Clemson at NC State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -9.5 (44.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 24 - Clemson: 17 (ACC)

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CLEM 2nd straight Road Game
NCST coming off BYE
Our Line: Clemson -1.5 (SP+ CLEM -1.5)
Projected Score: CLEM: 26 - NCST: 24 (59)
CLEM Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
CLEM Travel: 245 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CLEM Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

NC State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	NC State at UConn	-14.5	47.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	NC State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/16	NC State vs VMI	-42.5	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	N
Fri 9/22	NC State at Virginia	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 9/29	NC State vs Louisville	+3.5	56.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/7	NC State vs Marshall	-6.5	44.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	NC State at Duke	+3.5	44.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	44.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/4	NC State vs Miami	+6.5	44.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/11	NC State at Wake Forest	+0.5	42.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.5	40.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/25	NC State vs North Carolina	+2.0	55.0	W 39 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	NC State vs Kansas State	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	.19	45%	34.7	49%	3.29	178	41%	232	4.14	.08	38%	23.4	39%	37%	3.22	48.2	1.6	1.7
NCST	.13	39%	28.5	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	30.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	14	34.7	30	44.9%	4.14	1.6	23	410	178	232	4.6	52%	48%	49%	41%	14%	.19
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	14	23.4	19.8	37.7%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	39%	37%	21%	.08
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	14	31:12	22.8	47%	50%	5.4	48.2	1.6	1.7	7.6	3.1	2	28.8
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	14	52%	49%	39.1	178.4	4.6	31	.2	3.29	78%	9%	0.93
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	14	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	64%	13%	0.92
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	14	48%	41%	21.2	34.1	231.9	6.8	10.9	24	10	.2	1.5	30%	30%	.21	5%	1.9
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	14	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.6	34%	25%	.2	8%	2.1
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 11.99 NC State: 10.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 10.9 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.03 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 26
NC State 24

Projected Total Points: 59

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Clemson	59	NC State	35	Clemson	Clemson -17	Clemson	44.0	Over
2023	10/28	NC State	24	Clemson	17	NC State	Clemson -9.5	NC State	44.5	Under
2022	10/01	Clemson	30	NC State	20	Clemson	Clemson -6.5	Clemson	46.0	Over
2021	09/25	NC State	27	Clemson	21	NC State	Clemson -10.5	NC State	46.5	Over
2019	11/09	NC State	10	Clemson	55	Clemson	Clemson -34	Clemson	54.5	Over
2018	10/20	Clemson	41	NC State	7	Clemson	Clemson -17.5	Clemson	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	NC State	31	Clemson	38	Clemson	Clemson -9.5	NC State	51.0	Over
2016	10/15	Clemson	24	NC State	17	Clemson	Clemson -17	NC State	60.0	Under
2015	10/31	NC State	41	Clemson	56	Clemson	Clemson -9.5	Clemson	50.5	Over
2014	10/04	Clemson	41	NC State	0	Clemson	Clemson -14	Clemson	0
2013	09/19	NC State	14	Clemson	26	Clemson	Clemson -13	NC State	0
2012	11/17	Clemson	62	NC State	48	Clemson
2011	11/19	NC State	37	Clemson	13	NC State
2010	11/06	Clemson	14	NC State	13	Clemson
2009	11/14	NC State	23	Clemson	43	Clemson
2008	09/13	Clemson	27	NC State	9	Clemson
2007	09/22	NC State	20	Clemson	42	Clemson
2006	11/11	Clemson	20	NC State	14	Clemson
2005	10/13	NC State	10	Clemson	31	Clemson
2004	10/30	Clemson	26	NC State	20	Clemson
2003	10/16	NC State	17	Clemson	15	NC State
2002	10/24	Clemson	6	NC State	38	NC State
2001	10/13	NC State	37	Clemson	45	Clemson
2000	10/06	Clemson	34	NC State	27	Clemson

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	5	5	6 Overs
Clemson	19	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 1	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 15	3 - 8	2 - 4	1 - 4

(#15) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.99 #15
Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Talent Rating: 1148.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00

Team Profile

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Clemson Ratings Matchup NC State

Power #15

#34

Off #88

#83

Def #8

#17

Talent #5

#58

SP+ #23

#30

SP+ Off #50

#69

SP+ Def #12

#16

Rematch from Week 9
Clemson 9.5 (44.5)
NC State won vs Clemson this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat NC State last year (59-35)
NC State beat Clemson in 2023 (24-17)
Clemson beat NC State in 2022 (30-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | NCST
Depth Chart: CLEM | NCST
Rosters: CLEM | NCST

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.03 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Clemson's OC Garrett Riley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	216	1115	8	5.2	83
Domonique Thomas	42	197	1	4.7	22
Wise Segars Jr.	2	14	0	7.0	12
Barrett Carter	1	4	1	4.0	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jake Briningstool	49	530	7	10.8	41
Beaux Collins	41	490	3	12.0	53
Phil Mafah	21	103	0	4.9	22
Sage Ennis	1	2	0	2.0	2

View Clemson's Full Roster

Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Payton Page	30	3	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Payton Page	30	3	1	0	1
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Andrew Mukuba	69	4	0	1	6

NC State's OC Robert Anae

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
MJ Morris	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7
Anthony Smith	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III	182	799	9	4.4	41
Jordan Houston	111	592	2	5.3	45
Michael Allen	19	108	0	5.7	36
Julian Gray	10	62	1	6.2	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith	41	799	6	19.5	64
Jordan Houston	13	173	1	13.3	75
Delbert Mimms III	19	147	1	7.7	20
Julian Gray	7	97	2	13.9	36

View NC State's Full Roster

NC State's DC Tony Gibson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
C.J. Clark	19	2	1	0	0
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Aydan White	59	0	0	5
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	4
Noah Potter (Tr)	20	2	2	3