.2) | 43% (69) | 44% (75) | 3.05 (64) | 196 | 41% (73) | 210 | 4.6 (16) | #124 (.3) | 45% (103) | 41% (46) | 49% (128) | 4.74 (131) | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | ||
| CIN | #59 (.21) | 45% (43) | 44% (67) | 3.03 (69) | 185 | 45% (32) | 237 | 3.33 (118) | #75 (.18) | 42% (76) | 46% (94) | 39% (43) | 3.51 (40) | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 13 | 29.2 | 29.8 | 42.5% | 4.6 | 1.5 | 23 | 406 | 196 | 210 | 4.9 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 41% | 16% | .2 |
| CIN Defense | 12 | 24.6 | 18.8 | 42.2% | 3.51 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 46% | 39% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 13 | 31.9 | 30.8 | 44.8% | 4.74 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 41% | 49% | 13% | .3 |
| CIN Offense | 12 | 25.2 | 26.7 | 44.7% | 3.33 | 1.5 | 22 | 422 | 185 | 237 | 5.2 | 50% | 50% | 44% | 45% | 16% | .21 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 13 | 31:36 | 22.6 | 42% | 62% | 4.3 | 33.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 28.4 |
| Cincinnati | 12 | 31:42 | 22.1 | 42% | 55% | 5.3 | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 26.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 13 | 56% (28) | 44% (75) | 40.1 | 196 | 4.9 | 27 (30) | .16 (52) | 3.05 (64) | 78% (33) | 10% (82) | 1.07 (35) |
| CIN Defense | 12 | 51% (75) | 46% (94) | - | - | - | - | .14 (77) | 3.19 (98) | 73% (63) | 11% (51) | 0.95 (49) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 13 | 51% (68) | 41% (46) | - | - | - | - | .08 (46) | 2.83 (41) | 64% (21) | 9% (97) | 1.02 (86) |
| CIN Offense | 12 | 50% (72) | 44% (67) | 35.3 | 185 | 5.2 | 19 (73) | .15 (59) | 3.03 (69) | 71% (84) | 11% (93) | 1.07 (34) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Offense | 13 | 44% (107) | 41% (73) | 17.4 | 28.6 | 210.3 | 7.4 | 12.1 | 20 (58) | 14 (115) | .26 (65) | 1.8 (16) | 34% (117) | 32% (63) | .37 (52) | 6% (75) | 2.3 (8) |
| CIN Defense | 12 | 49% (63) | 39% (43) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .23 (71) | 1.7 (108) | 31% (93) | 31% (79) | .34 (86) | 5% (87) | 2 (66) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU Defense | 13 | 49% (68) | 49% (128) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .53 (133) | 1.8 (127) | 31% (84) | 38% (128) | .61 (133) | 4% (126) | 2.3 (123) |
| CIN Offense | 12 | 50% (63) | 45% (32) | 21 | 32.9 | 236.5 | 7.2 | 11.3 | 18 (68) | 7 (26) | .26 (63) | 1.4 (121) | 30% (41) | 36% (20) | .5 (10) | 5% (33) | 2.1 (67) |
West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 0.04 Cincinnati: 3.415
SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1 Cincinnati: -0.1
West Virginia: 0.04 Cincinnati: 3.415
SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1 Cincinnati: -0.1
Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 3.415 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 3.415 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 29
West Virginia 26
Total Points: 55
Cincinnati 29
West Virginia 26
Total Points: 55
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8
Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8
Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Cincinnati | 24 | West Virginia | 31 | West Virginia | Cincinnati -5.5 | West Virginia | 54.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | West Virginia | 42 | Cincinnati | 21 | West Virginia | West Virginia -4.5 | West Virginia | 52.5 | Over |
| 2011 | 11/12 | Cincinnati | 21 | West Virginia | 24 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | West Virginia | 37 | Cincinnati | 10 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2009 | 11/13 | Cincinnati | 24 | West Virginia | 21 | Cincinnati | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | West Virginia | 23 | Cincinnati | 26 | Cincinnati | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Cincinnati | 23 | West Virginia | 28 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2006 | 11/11 | West Virginia | 42 | Cincinnati | 24 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2005 | 11/09 | Cincinnati | 0 | West Virginia | 38 | West Virginia | ||||
| 2003 | 09/13 | West Virginia | 13 | Cincinnati | 15 | Cincinnati | ||||
| 2002 | 09/14 | Cincinnati | 32 | West Virginia | 35 | West Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 3 | 0 | 2 Overs |
| West Virginia | 8 | 2 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 7 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 4 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#63) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 0.04 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
West Virginia has won 1 straight
West Virginia has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)
