Miami at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#18)Miami Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#17)Georgia Tech logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -9.5 (64.5) (-360)  Open: -11.0 | 63.5
Georgia Tech 28 - Miami: 23  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
GT coming off BYE
MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -13.5  (SP+ MIAMI -19.5)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 38 - GT: 25 (63)
MIAMI Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIAMI Travel: 594 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)25.338% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)28.945% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)25.641% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.552.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4
GT Defense1325.61742.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
GT Offense1328.935.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (73)
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (5)42% (1).69 (1)4% (15)2.3 (6)
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (66)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (84)
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13  #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60  #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71  #52
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43%  #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6  #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2  #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.13   Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6   Georgia Tech: 1.9




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93  #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04  #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07  #79
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9  #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 38
Georgia Tech 25


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 32
Georgia Tech 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Miami 32
Georgia Tech 30

Total Points: 62
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Georgia Tech28Miami23Miami -9.5Georgia Tech64.5Under
202310/07Miami20Georgia Tech23Miami -19Georgia Tech57.0Under
202211/12Georgia Tech14Miami35Georgia Tech -2Miami43.5Over
202111/06Miami33Georgia Tech30Miami -10Georgia Tech63.0Push
201910/19Miami21Georgia Tech28Miami -18Georgia Tech46.0Over
201811/10Georgia Tech27Miami21Georgia Tech -1.5Georgia Tech51.5Under
201710/14Miami25Georgia Tech24Miami -6.5Georgia Tech53.5Under
201610/01Georgia Tech21Miami35Miami -5Miami53.5Over
201511/21Miami38Georgia Tech21Miami -1Miami56.5Over
201410/04Georgia Tech28Miami17Georgia Tech -1Georgia Tech0
201310/05Miami45Georgia Tech30Miami -4Miami0
201209/22Georgia Tech36Miami42
201110/22Miami24Georgia Tech7
201011/13Georgia Tech10Miami35
200909/17Miami33Georgia Tech17
200811/20Georgia Tech41Miami23
200710/13Miami14Georgia Tech17
200610/28Georgia Tech30Miami23
200511/19Miami10Georgia Tech14
200410/02Georgia Tech3Miami27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech974 Overs
Miami1144 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 95 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams9 - 116 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#8) MIAMI at (#38) GT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIGT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #8 #38
SP+SP+ #10 #66
Perf GradeGrade #3 #61
OffenseOff #3 #48
DefenseDef #14 #93
Spec TeamsST #97 #7
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #13 #65
Georgia Tech Notes
(11/30) 563 yds @ UGA. King was heroic, DB's hurt/bad
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad
(8/19) 4/5 OL return, RB Haynes great, Run game v good
Georgia Tech Injury Report
Miami on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffGT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #93
SuccessSuc #1 #77
ExplosiveExp #22 #72
PPAPPA #2 #65
PowerPwr #1 #79
SP+SP+ #1 #79
Pts POPPO #2 #85
HavocHav #4 #78
Miami Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffGT Def
Run GameRun #2 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #50
Run ExplRExp #73 #74
PPAExp #5 #31
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #4 #12
Stuff RateStuff #2 #4
TackleTak -  #124
Miami Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #2 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #99
Pass ExplPExl #26 #42
PPAExp #6 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #115
F7 HavocF7 #3 #73
DB HavocDB #15 #88
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatGT OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48 #14
SuccessSuc #29 #26
ExplosiveExp #88 #130
PPAPPA #36 #69
PowerPwr #14 #52
SP+SP+ #42 #51
Pts POPPO #35 #91
HavocHav #22 #39
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
GT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #84 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #16
Run ExplRExp #46 #125
PPAExp #62 #49
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #100 #16
Stuff RateStuff #95 #7
TackleTak -  #99
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatGT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #15 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #25 #40
Pass ExplPExl #110 #113
PPAExp #26 #66
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #14
F7 HavocF7 #21 #43
DB HavocDB #34 #34
Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Miami 9.5 (64.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Miami this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Miami last year (28-23)
Georgia Tech beat Miami in 2023 (23-20)
Miami beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (35-14)

  
MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Avery Boyd25316212.633
Chase Lane24283311.832

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014