Memphis at West Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview

Memphis Tigers vs West Virginia Mountaineers

Tuesday, December 17th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
Memphis -5 (60.0) (-205) Open: -2.0
Memphis 42 - West Virginia: 37 (Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl)

Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Memphis -7.5 (SP+ MEM -7.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 32 - WVU: 25 (57)
MEM Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 415 miles

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MEM Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Memphis vs North Alabama	-38.5	62.5	W 40 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Memphis vs Troy	-18.5	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Memphis at Florida State	+7.0	52.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Memphis at Navy	-9.5	47.0	L 44 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/28	Memphis vs Middle Tennessee	-27.0	62.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Memphis vs South Florida	-10.0	61.0	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Memphis vs North Texas	-10.5	67.5	W 52 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/26	Memphis vs Charlotte	-17.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/2	Memphis at UTSA	-7.0	62.0	L 36 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/8	Memphis vs Rice	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/16	Memphis vs UAB	-16.0	62.0	W 53 - 18	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Memphis at Tulane	+12.5	54.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Tue 12/17	Memphis vs West Virginia	-5.0	60.0	W 42 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	West Virginia vs Penn State	+7.5	48.0	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	West Virginia vs UAlbany	-38.5	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	60.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	West Virginia vs Kansas	-1.5	56.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+2.5	65.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+3.0	54.0	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+2.5	56.5	L 18 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	West Virginia at Arizona	+5.5	51.5	W 31 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	West Virginia at Cincinnati	+5.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/16	West Virginia vs Baylor	+2.0	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	West Virginia vs UCF	+3.0	60.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+2.5	61.5	L 15 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/17	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#18 (.3)	47% (23)	32.5	47% (33)	2.96 (98)	152	47% (22)	306	4.6 (16)	#82 (.2)	44% (90)	23.2	44% (82)	44% (103)	4.12 (99)	41.2	1.2	1.5
WVU	#35 (.27)	45% (37)	21.8	47% (29)	3.24 (42)	229	43% (60)	206	4.04 (54)	#78 (.19)	42% (61)	30.8	44% (76)	40% (47)	4.16 (106)	46.4	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	32.5	35	46.6%	4.6	1.2	23	458	152	306	4.6	43%	57%	47%	47%	13%	.3
WVU Defense	13	30.8	28.2	41.5%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	40%	19%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.2	20.8	43.7%	4.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	44%	16%	.2
WVU Offense	13	21.8	22.7	45.1%	4.04	1	22	435	229	206	5.3	62%	38%	47%	43%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	31:08	22.7	45%	64%	4.1	41.2	1.2	1.5	5.1	1.6	3	31.2
West Virginia	13	32:30	22.2	40%	53%	5.1	46.4	1	1.2	5.6	2	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (33)	33	152	4.6	31 (17)	.17 (57)	2.96 (98)	66% (117)	8% (25)	1.03 (52)
WVU Defense	13	47% (31)	44% (76)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.08 (63)	76% (91)	11% (49)	1.02 (83)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	49% (56)	44% (82)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	2.98 (46)	62% (15)	9% (92)	1.08 (105)
WVU Offense	13	62% (6)	47% (29)	43.5	228.9	5.3	32 (10)	.26 (15)	3.24 (42)	67% (108)	9% (41)	1.13 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	57% (19)	47% (22)	24.7	37	306.5	8.3	12.4	33 (11)	10 (56)	.42 (22)	1.6 (50)	27% (8)	39% (7)	.62 (5)	6% (49)	2.2 (23)
WVU Defense	13	52% (109)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.26 (56)	1.6 (82)	32% (57)	30% (71)	.36 (89)	8% (10)	2.1 (73)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	50% (78)	44% (103)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (75)	1.7 (88)	30% (112)	32% (93)	.3 (65)	7% (38)	2.2 (99)
WVU Offense	13	38% (127)	43% (60)	13.7	25.5	205.7	8.1	15	18 (81)	7 (21)	.32 (55)	1.7 (38)	31% (51)	36% (20)	.47 (25)	5% (47)	2 (75)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 7.92 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 334.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.92 West Virginia: 1.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 9.6 West Virginia: 2.1

