Kentucky at Georgia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia -14.5 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia 51 - Kentucky: 13 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UGA is playing their 6th straight game
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -22 (SP+ UGA -20)
Projected Score: UK: 14 - UGA: 36 (48)
UGA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UK Travel: 288 miles

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.11	40%	20.6	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	22.1	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5
UGA	.37	53%	31.5	51%	3.22	205	55%	296	4.72	.06	36%	20.6	35%	37%	3.12	44.9	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UGA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	20.6	18	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11
UGA Defense	15	20.6	21.2	35.9%	3.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	35%	37%	16%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	22.1	31	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07
UGA Offense	15	31.5	42.3	52.7%	4.72	1.1	25	501	205	296	5.5	51%	49%	51%	55%	10%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5
Georgia	15	33:34	24.7	51%	87%	4.4	44.9	1.1	1.5	5.4	2.3	0	31.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78
UGA Defense	15	39%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.54	68%	11%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1
UGA Offense	15	51%	51%	37.1	205.3	5.5	44	.26	3.22	69%	6%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2
UGA Defense	15	61%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.11	1.5	34%	24%	.11	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1
UGA Offense	15	49%	55%	22.4	32.8	295.8	9	13.2	31	7	.49	1.4	24%	45%	.66	4%	2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64 Georgia: 28.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3 Georgia: 29.5

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 36
Kentucky 14

Projected Total Points: 48

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Kentucky	12	Georgia	13	Georgia	Georgia -24	Kentucky	45.0	Under
2023	10/07	Georgia	51	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	47.0	Over
2022	11/19	Kentucky	6	Georgia	16	Georgia	Georgia -22.5	Kentucky	47.5	Under
2021	10/16	Georgia	30	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -21.5	Kentucky	44.5	Under
2020	10/31	Kentucky	3	Georgia	14	Georgia	Georgia -17	Kentucky	42.0	Under
2019	10/19	Georgia	21	Kentucky	0	Georgia	Georgia -23.5	Kentucky	45.5	Under
2018	11/03	Kentucky	17	Georgia	34	Georgia	Georgia -9.5	Georgia	47.5	Over
2017	11/18	Georgia	42	Kentucky	13	Georgia	Georgia -23.5	Georgia	51.0	Over
2016	11/05	Kentucky	24	Georgia	27	Georgia	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia	27	Kentucky	3	Georgia	Georgia -17	Georgia	58.0	Under
2014	11/08	Kentucky	31	Georgia	63	Georgia	Georgia -13	Georgia	0
2013	11/23	Georgia	59	Kentucky	17	Georgia	Georgia -26	Georgia	0
2012	10/20	Kentucky	24	Georgia	29	Georgia
2011	11/19	Georgia	19	Kentucky	10	Georgia
2010	10/23	Kentucky	31	Georgia	44	Georgia
2009	11/21	Georgia	27	Kentucky	34	Kentucky
2008	11/08	Kentucky	38	Georgia	42	Georgia
2007	11/17	Georgia	24	Kentucky	13	Georgia
2006	11/04	Kentucky	24	Georgia	20	Kentucky
2005	11/19	Georgia	45	Kentucky	13	Georgia
2004	11/06	Kentucky	17	Georgia	62	Georgia
2003	11/22	Georgia	30	Kentucky	10	Georgia
2002	10/26	Kentucky	24	Georgia	52	Georgia
2001	10/20	Georgia	43	Kentucky	29	Georgia
2000	10/20	Kentucky	30	Georgia	34	Georgia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	23	7	3 Overs
Kentucky	2	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Kentucky Ratings Matchup Georgia

Power #43

Off #60

Def #72

#27

Talent #25

SP+ #31

SP+ Off #44

SP+ Def #33

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia -14.5 (47.0)
Georgia won vs Kentucky this year (51-13)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Kentucky last year (13-12)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2023 (51-13)
Georgia beat Kentucky in 2022 (16-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UK | UGA
Depth Chart: UK | UGA
Rosters: UK | UGA

(#4) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5
Talent Rating: 1370.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Kentucky's OC Liam Coen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deuce Hogan	6	18	33%	31	0	2	1.7
Wilson Berry	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
La'Vell Wright	115	643	5	5.6	72
Demie Sumo	129	586	5	4.5	22
Deuce Hogan	4	-3	0	-0.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demie Sumo	20	154	0	7.7	18
Shamar Porter	6	113	3	18.8	39
Izayah Cummings	3	33	0	11.0	19
Ardell Banks	2	20	0	10.0	13

View Kentucky's Full Roster

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zion Childress	55	6	1	6	2
Deone Walker	37	5	2	0	2
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
D'Eryk Jackson	32	4	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	20	7	4	1	0
J.J. Weaver	31	7	4	4	1
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Octavious Oxendine	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Reed	32	2	0	1	4
Maxwell Hairston	19	1	1	0	4
D'Eryk Jackson	32	4	1	0	3

Georgia's OC Mike Bobo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sevaughn Clark	62	209	0	3.4	26
Andrew Paul	38	166	4	4.4	28
Brock Vandagriff	90	131	0	1.5	22
Arian Smith	5	54	0	10.8	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	59	607	6	10.3	38
Mekhi Mews	29	253	1	8.7	57

View Georgia's Full Roster

Georgia's DC Will Muschamp

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr.	99	10	2	3	1
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	67	7	4	1	0
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Marvin Jones Jr.	25	6	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Harris	41	3	0	5
Nyland Green	23	2	2	5
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	3