Minnesota at Auburn - 2019 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Auburn Tigers  Auburn logo
Wednesday, January 1st 2020 (1:00 PM EST)
Auburn -7.0 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Minnesota 31 - Auburn: 24  (OUTBACK BOWL)

 
Golden Gophers (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1  (SP+ AUB -2)

Projected Score: MINN: 17 - AUB: 29 (46)
AUB Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 1314 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs South Dakota State-14.556.0W 28 - 21UN
Sat 9/7 Minnesota at Fresno State-3.046.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Georgia Southern-17.045.0W 35 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Purdue+2.057.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.058.0W 40 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.047.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Minnesota at Rutgers-28.546.0W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-14.059.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Minnesota vs Penn State+7.049.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 11/16 Minnesota at Iowa+3.044.5L 19 - 23UN
Sat 11/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-15.541.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+3.045.0L 17 - 38ON
Wed 1/1 Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Auburn's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Oregon-4.055.0W 27 - 21UY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs Tulane-15.051.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs Kent State-36.054.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.048.5W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-7.547.0W 56 - 23OY
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Florida-2.548.5L 13 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Arkansas-20.556.0W 51 - 10OY
Sat 10/26 Auburn at LSU+11.559.5L 20 - 23UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Ole Miss-17.053.5W 20 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs Georgia+3.042.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Samford-45.564.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 11/30 Auburn vs Alabama+3.551.0W 48 - 45OY
Wed 1/1 Auburn vs Minnesota-7.054.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.1644%2345%3.3617141%2093.64.243%22.941%43%3.1339.11.91.6
AUB.1743%26.844%2.9116741%2223.42.0838%20.738%35%2.4850.111.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.344.3%3.641.9213801712094.355%43%45%41%17%.16
AUB Defense1320.716.438.2%2.481.7 - - - - - 48%49%38%35%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93842.9%3.131.6 - - - - - 48%50%41%43%15%.2
AUB Offense1326.826.443.5%3.421193901672224.348%50%44%41%14%.17

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:5720.740%50%3.939.11.91.65.21.6231
Auburn1325:5719.137%50%5.650.111.76.92.8532.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1355%45%40.2171.24.324.133.3677%9%0.82
AUB Defense1348%38% - - - - .012.7564%12%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1348%41% - - - - .192.872%9%1.31
AUB Offense1348%44%39.4167.54.325.072.9166%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1343%41%14.626.6208.87.814.32014.21.831%33%.358%2
AUB Defense1349%35% - - - - - - 14.151.838%32%.237%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 11.231.430%34%.36%1.7
AUB Offense1350%41%17.929.4222.57.612.4215.281.629%32%.325%1.9

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2019 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.4  #13
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #7
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Auburn: 10.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 19.4   Auburn: 21.0




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.5 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2019 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.0  #9
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #34
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 29
Minnesota 17


Projected Total Points: 46
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201901/01Auburn24Minnesota31Auburn -7.0Minnesota54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn001 Overs
Minnesota110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Minnesota Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Outback Bowl Minnesota vs Auburn+7.054.0W 31 - 24
2018Lane Bowl Minnesota vs Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 34 - 10
2016Holiday Bowl Minnesota vs Washington State+5.561.0W 17 - 12
2015Lane Bowl Minnesota vs Central Michigan-6.0W 21 - 14
2014Citrus Bowl Minnesota vs Missouri+3.046.0L 17 - 33
2013Texas Bowl Minnesota vs Syracuse-3.547.5L 17 - 21
Auburn Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Outback Bowl Auburn vs Minnesota-7.054.0L 24 - 31
2018City Bowl Auburn vs Purdue-3.558.5W 63 - 14
2017Peach Bowl Auburn vs UCF-9.567.0L 27 - 34
2016Sugar Bowl Auburn vs Oklahoma+5.567.0L 19 - 35
2015N/A Auburn vs Memphis-2.5W 31 - 10
2014Outback Bowl Auburn vs Wisconsin-6.065.0L 31 - 34
2013VIZIO BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Auburn vs Florida State+11.567.0L 31 - 34
  
(#) MINN at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #9
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #12
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Auburn -7.0 (54.0)
Minnesota won at Auburn this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD