Clemson at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -3 (48.5) (-238) Open: -10.0
Miami 28 - Clemson: 20 (ACC)

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (18 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CLEM coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami -2 (SP+ MIAMI -1)
Projected Score: CLEM: 23 - MIAMI: 25 (49)
CLEM Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CLEM Travel: 622 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CLEM Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Miami's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami vs Miami (OH)	-16.5	45.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	50.5	W 48 - 33	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.0	63.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Miami at Temple	-23.0	46.5	W 41 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-19.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/14	Miami at North Carolina	+2.5	57.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Miami vs Clemson	+3.0	48.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Miami vs Virginia	-18.5	48.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Miami at NC State	-6.5	44.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Miami at Florida State	+14.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Miami vs Louisville	-1.5	46.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	Miami at Boston College	-13.5	50.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	29.8	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	21.1	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2
MIAMI	#37 (.27)	43% (52)	31.5	43% (64)	3.35 (24)	173	44% (43)	258	3.99 (56)	#37 (.14)	39% (31)	22.8	38% (27)	39% (38)	4.53 (125)	57.8	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	13	29.8	18.2	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16
MIAMI Defense	13	22.8	21.4	38.5%	4.53	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	13	21.1	20.2	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07
MIAMI Offense	13	31.5	34.6	43.3%	3.99	1.7	22	431	173	258	5.1	47%	52%	43%	44%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3
Miami	13	31:52	21.9	41%	52%	6.1	57.8	1.7	1.4	6	2.6	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)
MIAMI Defense	13	47% (36)	38% (27)	-	-	-	-	.07 (28)	2.65 (12)	70% (45)	12% (27)	1 (71)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)
MIAMI Offense	13	47% (96)	43% (64)	33.8	173.2	5.1	24 (41)	.2 (44)	3.35 (24)	82% (10)	8% (21)	1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)
MIAMI Defense	13	52% (102)	39% (38)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.22 (41)	1.6 (60)	33% (47)	28% (33)	.3 (62)	5% (104)	2.2 (111)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)
MIAMI Offense	13	52% (42)	44% (43)	21.8	33.6	258	7.7	11.9	23 (51)	14 (107)	.39 (28)	1.6 (55)	30% (36)	32% (63)	.36 (60)	6% (91)	2 (87)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 11.99 Miami: 13.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 10.9 Miami: 11.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.2

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 25
Clemson 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 25
Clemson 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Miami 27
Clemson 23

Total Points: 50

Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Miami	28	Clemson	20	Clemson -3	Miami	48.5	Under
2022	11/19	Clemson	40	Miami	10	Clemson -19	Clemson	47.5	Over
2020	10/10	Clemson	42	Miami	17	Clemson -14	Clemson	59.5	Under
2017	12/02	Clemson	38	Miami	3	Clemson -12.5	Clemson	47.5	Under
2015	10/24	Miami	0	Clemson	58	Clemson -3.5	Clemson	56.0	Over
2010	10/02	Clemson	21	Miami	30
2009	10/24	Miami	37	Clemson	40
2005	09/17	Clemson	30	Miami	36
2004	11/06	Miami	17	Clemson	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	3	1	2 Overs
Clemson	6	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 4	1 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 3

(#15) CLEM at (#22) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CLEM	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#15	#22
SP+SP+	#23	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#12
OffenseOff	#94	#15
DefenseDef	#2	#22
Spec TeamsST	#25	#95
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#5	#11

Clemson Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#22
SuccessSuc	#38	#31
ExplosiveExp	#132	#76
PPAPPA	#87	#37
PowerPwr	#88	#41
SP+SP+	#50	#36
Pts POPPO	#90	#125
HavocHav	#64	#56

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#68	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#27
Run ExplRExp	#106	#71
PPAExp	#55	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#12
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#9
TackleTak	-	#51

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#38
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#60
PPAExp	#104	#41
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#74	#22
F7 HavocF7	#55	#27
DB HavocDB	#85	#104

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CLEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#2
SuccessSuc	#52	#2
ExplosiveExp	#37	#115
PPAPPA	#37	#9
PowerPwr	#42	#8
SP+SP+	#32	#12
Pts POPPO	#56	#91
HavocHav	#38	#3

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#31	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	#10
Run ExplRExp	#51	#128
PPAExp	#44	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#33
Stuff RateStuff	#58	#92
TackleTak	-	#30

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#2
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#51
PPAExp	#28	#3
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#20
F7 HavocF7	#21	#10
DB HavocDB	#91	#1

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Clemson 3.0 (48.5)
Miami won vs Clemson this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Clemson in 2023 (28-20)
Clemson beat Miami in 2022 (40-10)

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	290	454	64%	2844	19	9	6.3
Hunter Helms	9	12	75%	83	0	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	179	965	13	5.4	49
Will Shipley	167	827	5	5.0	33
Cade Klubnik	125	182	4	1.5	22
Domonique Thomas	18	116	1	6.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Brown	52	531	4	10.2	47
Beaux Collins	38	510	3	13.4	69
Jake Briningstool	50	498	5	10.0	50
Troy Stellato	39	337	1	8.6	18

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
Barrett Carter	56	8	3	4	5
R.J. Mickens	39	4	0	0	3
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
T.J. Parker	32	13	6	5	1
Ruke Orhorhoro	23	8	5	3	1
Wade Woodaz	26	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shelton Lewis	10	0	0	0	7
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6
Andrew Mukuba	35	2	0	0	6

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Van Dyke	219	333	66%	2703	19	12	8.1
Emory Williams	44	71	62%	470	3	1	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	100	625	6	6.3	38
Mark Fletcher Jr.	105	514	5	4.9	54
Donald Chaney Jr.	94	478	2	5.1	29
Ajay Allen (Tr)	70	361	5	5.2	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Restrepo	85	1092	6	12.8	48
Jacolby George	57	864	8	15.2	85
Colbie Young	47	563	5	12.0	57
Brashard Smith	22	263	2	12.0	54

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	78	17	8	6	3
James Williams	72	1	0	2	4
Kamren Kinchens	52	3	1	0	5
Corey Flagg Jr.	47	7	0	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	78	17	8	6	3
Rueben Bain Jr.	42	12	8	4	1
Branson Deen (Tr)	15	4	3	2	0
Wesley Bissainthe	41	7	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamren Kinchens	52	3	1	0	5
Daryl Porter Jr.	21	0	0	1	4
James Williams	72	1	0	2	4