Wake Forest at Miami - 2024 Matchup Preview
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Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes

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Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -23.5 (67.0) (-2400)  Open: -24.0
Miami 42 - Wake Forest: 14  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -31  (SP+ MIAMI -27)

Projected Score: WAKE: 14 - MIAMI: 45 (58)
MIAMI Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
WAKE Travel: 703 miles
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T-20.5
Sat 9/7 Wake Forest vs Virginia+1.555.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 9/14 Wake Forest vs Ole Miss+20.565.5L 6 - 40UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wake Forest vs Louisiana-3.059.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Wake Forest at NC State+4.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/12 Wake Forest vs Clemson+21.063.0L 14 - 49UN
Sat 10/19 Wake Forest at UConn-2.555.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/26 Wake Forest at Stanford-3.053.0W 27 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Wake Forest vs California+7.554.5L 36 - 46ON
Sat 11/16 Wake Forest at North Carolina+10.564.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/23 Wake Forest at Miami+23.567.0L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/30 Wake Forest vs Duke+3.553.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)28.142% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)22.140% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)30.943% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)14.838% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1228.124.841.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07
MIAMI Defense1314.811.838.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1222.127.440.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
MIAMI Offense1330.936.143.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -10.36  #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79  #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26  #115
2024 Talent Rating: 311.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7  #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #103

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -10.36   Miami: 22.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -5.7   Miami: 21.6




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.865  #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60  #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71  #52
2024 Talent Rating: 527.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 43  #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6  #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2  #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 45
Wake Forest 14


Projected Total Points: 58
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Miami42Wake Forest14Miami -23.5Miami67.0Under
201310/26Miami24Wake Forest21Miami -22Wake Forest0
200910/31Wake Forest27Miami28
200810/25Miami16Wake Forest10
200511/12Wake Forest17Miami47
200411/20Miami52Wake Forest7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami610 Overs
Wake Forest011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#102) WAKE at (#8) MIAMI
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAKEMIAMI
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #102 #8
SP+SP+ #93 #10
Perf GradeGrade #64 #3
OffenseOff #67 #3
DefenseDef #66 #14
Spec TeamsST #53 #97
TalentTal #70 #14
Blue ChipsBC% #97 #13
Wake Forest Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Dickert (Wazzu)
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
(8/19) Def avg LY, bad in red zone, DL good, DBs big ?
Wake Forest Injury Report
Wake Forest on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffMIAMI Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #14
SuccessSuc #76 #31
ExplosiveExp #123 #76
PPAPPA #122 #37
PowerPwr #98 #52
SP+SP+ #77 #51
Pts POPPO #124 #125
HavocHav #133 #56
Wake Forest Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #120 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #85 #27
Run ExplRExp #132 #71
PPAExp #124 #28
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #12
Stuff RateStuff #100 #9
TackleTak -  #99
Wake Forest Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #57 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #65 #38
Pass ExplPExl #81 #60
PPAExp #98 #41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #14
F7 HavocF7 #132 #27
DB HavocDB #131 #104
Miami on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffWAKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #66
SuccessSuc #52 #49
ExplosiveExp #37 #82
PPAPPA #37 #89
PowerPwr #1 #115
SP+SP+ #1 #103
Pts POPPO #56 #110
HavocHav #38 #61
Miami Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #2 #53
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #40
Run ExplRExp #51 #24
PPAExp #44 #25
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #24 #71
Stuff RateStuff #58 #94
TackleTak -  #24
Miami Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatMIAMI OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #2 #55
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #74
Pass ExplPExl #55 #113
PPAExp #28 #120
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #110
F7 HavocF7 #21 #31
DB HavocDB #91 #102
Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Miami -23.5 (67.0)
Miami won vs Wake Forest this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Wake Forest in 2024 (42-14)

  
WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)22435763%259316107.3
Michael Kern244553%288136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)9614111.520
Ty Clark III135704.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylor Morin64756211.851
Horatio Fields39463411.942
Deuce Alexander36400211.138
Donavon Greene23380316.545

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen1221011
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis3111650
Kevin Pointer337481
Bryce Ganious265370
Branson Combs (Tr)836221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C'Darius Kelley200004
Jamare Glasker373004
Davaughn Patterson744003

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116