Miami at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#4)Miami Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets(#18)Georgia Tech logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -9.5 (64.5) (-360)  Open: -11.0 | 63.5
Georgia Tech 28 - Miami: 23  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
GT coming off BYE
MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -13.5   (SP+ MIAMI -19.5)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 38 - GT: 25 (63)
MIAMI Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIAMI Travel: 594 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami at Florida-2.554.5W 41 - 17OY
Sat 9/7 Miami vs Florida A&M-46.555.5W 56 - 9OY
Sat 9/14 Miami vs Ball State-36.555.5W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Miami at South Florida-17.064.5W 50 - 15OY
Fri 9/27 Miami vs Virginia Tech-17.555.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/5 Miami at California-10.054.0W 39 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Miami at Louisville-4.561.5W 52 - 45OY
Sat 10/26 Miami vs Florida State-22.555.0W 36 - 14UN
Sat 11/2 Miami vs Duke-21.055.5W 53 - 31OY
Sat 11/9 Miami at Georgia Tech-9.564.5L 23 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Miami vs Wake Forest-23.567.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Miami at Syracuse-12.565.5L 38 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 Miami vs Iowa State-5.062.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)43.956% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)25.338% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)28.945% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)25.641% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1343.940.552.5%4.961254971653325.543%57%56%50%10%.4
GT Defense1325.61742.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1325.330.838.1%4.021.4 - - - - - 45%55%38%38%18%.16
GT Offense1328.935.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1330:1325.256%65%6.263.111.45.92.6129.7
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1343% (114)56% (1)30.1165.55.528 (25).32 (5)3.59 (4)90% (1)6% (3)0.95 (73)
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1345% (11)38% (16) - - - - .08 (49)2.6 (16)57% (4)11% (43)1.15 (125)
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1357% (20)50% (7)23.935.1331.69.513.938 (1)7 (26).47 (6)1.7 (26)27% (5)42% (1).69 (1)4% (15)2.3 (6)
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1355% (125)38% (40) - - - - - - 14 (23).23 (66)1.7 (113)36% (9)36% (123).45 (115)7% (34)2.1 (84)
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: 19.13   Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 21.6   Georgia Tech: 1.9




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 38
Georgia Tech 25


Total Points: 63

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Georgia Tech28Miami23Georgia TechMiami -9.5Georgia Tech64.5Under
202310/07Miami20Georgia Tech23Georgia TechMiami -19Georgia Tech57.0Under
202211/12Georgia Tech14Miami35MiamiGeorgia Tech -2Miami43.5Over
202111/06Miami33Georgia Tech30MiamiMiami -10Georgia Tech63.0Push
201910/19Miami21Georgia Tech28Georgia TechMiami -18Georgia Tech46.0Over
201811/10Georgia Tech27Miami21Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -1.5Georgia Tech51.5Under
201710/14Miami25Georgia Tech24MiamiMiami -6.5Georgia Tech53.5Under
201610/01Georgia Tech21Miami35MiamiMiami -5Miami53.5Over
201511/21Miami38Georgia Tech21MiamiMiami -1Miami56.5Over
201410/04Georgia Tech28Miami17Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -1Georgia Tech0
201310/05Miami45Georgia Tech30MiamiMiami -4Miami0
201209/22Georgia Tech36Miami42Miami
201110/22Miami24Georgia Tech7Miami
201011/13Georgia Tech10Miami35Miami
200909/17Miami33Georgia Tech17Miami
200811/20Georgia Tech41Miami23Georgia Tech
200710/13Miami14Georgia Tech17Georgia Tech
200610/28Georgia Tech30Miami23Georgia Tech
200511/19Miami10Georgia Tech14Georgia Tech
200410/02Georgia Tech3Miami27Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech974 Overs
Miami1144 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 95 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams9 - 116 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#8) Miami Info
Power Rating: 19.13 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43% #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami has won 9 straight
Miami has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami Highlights
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)

Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGTMIAMI
OverallOver#44#3
OffenseOff#42#3
DefenseDef#73#11
Special TeamsST#7#80
PassingPass#13#2
RushingRush#62#2
Run BlockRBLK#65#53
Pass BlockPBLK#25#27
Route RunningWR Rt#38#3
TacklingTkl#108#85
Run DefenseR Def#52#8
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#14
Coverage DefCov#81#47

Rematch from Week 11
Miami 9.5 (64.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Miami this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Miami last year (28-23)
Georgia Tech beat Miami in 2023 (23-20)
Miami beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | GT
Depth Chart: MIAMI | GT
Rosters: MIAMI | GT
(#38) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Georgia Tech has lost 2 straight
Georgia Tech has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 0 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread)

Georgia Tech Notes
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech is Undefeated at Home
Georgia Tech is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Georgia Tech offense is efficent (#24)
Georgia Tech Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#112)
Georgia Tech Defensive Line is very good (#92)
Georgia Tech has a great TO Margin (#107)
Georgia Tech commits very few Penalties (#109)

Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech does not Sack the QB (#47)


  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cameron Ward30545467%43133979.5
Emory Williams162662%187117.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez (Tr)1591002106.375
Mark Fletcher Jr.11260795.430
Jordan Lyle5440047.491
Cameron Ward6020443.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo6911271116.377
Jacolby George53752814.249
Isaiah Horton56616511.030
Elijah Arroyo35590716.974

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa9611255
Wesley Bissainthe595211
Jaden Harris404202
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Akheem Mesidor329620
Tyler Baron (Tr)3811660
Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr)308631
Rueben Bain Jr.236410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryl Porter Jr.280027
OJ Frederique Jr.231006
Mishael Powell (Tr)382116

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Avery Boyd25316212.633
Chase Lane24283311.832

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Trenilyas Tatum556202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sylvain Yondjouen246375
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014