Ball State at Kentucky Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -25 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 44 - Ball State: 14

 
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kentucky -20.5   (SP+ UK -24)
Projected Score: BALL: 16 - UK: 36 (54)
UK Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 159 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ball State at Kentucky+25.049.0L 14 - 44ON
Sat 9/9 Ball State at Georgia+42.052.5L 3 - 45UY
Sat 9/16 Ball State vs Indiana State-26.045.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Ball State vs Georgia Southern+6.060.0L 3 - 40UN
Sat 9/30 Ball State at Western Michigan+1.550.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+2.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Ball State vs Toledo+17.548.5L 6 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Central Michigan+5.042.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Ball State at Bowling Green+4.539.5L 21 - 24OY
Tue 11/7 Ball State at Northern Illinois+9.543.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/18 Ball State vs Kent State-10.541.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+3.534.5L 15 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.1140%25.341%3.2215840%2283.7.1643%40.145%41%3.5657.61.81.4
UK.1140%20.643%311637%2083.23.0737%22.138%37%3.1539.51.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32340.1%3.71.8213861582284.543%56%41%40%19%.11
UK Defense1322.117.637.2%3.151.5 - - - - - 54%46%38%37%14%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.943%3.561.4 - - - - - 55%45%45%41%17%.16
UK Offense1320.621.939.8%3.231.5183251162083.351%48%43%37%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1227:5921.336%32%6.157.61.81.45.42.1029.3
Kentucky1333:0817.634%62%5.739.51.51.541.5227.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1243%41%34.8157.84.514.093.2276%7%0.88
UK Defense1354%38% - - - - .062.9162%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1255%45% - - - - .133.2671%9%0.95
UK Offense1351%43%35.6116.23.39.05365%13%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1256%40%23.940.1228.25.79.51814.181.330%31%.2612%1.9
UK Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.141.534%26%.186%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 7.231.432%30%.288%1.9
UK Offense1348%37%17.226.8208.57.812.12113.231.934%28%.226%2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44   Kentucky: 8.97

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9   Kentucky: 9.3




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 36
Ball State 16

Projected Total Points: 54
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Kentucky44Ball State14KentuckyKentucky -25Kentucky49.0Over
200109/08Kentucky28Ball State20Kentucky
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky211 Overs
Ball State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile






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Ball State     Ratings Matchup     Kentucky
Power #112
#43
Off #98
#60
Def #87
#72
Talent #84
#25
SP+ #116
#31
SP+ Off #131
#44
SP+ Def #61
#33

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -25.0 (49.0)
Kentucky won vs Ball State this year (44-14)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Ball State in 2023 (44-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BALL | UK
Depth Chart: BALL | UK
Rosters: BALL | UK
(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Ball State's OC Jared Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2921274124.447
Lucas Borrow119019.019
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)2013726.921
Brady Hunt222011.011

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Newson734044
Jordan Riley-Scott422113
Brandon Berger3810594
Nathan Reichert322100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Berger3810594
Jordan Riley-Scott422113
Nathan Reichert322100
Keionte Newson734044
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Newson734044
Brandon Berger3810594
Jordan Riley-Scott422113

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan61833%31021.7
Wilson Berry010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Deuce Hogan4-30-0.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Shamar Porter6113318.839
Izayah Cummings333011.019
Ardell Banks220010.013

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Childress556162
Deone Walker375202
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Elijah Reed322014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade207410
J.J. Weaver317441
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Maxwell Hairston191104
D'Eryk Jackson324103