Miami at Syracuse - 2024 Matchup Preview
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami -12.5 (65.5) (-450)  Open: -10.5 | 67.5
Syracuse 42 - Miami: 38  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
SYR 2nd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami -11   (SP+ MIAMI -16)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 39 - SYR: 28 (67)
MIAMI Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
MIAMI Travel: 1203 miles
Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Syracuse vs Ohio-17.547.5W 38 - 22ON
Sat 9/7 Syracuse vs Georgia Tech+2.560.5W 31 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Syracuse vs Stanford-9.556.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 9/28 Syracuse vs Holy Cross-31.559.5W 42 - 14UN
Fri 10/4 Syracuse at UNLV+5.555.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 10/12 Syracuse at NC State-1.051.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+5.062.5L 13 - 41UN
Sat 11/2 Syracuse vs Virginia Tech+3.554.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Syracuse at Boston College+5.551.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Syracuse at California+10.558.0W 33 - 25UY
Sat 11/23 Syracuse vs UConn-10.053.0W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/30 Syracuse vs Miami+12.565.5W 42 - 38OY
Fri 12/27 Syracuse vs Washington State-19.058.5W 52 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)43.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)25.338% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
SYR#100 (.13)40% (98)34.141% (94)2.98 (93)17239% (95)1723.38 (103)#67 (.18)44% (93)29.247% (113)41% (55)3.33 (22)61.61.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.543.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27
SYR Defense1329.226.143.8%3.331.7 - - - - - 50%50%47%41%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
SYR Offense1334.135.139.6%3.381.8183441721724.261%38%41%39%18%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Syracuse1328:1617.839%50%7.361.61.81.762.2329.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)
SYR Defense1350% (63)47% (113) - - - - .13 (60)3.13 (75)79% (105)12% (16)0.8 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
SYR Offense1361% (10)41% (94)40.8171.54.220 (61).12 (87)2.98 (93)71% (94)12% (116)1.04 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)
SYR Defense1350% (76)41% (55) - - - - - - 9 (87).25 (55)1.6 (68)31% (85)30% (64).25 (37)6% (78)1.8 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (111)
SYR Offense1338% (124)39% (95)14.724.2172.17.111.717 (85)15 (116).22 (88)1.5 (93)31% (48)27% (102).23 (101)6% (83)2.1 (64)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.13   Syracuse: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6   Syracuse: 5.5




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 39
Syracuse 28


Projected Total Points: 67
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Syracuse42Miami38SyracuseMiami -12.5Syracuse65.5Over
201710/21Miami27Syracuse19MiamiMiami -17.5Syracuse62.0Under
200311/15Miami17Syracuse10Miami
200111/17Miami59Syracuse0Miami
200011/17Syracuse0Miami26Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse121 Overs
Miami401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#8) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami     Ratings Matchup     Syracuse
Power #8
#35
Off #1
#12
Def #52
#80
Talent #12
#68
SP+ #10
#45
SP+ Off #1
#14
SP+ Def #51
#83

Rematch from Week 14
Miami 12.5 (65.5)
Syracuse won vs Miami this year (42-38)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Miami last year (42-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 33° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | SYR
Depth Chart: MIAMI | SYR
Rosters: MIAMI | SYR
(#35) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.58 #35
Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83
Talent Rating: 628.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Syracuse Notes
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great


  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Sam Brown (Tr)36509214.176
Damien Martinez (Tr)17204012.036
Elija Lofton9150116.740

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Akheem Mesidor329620
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Ja'Dais Richard272023

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)39159266%477934128.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon (Tr)197604.012
Trebor Pena127216.017
Dan Villari122912.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)781021713.141
Trebor Pena84941911.250
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153
Umari Hatcher17273316.167

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
Derek Mcdonald501020
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)4213731
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Devin Grant (Tr)518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)3610012
Jayden Bellamy341006
Darian Chestnut604115