Kentucky at South Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
South Carolina -2.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
South Carolina 17 - Kentucky: 14 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SC 3rd straight Home Game
SC is playing their 6th straight game
UK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kentucky -1.5 (SP+ UK -6)
Projected Score: UK: 27 - SC: 25 (52)
SC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 341 miles

Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Carolina vs North Carolina	-2.5	63.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Carolina vs Furman	-18.0	52.5	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	South Carolina at Georgia	+27.0	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Carolina vs Mississippi State	-6.0	46.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Carolina at Tennessee	+12.0	59.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Carolina vs Florida	+1.0	50.0	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Carolina at Missouri	+7.5	57.5	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/28	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+17.0	51.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/4	South Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-15.5	55.0	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	W 47 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Carolina vs Kentucky	-2.5	52.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	48.0	L 7 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#49 (.22)	40% (93)	29.1	41% (88)	2.79 (118)	128	40% (83)	212	4.46 (23)	#50 (.16)	43% (87)	25.8	42% (56)	45% (116)	3.95 (84)	50.8	1.5	1.4
SC	#67 (.2)	41% (86)	26	38% (120)	2.81 (117)	85	43% (54)	278	4.06 (51)	#80 (.2)	44% (92)	26.3	46% (97)	43% (85)	3.42 (36)	55.1	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	29.1	26.8	40%	4.46	1.5	17	339	128	212	4.9	43%	55%	41%	40%	18%	.22
SC Defense	12	26.3	22.3	43.8%	3.42	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	25.8	26	43.3%	3.95	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	45%	14%	.16
SC Offense	12	26	33.1	40.8%	4.06	1.1	18	363	85	278	2.8	41%	58%	38%	43%	20%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	27:34	16.9	38%	20%	6.1	50.8	1.5	1.4	5.5	2	6	29.3
South Carolina	12	28:17	18.1	34%	38%	7.1	55.1	1.1	1.4	4.6	1.8	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	43% (108)	41% (88)	26.1	127.7	4.9	18 (77)	.15 (71)	2.79 (118)	68% (106)	11% (79)	1.12 (17)
SC Defense	12	50% (72)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.16 (79)	3.2 (93)	77% (95)	8% (115)	0.86 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	48% (46)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.1 (40)	2.87 (29)	70% (48)	10% (75)	0.87 (18)
SC Offense	12	41% (122)	38% (120)	30.8	85.1	2.8	17 (81)	.03 (122)	2.81 (117)	74% (73)	14% (128)	0.94 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	55% (26)	40% (83)	16.2	28.8	211.6	7.4	13	25 (37)	11 (68)	.32 (54)	1.7 (25)	35% (114)	28% (88)	.31 (77)	8% (113)	2.2 (19)
SC Defense	12	49% (58)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (92)	1.6 (50)	30% (107)	29% (51)	.29 (53)	8% (14)	2.2 (114)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	51% (92)	45% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.23 (45)	1.4 (11)	31% (76)	30% (70)	.39 (104)	5% (114)	2.1 (75)
SC Offense	12	58% (12)	43% (54)	23.6	34.3	278	8.1	11.8	21 (65)	8 (30)	.33 (50)	1.6 (70)	37% (131)	30% (72)	.29 (81)	6% (81)	1.9 (111)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64 South Carolina: 4.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3 South Carolina: 3.4

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.905 #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50 #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58 #94
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 35 #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 27
South Carolina 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 26
Kentucky 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 28
Kentucky 26

Total Points: 54

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	13	South Carolina -5.5	South Carolina	46.5	Over
2024	09/07	Kentucky	6	South Carolina	31	Kentucky -9.5	South Carolina	41.5	Under
2023	11/18	South Carolina	17	Kentucky	14	South Carolina -2.5	South Carolina	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Kentucky	14	South Carolina	24	Kentucky -4	South Carolina	45.0	Under
2021	09/25	South Carolina	10	Kentucky	16	Kentucky -4.5	Kentucky	49.0	Under
2020	12/05	Kentucky	41	South Carolina	18	Kentucky -12	Kentucky	46.0	Over
2019	09/28	South Carolina	24	Kentucky	7	South Carolina -3.5	South Carolina	54.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kentucky	24	South Carolina	10	South Carolina -1	Kentucky	52.0	Under
2017	09/16	South Carolina	13	Kentucky	23	South Carolina -6	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2016	09/24	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	10	Kentucky -1.5	Kentucky	57.5	Under
2015	09/12	South Carolina	22	Kentucky	26	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	56.0	Under
2014	10/04	Kentucky	45	South Carolina	38	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	0
2013	10/05	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	28	South Carolina -21	Kentucky	0
2012	09/29	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	38
2011	10/08	South Carolina	54	Kentucky	3
2010	10/16	Kentucky	31	South Carolina	28
2009	10/10	South Carolina	28	Kentucky	26
2008	10/11	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2007	10/04	South Carolina	38	Kentucky	23
2006	10/07	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2005	10/08	South Carolina	44	Kentucky	16
2004	10/16	Kentucky	7	South Carolina	12
2003	10/09	South Carolina	27	Kentucky	21
2002	10/12	Kentucky	12	South Carolina	16
2001	10/06	South Carolina	42	Kentucky	6
2000	10/06	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	18	5	2 Overs
Kentucky	8	8	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#43) UK at (#56) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	SC
Power RatePwr	#43	#56
SP+SP+	#31	#54
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#94
OffenseOff	#65	#97
DefenseDef	#30	#95
Spec TeamsST	#60	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#20	#22

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#95
SuccessSuc	#93	#92
ExplosiveExp	#4	#15
PPAPPA	#49	#80
PowerPwr	#60	#94
SP+SP+	#44	#60
Pts POPPO	#23	#36
HavocHav	#102	#72

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#19	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	#88	#97
Run ExplRExp	#17	#17
PPAExp	#71	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#98	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#93
Stuff RateStuff	#131	#123
TackleTak	-	#24

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#83	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#25	#50
PPAExp	#54	#92
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#61	#45
F7 HavocF7	#79	#115
DB HavocDB	#113	#14

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	#30
SuccessSuc	#86	#87
ExplosiveExp	#43	#10
PPAPPA	#67	#50
PowerPwr	#66	#72
SP+SP+	#58	#33
Pts POPPO	#51	#84
HavocHav	#123	#111

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#102	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#120	#56
Run ExplRExp	#96	#18
PPAExp	#122	#40
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	#117	#29
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#26
TackleTak	-	#45

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#116
Pass ExplPExl	#70	#11
PPAExp	#50	#45
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#55
F7 HavocF7	#128	#75
DB HavocDB	#81	#114

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61°

Rematch from Week 12
South Carolina -2.5 (52.5)
South Carolina won vs Kentucky this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-14)

UK's OC Liam Coen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Devin Leary (Tr)	209	371	56%	2746	25	12	7.4
Kaiya Sheron	2	4	50%	5	0	0	1.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Re'Mahn Davis	199	1129	14	5.7	75
Ramon Jefferson	28	184	0	6.6	74
Barion Brown	12	147	1	12.3	26
Demie Sumo	20	139	1	7.0	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dane Key	42	636	6	15.1	58
Tayvion Robinson	41	552	4	13.5	56
Barion Brown	43	539	4	12.5	60
Re'Mahn Davis	33	323	7	9.8	58

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Eryk Jackson	89	8	2	2	4
Trevin Wallace	80	9	6	3	0
Maxwell Hairston	66	2	0	0	6
Zion Childress	58	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deone Walker	55	13	8	8	2
J.J. Weaver	44	8	6	2	2
Trevin Wallace	80	9	6	3	0
Octavious Oxendine	19	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maxwell Hairston	66	2	0	0	6
Andru Phillips	48	2	0	0	5
D'Eryk Jackson	89	8	2	2	4

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Spencer Rattler	275	399	69%	3186	19	8	8.0
Lanorris Sellers	4	4	100%	86	2	0	21.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson	143	707	3	4.9	75
Dakereon Joyner	50	120	5	2.4	16
Spencer Rattler	98	102	4	1.0	28
Juju McDowell	26	63	2	2.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Legette	71	1255	7	17.7	76
Trey Knox (Tr)	37	312	2	8.4	22
Ahmarean Brown	26	265	1	10.2	44
Joshua Simon (Tr)	28	256	2	9.1	33

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Debo Williams	113	9	1	2	2
Jalon Kilgore	76	2	0	0	6
DQ Smith	73	2	1	0	2
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Strachan	20	8	5	2	1
T.J. Sanders	43	10	5	4	4
Tyreek Johnson	16	4	3	2	0
Bam Martin-Scott	38	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcellas Dial	36	2	1	0	10
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8
Tonka Hemingway	32	5	2	6	7