Kentucky at Northwestern - 2017 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs Northwestern Wildcats

Friday, December 29th 2017 (4:30 PM EST)
Northwestern -7.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Northwestern 24 - Kentucky: 23

Wildcats (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ NW -9)
Projected Score: UK: 16 - NW: 27 (43)
NW Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 179 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wildcats (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UK Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky at Southern Miss	-10.0	57.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-34.5
Sat 9/16	Kentucky at South Carolina	+6.0	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky vs Florida	+3.0	44.0	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan	-14.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kentucky vs Missouri	-8.5	59.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	-4.0	46.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky vs Ole Miss	-3.5	63.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+2.5	53.0	W 44 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at Georgia	+23.5	51.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky vs Louisville	+10.0	68.0	L 17 - 44	U	N
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Northwestern's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northwestern vs Nevada	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern at Duke	-1.5	54.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Northwestern vs Bowling Green	-21.0	56.5	W 49 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+16.5	50.5	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Penn State	+14.5	51.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/14	Northwestern at Maryland	-2.5	50.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Northwestern vs Iowa	-2.5	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Michigan State	+2.0	41.5	W 39 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern at Nebraska	+1.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern vs Purdue	-6.0	49.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Minnesota	-7.0	40.5	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	-16.5	46.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Northwestern vs Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 24 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.19	43%	23	46%	3.08	234	36%	186	3.68	.23	49%	26.4	53%	42%	3.52	45.8	2.2	1.6
NW	.12	40%	23.4	37%	2.66	153	43%	245	3.28	.09	42%	19.8	42%	41%	2.78	29.9	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	42.9%	3.68	2.2	20	420	234	186	5.4	59%	39%	46%	36%	16%	.19
NW Defense	13	19.8	12.4	42.4%	2.78	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	41%	16%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	49.3%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	53%	42%	14%	.23
NW Offense	13	23.4	26.8	40.3%	3.28	1.2	22	398	153	245	4	46%	53%	37%	43%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	29:51	20	39%	75%	5	45.8	2.2	1.6	5.3	1.6	2	29.5
Northwestern	13	28:38	21.6	39%	53%	3.6	29.9	1.2	1.9	5.9	2.1	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	59%	46%	43.1	234.2	5.4	31	.2	3.08	74%	11%	1.06
NW Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.68	77%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.53	81%	9%	0.86
NW Offense	13	46%	37%	38.5	153.2	4	22	.05	2.66	76%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	39%	36%	13.1	24	186.1	7.8	14.2	17	12	.19	1.9	33%	30%	.19	5%	1.8
NW Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.4	33%	28%	.1	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.7	30%	40%	.4	5%	1.7
NW Offense	13	53%	43%	21.7	37.2	245.1	6.6	11.3	22	9	.19	1.5	34%	30%	.25	8%	2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #61
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #51
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Northwestern: 5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 2.7 Northwestern: 11.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 5.6 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #27
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #59
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Northwestern 27
Kentucky 16

Projected Total Points: 43

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	12/29	Northwestern	24	Kentucky	23	Northwestern -7.5	Kentucky	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	1	0	0 Overs
Kentucky	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24
2016	N/A	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33

Northwestern Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	N/A	Northwestern vs Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 24 - 23
2016	Pinstripe Bowl	Northwestern vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 24
2015	Outback Bowl	Northwestern vs Tennessee	+9.0		L 6 - 45
2012	Gator Bowl	Northwestern vs Mississippi State			W 34 - 20
2011	Care Bowl	Northwestern vs Texas A&M			L 22 - 33

(#) UK at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#27
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nissan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Northwestern -7.5 (50.5)
Northwestern won vs Kentucky this year (24-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD