Wake Forest at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Clemson -21 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Clemson 17 - Wake Forest: 12 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE coming off BYE
CLEM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -21.5 (SP+ CLEM -18)
Projected Score: WAKE: 16 - CLEM: 38 (54)
CLEM Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
WAKE Travel: 177 miles

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#122 (.07)	41% (76)	20.3	42% (85)	2.97 (97)	130	42% (65)	196	3.03 (124)	#89 (.21)	41% (49)	27.2	40% (40)	42% (74)	4.25 (110)	38.8	1.8	1.3
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	29.8	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	21.1	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	12	20.3	18.5	41.4%	3.03	1.8	20	326	130	196	3.3	54%	45%	42%	42%	24%	.07
CLEM Defense	13	21.1	19.7	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	12	27.2	29.2	40.5%	4.25	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.21
CLEM Offense	13	29.8	37	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	12	29:05	19.9	34%	42%	4.1	38.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	1	30.7
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	12	54% (35)	42% (85)	39	130.4	3.3	13 (108)	.02 (124)	2.97 (97)	63% (122)	15% (132)	0.79 (132)
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	12	51% (79)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.06 (25)	3.11 (71)	64% (20)	11% (31)	0.89 (24)
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	12	45% (101)	42% (65)	16	26.8	196	7.3	12.3	14 (106)	12 (85)	.19 (98)	1.6 (81)	31% (53)	29% (77)	.24 (96)	9% (131)	1.9 (110)
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	12	48% (54)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.4 (120)	1.7 (113)	33% (53)	29% (46)	.4 (105)	5% (102)	2.3 (127)
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -7.40 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.40 Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.5 Clemson: 10.9

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 38
Wake Forest 16

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Clemson 34
Wake Forest 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 31
Wake Forest 20

Total Points: 51

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Wake Forest	14	Clemson	49	Clemson -21	Clemson	63.0	Push
2023	10/07	Clemson	17	Wake Forest	12	Clemson -21	Wake Forest	53.5	Under
2022	09/24	Wake Forest	45	Clemson	51	Clemson -7.5	Wake Forest	58.0	Over
2021	11/20	Clemson	48	Wake Forest	27	Clemson -3.5	Clemson	57.0	Over
2020	09/12	Wake Forest	13	Clemson	37	Clemson -34.5	Wake Forest	58.5	Under
2019	11/16	Clemson	52	Wake Forest	3	Clemson -35	Clemson	59.0	Under
2018	10/06	Wake Forest	3	Clemson	63	Clemson -20.5	Clemson	60.0	Over
2017	10/07	Clemson	28	Wake Forest	14	Clemson -21	Wake Forest	50.5	Under
2016	11/19	Wake Forest	13	Clemson	35	Clemson -23.5	Wake Forest	47.5	Over
2015	11/21	Clemson	33	Wake Forest	13	Clemson -29	Wake Forest	47.5	Under
2014	11/06	Wake Forest	20	Clemson	34	Clemson -20	Wake Forest	0
2013	09/28	Clemson	56	Wake Forest	7	Clemson -28.5	Clemson	0
2012	10/25	Wake Forest	13	Clemson	42
2011	11/12	Clemson	31	Wake Forest	28
2010	11/20	Wake Forest	10	Clemson	30
2009	10/17	Clemson	38	Wake Forest	3
2008	10/09	Wake Forest	12	Clemson	7
2007	11/10	Clemson	44	Wake Forest	10
2006	10/07	Wake Forest	17	Clemson	27
2005	10/01	Wake Forest	31	Clemson	27
2004	09/04	Clemson	37	Wake Forest	30
2003	11/01	Wake Forest	45	Clemson	17
2002	10/19	Clemson	31	Wake Forest	23
2001	10/27	Wake Forest	14	Clemson	21
2000	09/15	Clemson	55	Wake Forest	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	22	5	4 Overs
Wake Forest	3	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	7 - 5	3 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 15	5 - 7	2 - 4	3 - 3

(#103) WAKE at (#15) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#103	#15
SP+SP+	#92	#23
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#31
OffenseOff	#63	#94
DefenseDef	#45	#2
Spec TeamsST	#44	#25
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#5

Wake Forest Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#2
SuccessSuc	#76	#2
ExplosiveExp	#123	#115
PPAPPA	#122	#9
PowerPwr	#123	#8
SP+SP+	#101	#12
Pts POPPO	#124	#91
HavocHav	#133	#3

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#123	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#10
Run ExplRExp	#132	#128
PPAExp	#124	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#33
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#92
TackleTak	-	#30

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#2
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#51
PPAExp	#98	#3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#29	#20
F7 HavocF7	#132	#10
DB HavocDB	#131	#1

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#45
SuccessSuc	#38	#49
ExplosiveExp	#132	#82
PPAPPA	#87	#89
PowerPwr	#88	#80
SP+SP+	#50	#66
Pts POPPO	#90	#110
HavocHav	#64	#61

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#68	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#40
Run ExplRExp	#106	#24
PPAExp	#55	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#94
TackleTak	-	#16

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#113
PPAExp	#104	#120
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#72
F7 HavocF7	#55	#31
DB HavocDB	#85	#102

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Clemson -21.0 (53.5)
Clemson won vs Wake Forest this year (17-12)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Wake Forest last year (49-14)
Clemson beat Wake Forest in 2023 (17-12)
Clemson beat Wake Forest in 2022 (51-45)

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis	123	207	59%	1539	9	8	7.4
Michael Kern	56	92	61%	645	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	137	586	5	4.3	42
Justice Ellison	120	548	1	4.6	51
Tate Carney	49	244	4	5.0	74
Mitch Griffis	106	128	2	1.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks	59	653	4	11.1	33
Taylor Morin	41	617	2	15.0	61
Ke'Shawn Williams	38	384	1	10.1	34
Wesley Grimes	20	339	4	17.0	49

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Hazen	86	9	1	3	0
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Malik Mustapha	80	5	1	1	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	49	16	8	10	2
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Kendron Wayman	35	4	2	4	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caelen Carson	42	1	0	0	6
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5
Nick Andersen	33	1	1	1	3

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	290	454	64%	2844	19	9	6.3
Hunter Helms	9	12	75%	83	0	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	179	965	13	5.4	49
Will Shipley	167	827	5	5.0	33
Cade Klubnik	125	182	4	1.5	22
Domonique Thomas	18	116	1	6.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Brown	52	531	4	10.2	47
Beaux Collins	38	510	3	13.4	69
Jake Briningstool	50	498	5	10.0	50
Troy Stellato	39	337	1	8.6	18

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
Barrett Carter	56	8	3	4	5
R.J. Mickens	39	4	0	0	3
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
T.J. Parker	32	13	6	5	1
Ruke Orhorhoro	23	8	5	3	1
Wade Woodaz	26	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shelton Lewis	10	0	0	0	7
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6
Andrew Mukuba	35	2	0	0	6