Miami at Syracuse - 2024 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#4)Miami Hurricanes at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami -12.5 (65.5) (-450)  Open: -10.5 | 67.5
Syracuse 42 - Miami: 38  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
SYR 2nd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -11   (SP+ MIAMI -16)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 39 - SYR: 28 (66)
MIAMI Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
MIAMI Travel: 1203 miles
Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Syracuse vs Ohio-17.547.5W 38 - 22ON
Sat 9/7 Syracuse vs Georgia Tech+2.560.5W 31 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Syracuse vs Stanford-9.556.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 9/28 Syracuse vs Holy Cross-31.559.5W 42 - 14UN
Fri 10/4 Syracuse at UNLV+5.555.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 10/12 Syracuse at NC State-1.051.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+5.062.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/2 Syracuse vs Virginia Tech+3.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Syracuse at Boston College+5.551.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Syracuse at California+10.558.0W 33 - 25UY
Sat 11/23 Syracuse vs UConn-10.053.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 Syracuse vs Miami+12.565.5W 42 - 38OY
Fri 12/27 Syracuse vs Washington State-19.058.5W 52 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)25.338% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.552.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4
SYR Defense1329.226.143.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
SYR Offense1334.135.148.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (73)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (5)42% (1).69 (1)4% (15)2.3 (6)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (66)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (84)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.13   Syracuse: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6   Syracuse: 5.5




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 39
Syracuse 28


Total Points: 66

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Syracuse42Miami38SyracuseMiami -12.5Syracuse65.5Over
201710/21Miami27Syracuse19MiamiMiami -17.5Syracuse62.0Under
200311/15Miami17Syracuse10Miami
200111/17Miami59Syracuse0Miami
200011/17Syracuse0Miami26Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse121 Overs
Miami401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#8) Miami Info
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami has won 1 straight
Miami has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami Highlights
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)

Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSYRMIAMI
OverallOver#34#3
OffenseOff#13#3
DefenseDef#82#11
Special TeamsST#92#80
PassingPass#8#2
RushingRush#67#2
Run BlockRBLK#51#53
Pass BlockPBLK#43#27
Route RunningWR Rt#5#3
TacklingTkl#93#85
Run DefenseR Def#75#8
Pass Rush DefPRush#60#14
Coverage DefCov#82#47

Rematch from Week 14
Miami 12.5 (65.5)
Syracuse won vs Miami this year (42-38)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Miami last year (42-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | SYR
Depth Chart: MIAMI | SYR
Rosters: MIAMI | SYR
(#35) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Syracuse has won 2 straight
Syracuse has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Syracuse offense is efficent (#35)
Syracuse offense is good on 3rd downs

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse Can Not Run the Ball (#119)
Syracuse Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Syracuse has a bad red zone defense (#82)


  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)39159266%477934128.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen2281021164.530
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon (Tr)197604.012
Trebor Pena127216.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)781021713.141
Trebor Pena84941911.250
Oronde Gadsden II72922712.839
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron8510243
Darian Chestnut604115
Alijah Clark594014
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
Marlowe Wax427510
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)3610012
Jayden Bellamy341006
Darian Chestnut604115