Iowa at Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, January 1st 2022 (1:00 PM EST)
Kentucky -3 (43.5) (130) Open: -1.0 | 45.0
Kentucky 20 - Iowa: 17 (Vrbo Citrus Bowl)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1 (SP+ UK -2)
Projected Score: IOWA: 27 - UK: 22 (49)
UK Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 1071 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wildcats (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (52 - 50)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
IOWA Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0	55.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0	47.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5	41.0	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0	35.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5	40.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0	37.5	W 27 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0	37.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5	41.0	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0	43.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kentucky vs UL Monroe	-31.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Kentucky vs Missouri	-5.5	56.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Kentucky vs Chattanooga	-33.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kentucky at South Carolina	-4.5	49.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Kentucky vs Florida	+7.5	56.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Kentucky vs LSU	-2.0	50.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Kentucky at Georgia	+21.5	44.5	L 13 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+1.0	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+1.0	57.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/13	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-21.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-35.5	61.0	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Kentucky at Louisville	+3.0	58.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 1/1	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	.16	45%	29.3	48%	2.83	171	43%	198	3.95	.02	38%	16.1	39%	38%	3.17	39.6	1.1	2.3
UK	.12	43%	23	49%	3.07	196	35%	122	3.33	.13	45%	26.4	44%	46%	3.57	56	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	8	29.3	29.8	45.4%	3.95	1.1	20	369	171	198	4.6	52%	48%	48%	43%	14%	.16
UK Defense	11	26.4	22.6	45.3%	3.57	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	46%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	8	16.1	17.2	38.3%	3.17	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.02
UK Offense	11	23	31.7	43.4%	3.33	1.1	17	318	196	122	4.9	61%	38%	49%	35%	14%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	8	29:15	19.9	34%	67%	4.8	39.6	1.1	2.3	6.4	2.8	3	32.9
Kentucky	11	31:00	17.3	37%	47%	5.7	56	1.1	2	4.9	1.4	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	8	52%	48%	37	171.1	4.6	18	.14	2.83	84%	9%	0.9
UK Defense	11	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.86	59%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	8	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	59%	11%	0.8
UK Offense	11	61%	49%	39.8	196.4	4.9	19	.18	3.07	75%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	8	48%	43%	17.6	31	197.6	6.4	11.2	9	5	.19	1.2	31%	27%	.22	4%	1.8
UK Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.21	1.4	28%	36%	.39	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	8	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.08	1.5	31%	30%	.15	6%	1.8
UK Offense	11	38%	35%	13	21.9	121.8	5.6	9.4	7	5	.04	1.3	28%	22%	.15	5%	1.9

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: Kentucky: 6.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4 Kentucky: 13.4

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.7 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 #23
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #21
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #35

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 27
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/31	Kentucky	0	Iowa	21	Iowa -3.0	Iowa	31.5	Under
2021	01/01	Kentucky	20	Iowa	17	Kentucky -3	Push	43.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	1	0	0 Overs
Iowa	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Iowa Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Citrus Bowl	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20
2019	Holiday Bowl	Iowa vs USC	+1.5	54.5	W 49 - 24
2018	Outback Bowl	Iowa vs Mississippi State	+7.0	40.0	W 27 - 22
2017	Pinstripe Bowl	Iowa vs Boston College	-2.0	45.5	W 27 - 20
2016	Outback Bowl	Iowa vs Florida	+2.0	41.0	L 3 - 30
2015	Rose Bowl	Iowa vs Stanford	+6.5		L 16 - 45

Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Iowa	-3.0	43.5	W 20 - 17
2020	Gator Bowl	Kentucky vs NC State	-3.0	50.5	W 23 - 21
2019	N/A	Kentucky vs Virginia Tech	+2.0	47.0	W 37 - 30
2018	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24
2017	N/A	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24
2016	N/A	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33

(#) IOWA at (#) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	UK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#23
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#18
OffenseOff	#59	#4
DefenseDef	#13	#71
Spec TeamsST	#20	#60
TalentTal	#42	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa Injury Report

Kentucky Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	UK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#71
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#35
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#113	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#56

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#18	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -3.0 (43.5)
Kentucky won vs Iowa this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD