Virginia Tech at Miami - 2024 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo   Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes  Miami logo
Friday, September 27th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Miami -17.5 (55.5) (-900)  Open: -7.5
Miami 38 - Virginia Tech: 34  (ACC)

 
Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIAMI is playing their 5th straight game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Miami -12.5  (SP+ MIAMI -12)
Projected Score: VT: 20 - MIAMI: 32 (52)
MIAMI Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
VT Travel: 778 miles
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt-13.553.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Virginia Tech vs Marshall-20.552.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/14 Virginia Tech at Old Dominion-15.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Virginia Tech vs Rutgers-3.045.0L 23 - 26ON
Fri 9/27 Virginia Tech at Miami+17.555.5L 34 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Virginia Tech at Stanford-9.550.0W 31 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Boston College-8.547.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech-11.052.0W 21 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Virginia Tech at Syracuse-3.554.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Virginia Tech vs Clemson+6.554.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia Tech at Duke-2.545.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/30 Virginia Tech vs Virginia-4.544.5W 37 - 17OY
Fri 1/3 Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)21.447% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)30.239% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)30.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)14.838% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1321.41643.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21
MIAMI Defense1314.811.838.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1330.229.337.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
MIAMI Offense1330.936.143.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 10.35  #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24  #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91  #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0  #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.35   Miami: 22.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 10.0   Miami: 21.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.865  #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60  #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71  #52
2024 Talent Rating: 527.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 43  #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6  #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2  #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 32
Virginia Tech 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Virginia Tech17Miami34Miami -18.5Virginia Tech49.0Over
202409/27Miami38Virginia Tech34Miami -17.5Virginia Tech55.5Over
202210/15Virginia Tech14Miami20Miami -9Virginia Tech48.5Under
202111/20Miami38Virginia Tech26Miami -7Miami55.5Over
202011/14Virginia Tech24Miami25Virginia Tech -2.0Miami67.5Under
201910/05Miami35Virginia Tech42Miami -14Virginia Tech46.0Over
201811/17Virginia Tech14Miami38Miami -6.5Miami52.0Push
201711/04Miami28Virginia Tech10Miami -2Miami48.5Under
201610/20Virginia Tech37Miami16Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
201510/17Miami30Virginia Tech20Miami -7Miami51.5Under
201410/23Virginia Tech6Miami30Virginia Tech -2Miami0
201311/09Miami24Virginia Tech42Miami -6.5Virginia Tech0
201211/01Miami30Virginia Tech12
201110/08Virginia Tech38Miami35
201011/20Miami17Virginia Tech31
200909/26Virginia Tech31Miami7
200811/13Miami16Virginia Tech14
200711/17Virginia Tech44Miami14
200611/04Miami10Virginia Tech17
200511/05Virginia Tech7Miami27
200412/04Miami10Virginia Tech16
200311/01Virginia Tech31Miami7
200112/01Virginia Tech24Miami26
200011/03Miami41Virginia Tech21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami1465 Overs
Virginia Tech1064 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 126 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams12 - 126 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#29) VT at (#8) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTMIAMI
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #29 #8
SP+SP+ #30 #10
Perf GradeGrade #64 #3
OffenseOff #88 #3
DefenseDef #60 #14
Spec TeamsST #22 #97
TalentTal #58 #14
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #13
Virginia Tech Notes
(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
VT OffMIAMI Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #14
SuccessSuc #55 #31
ExplosiveExp #74 #76
PPAPPA #59 #37
PowerPwr #48 #52
SP+SP+ #41 #51
Pts POPPO #30 #125
HavocHav #55 #56
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
VT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #40 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #27
Run ExplRExp #77 #71
PPAExp #63 #28
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #12
Stuff RateStuff #85 #9
TackleTak -  #99
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
VT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #82 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #38
Pass ExplPExl #27 #60
PPAExp #70 #41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #82 #14
F7 HavocF7 #74 #27
DB HavocDB #18 #104
Miami on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffVT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #60
SuccessSuc #52 #23
ExplosiveExp #37 #92
PPAPPA #37 #49
PowerPwr #1 #10
SP+SP+ #1 #36
Pts POPPO #56 #124
HavocHav #38 #47
Miami Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffVT Def
Run GameRun #2 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #36
Run ExplRExp #51 #111
PPAExp #44 #75
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #32
Stuff RateStuff #58 #34
TackleTak -  #17
Miami Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #2 #84
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #13
Pass ExplPExl #55 #81
PPAExp #28 #24
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #22
F7 HavocF7 #21 #17
DB HavocDB #91 #108
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Miami -17.5 (55.5)
Miami won vs Virginia Tech this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia Tech last year (34-17)
Miami beat Virginia Tech in 2024 (38-34)

  
VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones13622461%15621067.0
William Watson III345859%481128.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten1831158156.383
Kyron Drones9833763.453
Jeremiah Coney3217905.647
Malachi Thomas4316513.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephen Gosnell28506118.149
Jaylin Lane38466212.366
Ali Jennings15373324.965
Da'Quan Felton32360211.355

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Keller832021
Caleb Woodson728242
Mose Phillips III654103
Keonta Jenkins6510134
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell42191680
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)296333
Cole Nelson363360
Wilfried Pene335341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Jones401008
Mansoor Delane541007
Dorian Strong320006

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116