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 1.07 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 369.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 32
West Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 57

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/17	West Virginia	37	Memphis	42	Memphis -5	NA	60.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	0	0	1 Overs
Memphis	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

Memphis Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Frisco Bowl	Memphis vs West Virginia	-5.0	60.0	W 42 - 37
2023	Liberty Bowl	Memphis vs Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26
2022	Responder Bowl	Memphis vs Utah State	-8.0	57.0	W 38 - 10
2020	Montgomery Bowl	Memphis vs Florida Atlantic	-9.0	52.5	W 25 - 10
2019	Cotton Bowl	Memphis vs Penn State	+7.0	59.5	L 39 - 53
2018	Birmingham Bowl	Memphis vs Wake Forest	-2.0	71.0	L 34 - 37

West Virginia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Frisco Bowl	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42
2023	Mayo Bowl	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10
2021	Rate Bowl	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18
2020	Liberty Bowl	West Virginia vs Army	-9.5	40.5	W 24 - 21
2018	World Bowl	West Virginia vs Syracuse	+3.0	67.5	L 18 - 34

(#36) MEM at (#63) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#36	#63
SP+SP+	#31	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#37	#70
OffenseOff	#23	#35
DefenseDef	#67	#114
Spec TeamsST	#66	#20
TalentTal	#63	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#62

Memphis Notes(12/18) Dumb, poorly coached football team
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks
(8/3) Fav'd in every game but FSU. USF/UTSA bigs
Memphis Injury Report

West Virginia Notes(12/29) Hired DC Z Alley (Okl, Jax St DC)
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
(10/13) Even w/ ISU, 3 TO's, Greene just not good enough
West Virginia Injury Report

Memphis on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#23	#114
SuccessSuc	#23	#61
ExplosiveExp	#18	#91
PPAPPA	#18	#78
PowerPwr	#29	#118
SP+SP+	#12	#87
Pts POPPO	#16	#106
HavocHav	#23	#18

Memphis Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#29	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#33	#76
Run ExplRExp	#52	#83
PPAExp	#57	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#63
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#63
TackleTak	-	#11

Memphis Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#22	#47
Pass ExplPExl	#50	#82
PPAExp	#22	#56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#9	#102
F7 HavocF7	#25	#49
DB HavocDB	#49	#10

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#35	#67
SuccessSuc	#37	#90
ExplosiveExp	#52	#108
PPAPPA	#35	#82
PowerPwr	#32	#61
SP+SP+	#46	#80
Pts POPPO	#54	#99
HavocHav	#37	#66

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#66	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#82
Run ExplRExp	#16	#105
PPAExp	#15	#92
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#24
TackleTak	-	#100

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	#60	#103
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#88
PPAExp	#55	#75
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#119
F7 HavocF7	#41	#92
DB HavocDB	#47	#38

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Toyota Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Memphis 5.0 (60.0)
Memphis won at West Virginia this year (42-37)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat West Virginia in 2024 (42-37)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3
Harris Boyd	1	1	100%	14	0	0	14.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)	236	1362	18	5.8	53
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Gregory DeRosiers	31	228	3	7.4	46
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Anthony Landphere	33	379	4	11.5	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Matt Hudson (Tr)	60	4	1	1	0
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin	110	16	7	10	4
William Whitlow Jr.	24	8	5	3	1
Elijah Herring (Tr)	59	8	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3
Nicco Marchiol	37	56	66%	434	5	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	149	845	7	5.7	55
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
CJ Donaldson	163	734	11	4.5	48
Nicco Marchiol	40	120	2	3.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement	51	741	5	14.5	44
Kole Taylor	43	448	3	10.4	39
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54
Rodney Gallagher	26	288	3	11.1	33

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3
Josiah Trotter	93	4	1	5	2
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)	40	14	7	1	0
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Hammond Russell IV	17	4	3	3	0
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)	46	1	0	0	6
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3