(#4)Miami Hurricanes at California Golden Bears
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Miami -10 (54.0) (-380) Open: -14.0
Miami 39 - California: 38 (ACC)
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
CAL coming off BYE
MIAMI is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -13.5 (SP+ MIAMI -17.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 35 - CAL: 22 (57)
MIAMI Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MIAMI Travel: 2574 miles, 3 hrs ahead
MIAMI is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -13.5 (SP+ MIAMI -17.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 35 - CAL: 22 (57)
MIAMI Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MIAMI Travel: 2574 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
| Miami's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Miami at Florida | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Miami vs Florida A&M | -46.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Miami vs Ball State | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Miami at South Florida | -17.0 | 64.5 | W 50 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/27 | Miami vs Virginia Tech | -17.5 | 55.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Miami at California | -10.0 | 54.0 | W 39 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Miami at Louisville | -4.5 | 61.5 | W 52 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Miami vs Florida State | -22.5 | 55.0 | W 36 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Miami vs Duke | -21.0 | 55.5 | W 53 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Miami at Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 64.5 | L 23 - 28 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Miami vs Wake Forest | -23.5 | 67.0 | W 42 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Miami at Syracuse | -12.5 | 65.5 | L 38 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Miami vs Iowa State | -5.0 | 62.0 | L 41 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| California's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | California vs UC Davis | -20.5 | 56.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | California at Auburn | +11.5 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | California vs San Diego State | -18.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | California at Florida State | +3.0 | 44.0 | L 9 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | California vs Miami | +10.0 | 54.0 | L 38 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | California at Pittsburgh | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 15 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | California vs NC State | -9.5 | 46.0 | L 23 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | California vs Oregon State | -13.0 | 51.0 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | California at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 54.5 | W 46 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | California vs Syracuse | -10.5 | 58.0 | L 25 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | California vs Stanford | -15.0 | 53.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | California at SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 6 - 38 | U | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | California vs UNLV | +3.0 | 45.0 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 43.9 | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 25.3 | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 |
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 25.1 | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 22.3 | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 43.9 | 40.5 | 52.5% | 4.96 | 1 | 25 | 497 | 165 | 332 | 5.5 | 43% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 10% | .4 |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 22.3 | 21 | 40.4% | 3.23 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 41% | 40% | 18% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 25.3 | 30.8 | 38.1% | 4.02 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 18% | .16 |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 25.1 | 30.9 | 41.5% | 3.07 | 0.8 | 21 | 381 | 122 | 259 | 3.6 | 41% | 58% | 40% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 13 | 30:13 | 25.2 | 56% | 65% | 6.2 | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 29.7 |
| California | 13 | 30:36 | 20.7 | 37% | 44% | 7.4 | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 29.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 43% (114) | 56% (1) | 30.1 | 165.5 | 5.5 | 28 (25) | .32 (5) | 3.59 (4) | 90% (1) | 6% (3) | 0.95 (73) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 47% (28) | 41% (53) | - | - | - | - | .08 (44) | 2.99 (65) | 86% (129) | 10% (72) | 0.91 (37) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 45% (11) | 38% (16) | - | - | - | - | .08 (49) | 2.6 (16) | 57% (4) | 11% (43) | 1.15 (125) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 41% (121) | 40% (104) | 33.7 | 122.2 | 3.6 | 17 (84) | .07 (99) | 2.68 (120) | 69% (98) | 13% (126) | 1.1 (22) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 57% (20) | 50% (7) | 23.9 | 35.1 | 331.6 | 9.5 | 13.9 | 38 (1) | 7 (26) | .47 (6) | 1.7 (26) | 27% (5) | 42% (1) | .69 (1) | 4% (15) | 2.3 (6) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 53% (103) | 40% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .21 (52) | 1.7 (92) | 33% (44) | 30% (59) | .39 (102) | 8% (12) | 2.2 (111) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 55% (125) | 38% (40) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .23 (66) | 1.7 (113) | 36% (9) | 36% (123) | .45 (115) | 7% (34) | 2.1 (84) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 58% (14) | 43% (57) | 23.2 | 35.7 | 258.6 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 16 (87) | 7 (26) | .25 (72) | 1.4 (126) | 36% (128) | 30% (85) | .36 (58) | 5% (23) | 2.2 (23) |
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.13 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6 California: 4.0
Miami: 19.13 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6 California: 4.0
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8
Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 35
California 22
Total Points: 57
Miami 35
California 22
Total Points: 57
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | California | 38 | Miami | 39 | Miami | Miami -10 | California | 54.0 | Over |
| 2008 | 12/27 | California | 24 | Miami | 17 | California |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#8) Miami Info
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has won 5 straight
Miami has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami Highlights
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has won 5 straight
Miami has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami Highlights
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | MIAMI |
| OverallOver | #49 | #3 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #3 |
| DefenseDef | #25 | #11 |
| Special TeamsST | #12 | #80 |
| PassingPass | #46 | #2 |
| RushingRush | #77 | #2 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #92 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #77 | #27 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #36 | #3 |
| TacklingTkl | #25 | #85 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #35 | #8 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #40 | #14 |
| Coverage DefCov | #36 | #47 |
(#44) California Info
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 1 straight
California has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 1 straight
California has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Ward | 305 | 454 | 67% | 4313 | 39 | 7 | 9.5 |
| Emory Williams | 16 | 26 | 62% | 187 | 1 | 1 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Martinez (Tr) | 159 | 1002 | 10 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Mark Fletcher Jr. | 112 | 607 | 9 | 5.4 | 30 |
| Jordan Lyle | 54 | 400 | 4 | 7.4 | 91 |
| Cameron Ward | 60 | 204 | 4 | 3.4 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Restrepo | 69 | 1127 | 11 | 16.3 | 77 |
| Jacolby George | 53 | 752 | 8 | 14.2 | 49 |
| Isaiah Horton | 56 | 616 | 5 | 11.0 | 30 |
| Elijah Arroyo | 35 | 590 | 7 | 16.9 | 74 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mauigoa | 96 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Wesley Bissainthe | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Harris | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Mishael Powell (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akheem Mesidor | 32 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Baron (Tr) | 38 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr) | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Porter Jr. | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| OJ Frederique Jr. | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Mishael Powell (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 265 | 386 | 69% | 3004 | 16 | 6 | 7.8 |
| CJ Harris (Tr) | 19 | 31 | 61% | 184 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaivian Thomas | 100 | 626 | 7 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Jadyn Ott | 116 | 385 | 4 | 3.3 | 53 |
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 26 | 124 | 1 | 4.8 | 60 |
| Fernando Mendoza | 87 | 105 | 2 | 1.2 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Endries | 56 | 623 | 2 | 11.1 | 57 |
| Nyziah Hunter | 40 | 578 | 5 | 14.5 | 60 |
| Trond Grizzell | 27 | 401 | 1 | 14.9 | 51 |
| Jonathan Brady (Tr) | 34 | 366 | 3 | 10.8 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Cade Uluave | 68 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Carlton | 47 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| David Reese | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Lu-Magia Hearns III | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |