Kentucky at Georgia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Georgia Bulldogs(#12)

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia -14.5 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia 51 - Kentucky: 13 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UGA is playing their 6th straight game
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -22 (SP+ UGA -20)
Projected Score: UK: 15 - UGA: 37 (52)
UGA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UK Travel: 288 miles

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (43 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#49 (.22)	40% (93)	29.1	41% (88)	2.79 (118)	128	40% (83)	212	4.46 (23)	#50 (.16)	43% (87)	25.8	42% (56)	45% (116)	3.95 (84)	50.8	1.5	1.4
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	29.1	26.8	40%	4.46	1.5	17	339	128	212	4.9	43%	55%	41%	40%	18%	.22
UGA Defense	14	15.6	13.7	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	25.8	26	43.3%	3.95	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	45%	14%	.16
UGA Offense	14	40.1	42.7	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	27:34	16.9	38%	20%	6.1	50.8	1.5	1.4	5.5	2	6	29.3
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	43% (108)	41% (88)	26.1	127.7	4.9	18 (77)	.15 (71)	2.79 (118)	68% (106)	11% (79)	1.12 (17)
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	48% (46)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.1 (40)	2.87 (29)	70% (48)	10% (75)	0.87 (18)
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	55% (26)	40% (83)	16.2	28.8	211.6	7.4	13	25 (37)	11 (68)	.32 (54)	1.7 (25)	35% (114)	28% (88)	.31 (77)	8% (113)	2.2 (19)
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	51% (92)	45% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.23 (45)	1.4 (11)	31% (76)	30% (70)	.39 (104)	5% (114)	2.1 (75)
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64 Georgia: 28.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3 Georgia: 29.5

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 37
Kentucky 15

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 30
Kentucky 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 34
Kentucky 21

Total Points: 55

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Georgia	35	Kentucky	14	Georgia -19.5	Georgia	48.5	Over
2024	09/14	Kentucky	12	Georgia	13	Georgia -24	Kentucky	45.0	Under
2023	10/07	Georgia	51	Kentucky	13	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2022	11/19	Kentucky	6	Georgia	16	Georgia -22.5	Kentucky	47.5	Under
2021	10/16	Georgia	30	Kentucky	13	Georgia -21.5	Kentucky	44.5	Under
2020	10/31	Kentucky	3	Georgia	14	Georgia -17	Kentucky	42.0	Under
2019	10/19	Georgia	21	Kentucky	0	Georgia -23.5	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2018	11/03	Kentucky	17	Georgia	34	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	47.5	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia	42	Kentucky	13	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	51.0	Over
2016	11/05	Kentucky	24	Georgia	27	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia	27	Kentucky	3	Georgia -17	Georgia	58.0	Under
2014	11/08	Kentucky	31	Georgia	63	Georgia -13	Georgia	0
2013	11/23	Georgia	59	Kentucky	17	Georgia -26	Georgia	0
2012	10/20	Kentucky	24	Georgia	29
2011	11/19	Georgia	19	Kentucky	10
2010	10/23	Kentucky	31	Georgia	44
2009	11/21	Georgia	27	Kentucky	34
2008	11/08	Kentucky	38	Georgia	42
2007	11/17	Georgia	24	Kentucky	13
2006	11/04	Kentucky	24	Georgia	20
2005	11/19	Georgia	45	Kentucky	13
2004	11/06	Kentucky	17	Georgia	62
2003	11/22	Georgia	30	Kentucky	10
2002	10/26	Kentucky	24	Georgia	52
2001	10/20	Georgia	43	Kentucky	29
2000	10/20	Kentucky	30	Georgia	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	24	8	4 Overs
Kentucky	2	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	8 - 5	5 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	5 - 8	3 - 3	2 - 5

(#43) UK at (#4) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#43	#4
SP+SP+	#31	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#3
OffenseOff	#65	#3
DefenseDef	#30	#14
Spec TeamsST	#60	#6
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#20	#3

Kentucky Injury Report

Georgia Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#14
SuccessSuc	#93	#28
ExplosiveExp	#4	#49
PPAPPA	#49	#25
PowerPwr	#60	#27
SP+SP+	#44	#5
Pts POPPO	#23	#41
HavocHav	#102	#67

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#19	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#88	#86
Run ExplRExp	#17	#86
PPAExp	#71	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#131	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#83	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#25	#37
PPAExp	#54	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#61	#44
F7 HavocF7	#79	#94
DB HavocDB	#113	#35

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#30
SuccessSuc	#5	#87
ExplosiveExp	#91	#10
PPAPPA	#4	#50
PowerPwr	#4	#72
SP+SP+	#5	#33
Pts POPPO	#3	#84
HavocHav	#12	#111

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#13	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#56
Run ExplRExp	#46	#18
PPAExp	#5	#40
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#29
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#26
TackleTak	-	#45

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#116
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#11
PPAExp	#7	#45
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#55
F7 HavocF7	#19	#75
DB HavocDB	#17	#114

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia -14.5 (47.0)
Georgia won vs Kentucky this year (51-13)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Devin Leary (Tr)	209	371	56%	2746	25	12	7.4
Kaiya Sheron	2	4	50%	5	0	0	1.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Re'Mahn Davis	199	1129	14	5.7	75
Ramon Jefferson	28	184	0	6.6	74
Barion Brown	12	147	1	12.3	26
Demie Sumo	20	139	1	7.0	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dane Key	42	636	6	15.1	58
Tayvion Robinson	41	552	4	13.5	56
Barion Brown	43	539	4	12.5	60
Re'Mahn Davis	33	323	7	9.8	58

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Eryk Jackson	89	8	2	2	4
Trevin Wallace	80	9	6	3	0
Maxwell Hairston	66	2	0	0	6
Zion Childress	58	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deone Walker	55	13	8	8	2
J.J. Weaver	44	8	6	2	2
Trevin Wallace	80	9	6	3	0
Octavious Oxendine	19	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maxwell Hairston	66	2	0	0	6
Andru Phillips	48	2	0	0	5
D'Eryk Jackson	89	8	2	2	4

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5