Clemson vs Kentucky Game Matchup

Friday, December 29th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Clemson -3.5 (44.5) (-275) Open: -7.0 | 47.0
Clemson 38 - Kentucky: 35 (TaxSlayer Gator Bowl)

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Clemson -5 (SP+ CLEM -1.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 25 - UK: 20 (50)
CLEM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CLEM Travel: 249 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
CLEM Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	.19	45%	34.7	49%	3.29	178	41%	232	4.14	.08	38%	23.4	39%	37%	3.22	48.2	1.6	1.7
UK	.11	40%	20.6	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	22.1	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	14	34.7	30	44.9%	4.14	1.6	23	410	178	232	4.6	52%	48%	49%	41%	14%	.19
UK Defense	13	22.1	17.6	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	14	23.4	19.8	37.7%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	39%	37%	21%	.08
UK Offense	13	20.6	21.9	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	14	31:12	22.8	47%	50%	5.4	48.2	1.6	1.7	7.6	3.1	2	28.8
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	14	52%	49%	39.1	178.4	4.6	31	.2	3.29	78%	9%	0.93
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	14	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	64%	13%	0.92
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	14	48%	41%	21.2	34.1	231.9	6.8	10.9	24	10	.2	1.5	30%	30%	.21	5%	1.9
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	14	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.6	34%	25%	.2	8%	2.1
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 11.99 Kentucky: 6.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 10.9 Kentucky: 9.3

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.47 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 25
Kentucky 20

Projected Total Points: 50

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/29	Kentucky	35	Clemson	38	Clemson	Clemson -3.5	Kentucky	44.5	Over
2009	12/27	Clemson	21	Kentucky	13	Clemson
2006	12/29	Kentucky	28	Clemson	20	Kentucky

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	1	1	1 Overs
Clemson	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Clemson Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Gator Bowl	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35
2022	Orange Bowl	Clemson vs Tennessee	-4.0	62.0	L 14 - 31
2021	It Bowl	Clemson vs Iowa State	-1.5	44.0	W 20 - 13
2020	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Ohio State	-7.5	66.5	L 28 - 49
2019	CFP Nat'l Title	Clemson vs LSU	+5.0	67.0	L 25 - 42
2019	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Ohio State	-3.0	63.5	W 29 - 23
2018	CFP Nat'l Title	Clemson vs Alabama	+5.5	56.5	W 44 - 16
2018	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Notre Dame	-10.5	58.0	W 30 - 3
2017	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Alabama	+3.5	46.5	L 6 - 24

Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Gator Bowl	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38
2022	City Bowl	Kentucky vs Iowa	+3.0	31.5	L 0 - 21
2021	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17
2020	Gator Bowl	Kentucky vs NC State	-3.0	50.5	W 23 - 21
2019	N/A	Kentucky vs Virginia Tech	+2.0	47.0	W 37 - 30
2018	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24
2017	N/A	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24

(#15) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00

Team Profile

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Clemson has played in 9 CFP Playoff Games (4 - 5)
Clemson has played in 9 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 4)
Clemson has played in 28 Bowls since 2000 (15 - 13)

Clemson Ratings Matchup Kentucky

Power #15

#43

Off #88

#60

Def #8

#72

Talent #5

#25

SP+ #23

#31

SP+ Off #50

#44

SP+ Def #12

#33

Rematch from Week 1
Clemson 3.5 (44.5)
Clemson won at Kentucky this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | UK
Depth Chart: CLEM | UK
Rosters: CLEM | UK

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.47 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Kentucky has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 2)
Kentucky has played in 13 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 6)

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	216	1115	8	5.2	83
Domonique Thomas	42	197	1	4.7	22
Wise Segars Jr.	2	14	0	7.0	12
Barrett Carter	1	4	1	4.0	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jake Briningstool	49	530	7	10.8	41
Beaux Collins	41	490	3	12.0	53
Phil Mafah	21	103	0	4.9	22
Sage Ennis	1	2	0	2.0	2

View Clemson's Full Roster

Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Payton Page	30	3	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Payton Page	30	3	1	0	1
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deuce Hogan	6	18	33%	31	0	2	1.7
Wilson Berry	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demie Sumo	129	586	5	4.5	22
Deuce Hogan	4	-3	0	-0.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demie Sumo	20	154	0	7.7	18
Shamar Porter	6	113	3	18.8	39
Izayah Cummings	3	33	0	11.0	19
Ardell Banks	2	20	0	10.0	13

View Kentucky's Full Roster

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zion Childress	55	6	1	6	2
Deone Walker	37	5	2	0	2
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Elijah Reed	32	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	20	7	4	1	0
J.J. Weaver	31	7	4	4	1
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Octavious Oxendine	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Reed	32	2	0	1	4
Maxwell Hairston	19	1	1	0	4
D'Eryk Jackson	32	4	1	0	3