West Virginia at Oklahoma State - 2024 Matchup Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -2.5 (65.0) (-135) Open: -8.0
West Virginia 38 - Oklahoma State: 14 (Big 12)

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WVU coming off BYE
OKST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -0.5 (SP+ WVU -4.5)
Projected Score: WVU: 32 - OKST: 32 (64)
OKST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WVU Travel: 963 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	West Virginia vs Penn State	+7.5	48.0	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	West Virginia vs UAlbany	-38.5	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	60.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	West Virginia vs Kansas	-1.5	56.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+2.5	65.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+3.0	54.0	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+2.5	56.5	L 18 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	West Virginia at Arizona	+5.5	51.5	W 31 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	West Virginia at Cincinnati	+5.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/16	West Virginia vs Baylor	+2.0	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	West Virginia vs UCF	+3.0	60.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+2.5	61.5	L 15 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/17	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State	-9.5	54.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas	-10.5	60.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	-17.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma State vs Utah	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-2.5	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Oklahoma State at BYU	+8.5	53.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+7.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	+5.0	57.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma State at TCU	+10.5	68.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+5.0	63.5	L 48 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/29	Oklahoma State at Colorado	+14.5	66.5	L 0 - 52	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)	29.2	44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)	31.9	41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	13	29.2	29.8	42.5%	4.6	1.5	23	406	196	210	4.9	56%	44%	44%	41%	16%	.2
OKST Defense	12	35.6	34.8	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	13	31.9	30.8	44.8%	4.74	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	49%	13%	.3
OKST Offense	12	27.2	30.8	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	13	31:36	22.6	42%	62%	4.3	33.9	1.5	1.1	4.8	1.5	1	28.4
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (75)	40.1	196	4.9	27 (30)	.16 (52)	3.05 (64)	78% (33)	10% (82)	1.07 (35)
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	13	51% (68)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.08 (46)	2.83 (41)	64% (21)	9% (97)	1.02 (86)
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	13	44% (107)	41% (73)	17.4	28.6	210.3	7.4	12.1	20 (58)	14 (115)	.26 (65)	1.8 (16)	34% (117)	32% (63)	.37 (52)	6% (75)	2.3 (8)
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	13	49% (68)	49% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.53 (133)	1.8 (127)	31% (84)	38% (128)	.61 (133)	4% (126)	2.3 (123)
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.04 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 0.04 Oklahoma State: 1.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 2.1 Oklahoma State: -2.6

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.495 #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 32
West Virginia 32

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma State 32
West Virginia 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
West Virginia 32
Oklahoma State 30

Total Points: 62

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Oklahoma State	14	West Virginia	38	Oklahoma State -2.5	West Virginia	65.0	Under
2023	10/21	West Virginia	34	Oklahoma State	48	West Virginia -3	Oklahoma State	48.0	Over
2022	11/26	Oklahoma State	19	West Virginia	24	Oklahoma State -5.5	West Virginia	59.5	Under
2021	11/06	West Virginia	3	Oklahoma State	24	Oklahoma State -3.5	Oklahoma State	48.5	Under
2020	09/26	Oklahoma State	27	West Virginia	13	Oklahoma State -5.5	Oklahoma State	49.0	Under
2019	11/23	West Virginia	13	Oklahoma State	20	Oklahoma State -7	NA	56.0	Under
2018	11/17	Oklahoma State	45	West Virginia	41	West Virginia -6	Oklahoma State	74.0	Over
2017	10/28	West Virginia	39	Oklahoma State	50	Oklahoma State -9	Oklahoma State	76.5	Over
2016	10/29	Oklahoma State	37	West Virginia	20	West Virginia -3	Oklahoma State	66.0	Under
2015	10/10	West Virginia	26	Oklahoma State	33	West Virginia -6	Oklahoma State	63.5	Under
2014	10/25	Oklahoma State	10	West Virginia	34	Oklahoma State -4	West Virginia	0
2013	09/28	West Virginia	30	Oklahoma State	21	Oklahoma State -21	West Virginia	0
2012	11/10	Oklahoma State	55	West Virginia	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	9	7	3 Overs
West Virginia	4	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	4 - 7	1 - 5	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 4	2 - 3	5 - 1

(#63) WVU at (#59) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WVU	OKST
Power RatePwr	#63	#59
SP+SP+	#65	#81
Perf GradeGrade	#70	#103
OffenseOff	#35	#65
DefenseDef	#114	#128
Spec TeamsST	#20	#49
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#53

West Virginia Notes
(12/29) Hired DC Z Alley (Okl, Jax St DC)
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	#128
SuccessSuc	#69	#109
ExplosiveExp	#13	#132
PPAPPA	#63	#131
PowerPwr	#32	#105
SP+SP+	#46	#102
Pts POPPO	#16	#82
HavocHav	#79	#89

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#66	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#107
Run ExplRExp	#35	#133
PPAExp	#52	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#74	#119
TackleTak	-	#122

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#73	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#124
PPAExp	#65	#123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#126
F7 HavocF7	#82	#112
DB HavocDB	#75	#53

Oklahoma State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#114
SuccessSuc	#63	#103
ExplosiveExp	#69	#128
PPAPPA	#52	#124
PowerPwr	#18	#118
SP+SP+	#53	#87
Pts POPPO	#42	#131
HavocHav	#45	#119

Oklahoma State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#92	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#46
Run ExplRExp	#119	#86
PPAExp	#109	#46
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#80	#53
TackleTak	-	#11

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#127
PPAExp	#30	#133
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	#102
F7 HavocF7	#19	#97
DB HavocDB	#109	#126

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Oklahoma State -2.5 (65.0)
West Virginia won at Oklahoma State this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Oklahoma State last year (38-14)
Oklahoma State beat West Virginia in 2023 (48-34)
West Virginia beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (24-19)

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3
Nicco Marchiol	37	56	66%	434	5	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	149	845	7	5.7	55
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
CJ Donaldson	163	734	11	4.5	48
Nicco Marchiol	40	120	2	3.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement	51	741	5	14.5	44
Kole Taylor	43	448	3	10.4	39
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54
Rodney Gallagher	26	288	3	11.1	33

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Jeff Koonz (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3
Josiah Trotter	93	4	1	5	2
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)	40	14	7	1	0
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Hammond Russell IV	17	4	3	3	0
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)	46	1	0	0	6
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Maealiuaki Smith	44	75	59%	499	2	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)	42	9	3	4	0
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korie Black	36	0	0	0	9
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7