Power Rating: 0.04 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
West Virginia has won 1 straight
West Virginia has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)
West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CIN | WVU |
| OverallOver | #48 | #48 |
| OffenseOff | #47 | #31 |
| DefenseDef | #52 | #94 |
| Special TeamsST | #75 | #18 |
| PassingPass | #50 | #59 |
| RushingRush | #23 | #47 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #42 | #8 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #34 | #11 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #54 | #64 |
| TacklingTkl | #60 | #10 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #49 | #38 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #95 | #87 |
| Coverage DefCov | #35 | #109 |
Rematch from Week 11
Cincinnati -5.5 (54.5)
West Virginia won at Cincinnati this year (31-24)
Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Cincinnati last year (31-24)
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2023 (42-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WVU | CIN
Depth Chart: WVU | CIN
Rosters: WVU | CIN
(#56) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 3.415 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight
Cincinnati has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Cincinnati Notes
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge
Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Cincinnati Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#43)
Cincinnati offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#10)
Power Rating: 3.415 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight
Cincinnati has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Cincinnati Notes
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge
Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Cincinnati Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#43)
Cincinnati offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#10)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Greene | 189 | 316 | 60% | 2300 | 15 | 12 | 7.3 |
| Nicco Marchiol | 37 | 56 | 66% | 434 | 5 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahiem White | 149 | 845 | 7 | 5.7 | 55 |
| Garrett Greene | 133 | 751 | 6 | 5.6 | 56 |
| CJ Donaldson | 163 | 734 | 11 | 4.5 | 48 |
| Nicco Marchiol | 40 | 120 | 2 | 3.0 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Clement | 51 | 741 | 5 | 14.5 | 44 |
| Kole Taylor | 43 | 448 | 3 | 10.4 | 39 |
| Traylon Ray | 28 | 426 | 4 | 15.2 | 54 |
| Rodney Gallagher | 26 | 288 | 3 | 11.1 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Wilson | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Josiah Trotter | 93 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Lathan | 79 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Tyrin Bradley | 56 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Jackson (Tr) | 40 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Martin | 23 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Hammond Russell IV | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Lathan | 79 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr) | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Tyrin Bradley | 56 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Anthony Wilson | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Sorsby (Tr) | 249 | 389 | 64% | 2813 | 18 | 7 | 7.2 |
| Brady Lichtenberg | 3 | 5 | 60% | 25 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kiner | 204 | 1153 | 4 | 5.7 | 46 |
| Brendan Sorsby (Tr) | 106 | 445 | 9 | 4.2 | 41 |
| Evan Pryor (Tr) | 56 | 418 | 6 | 7.5 | 65 |
| Chance Williams (Tr) | 15 | 67 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzavier Henderson | 58 | 735 | 4 | 12.7 | 42 |
| Joe Royer (Tr) | 51 | 532 | 3 | 10.4 | 38 |
| Tony Johnson (Tr) | 49 | 452 | 6 | 9.2 | 23 |
| Jamoi Mayes | 29 | 349 | 1 | 12.0 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Bartlett (Tr) | 70 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Jake Golday (Tr) | 57 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Antwan Peek Jr. | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathan Thompson | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Bartlett (Tr) | 70 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Eric Phillips | 19 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Dontay Corleone | 26 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Jonathan Thompson | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Young | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Derrick Canteen (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Josh Minkins (Tr) | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |