Missouri at Kentucky - 2023 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -1.5 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 38 - Kentucky: 21  (SEC)

 
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK is playing their 7th straight game
MIZ is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6   (SP+ MIZ -8.5)
Projected Score: MIZ: 27 - UK: 21 (47)
UK Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MIZ Travel: 428 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ.1641%28.941%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%20.437%39%3.863.71.51.8
UK.1140%20.643%311637%2083.23.0737%22.138%37%3.1539.51.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.840.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16
UK Defense1322.117.637.2%3.151.5 - - - - - 54%46%38%37%14%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.437.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
UK Offense1320.621.939.8%3.231.5183251162083.351%48%43%37%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Kentucky1333:0817.634%62%5.739.51.51.541.5227.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1
UK Defense1354%38% - - - - .062.9162%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
UK Offense1351%43%35.6116.23.39.05365%13%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2
UK Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.141.534%26%.186%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
UK Offense1348%37%17.226.8208.57.812.12113.231.934%28%.226%2

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 12.43   Kentucky: 8.97

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 17.8   Kentucky: 9.3




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 27
Kentucky 21

Projected Total Points: 47
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Kentucky21Missouri38MissouriKentucky -1.5Missouri50.5Over
202211/05Missouri17Kentucky21KentuckyMissouri -1Kentucky40.0Under
202109/11Kentucky35Missouri28KentuckyKentucky -5.5Kentucky56.5Over
202010/24Missouri20Kentucky10MissouriKentucky -3.5Missouri47.0Under
201910/26Kentucky29Missouri7KentuckyMissouri -10Kentucky43.5Under
201810/27Missouri14Kentucky16KentuckyMissouri -7.5Kentucky54.5Under
201710/07Kentucky40Missouri34KentuckyKentucky -8.5Missouri59.5Over
201610/29Missouri21Kentucky35KentuckyMissouri -4.5Kentucky69.0Under
201509/26Kentucky21Missouri13KentuckyKentucky -2.5Kentucky44.0Under
201411/01Missouri20Kentucky10MissouriMissouri -7Missouri0
201311/09Kentucky17Missouri48MissouriMissouri -14Missouri0
201210/27Missouri33Kentucky10Missouri
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky763 Overs
Missouri556 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 55 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams5 - 76 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Missouri     Ratings Matchup     Kentucky
Power #14
#43
Off #15
#60
Def #38
#72
Talent #37
#25
SP+ #12
#31
SP+ Off #11
#44
SP+ Def #23
#33

Rematch from Week 7
Kentucky -1.5 (50.5)
Missouri won at Kentucky this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kentucky in 2023 (38-21)
Kentucky beat Missouri in 2022 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | UK
Depth Chart: MIZ | UK
Rosters: MIZ | UK
(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brady Cook8722352.631
Luther Burden III10125212.561
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Jake Garcia (Tr)404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Mookie Cooper12235019.678
Dannis Jackson11210019.147

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass754130
Joseph Charleston442004
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
Serigne Tounkara52220
Kristian Williams302141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Charleston442004
Dameon Wilson253012
Sidney Williams (Tr)301002

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan61833%31021.7
Wilson Berry010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Vell Wright11564355.672
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Deuce Hogan4-30-0.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Shamar Porter6113318.839
Izayah Cummings333011.019
Ardell Banks220010.013

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Childress556162
Deone Walker375202
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
D'Eryk Jackson324103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade207410
J.J. Weaver317441
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Maxwell Hairston191104
D'Eryk Jackson324103