Florida Atlantic at Clemson - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -25 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Clemson 48 - Florida Atlantic: 14

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CLEM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Clemson -21 (SP+ CLEM -21)
Projected Score: FAU: 16 - CLEM: 37 (54)
CLEM Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 596 miles

Tigers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (163 - 40)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Clemson's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/4	Clemson at Duke	-12.5	54.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Clemson vs Charleston Southern	-50.5	53.0	W 66 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/16	Clemson vs Florida Atlantic	-25.0	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Clemson vs Florida State	+2.0	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Clemson at Syracuse	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Clemson vs Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Clemson at Miami	-3.0	48.5	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Clemson at NC State	-9.5	44.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Clemson vs Notre Dame	+3.0	44.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Clemson vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	55.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Clemson vs North Carolina	-7.5	58.0	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Clemson at South Carolina	-7.5	48.0	W 16 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/29	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.26	45%	29.5	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	36.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9
CLEM	.19	45%	27.2	49%	3.29	178	41%	232	4.14	.08	38%	20.5	39%	37%	3.22	48.2	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26
CLEM Defense	14	20.5	24	37.7%	3.22	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	39%	37%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24
CLEM Offense	14	27.2	28	44.9%	4.14	1.6	23	410	178	232	4.6	52%	48%	49%	41%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3
Clemson	14	31:12	22.8	47%	50%	5.4	48.2	1.6	1.7	7.6	3.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1
CLEM Defense	14	42%	39%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	64%	13%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04
CLEM Offense	14	52%	49%	39.1	178.4	4.6	31	.2	3.29	78%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2
CLEM Defense	14	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.6	34%	25%	.2	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1
CLEM Offense	14	48%	41%	21.2	34.1	231.9	6.8	10.9	24	10	.2	1.5	30%	30%	.21	5%	1.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.02 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 582.59 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -4.02 Clemson: 13.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.9 Clemson: 10.9

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.945 #15
Clemson's Offense Rating: 14.49 #88
Clemson's Defense Rating: 0.46 #8
2023 Talent Rating: 917.88 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Clemson's 2023 Expected Record: 9.00 - 4.00
Clemson's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #23
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 37
Florida Atlantic 16

Projected Total Points: 54

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Clemson	48	Florida Atlantic	14	Clemson -25	Clemson	51.5	Over
2006	09/02	Clemson	54	Florida Atlantic	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	2	1	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#87) FAU at (#15) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	CLEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#87	#15
SP+SP+	#104	#23
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#31
OffenseOff	#92	#94
DefenseDef	#60	#2
Spec TeamsST	#81	#25
TalentTal	#71	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#5

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Clemson Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CLEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#2
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#112	#8
SP+SP+	#108	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#113	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#53	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Clemson on Offense


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#88	#67
SP+SP+	#50	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Clemson Run Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Clemson Pass Game


CategoryCat	CLEM Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Clemson -25.0 (51.5)
Clemson won vs Florida Atlantic this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (48-14)

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	290	454	64%	2844	19	9	6.3
Hunter Helms	9	12	75%	83	0	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	179	965	13	5.4	49
Will Shipley	167	827	5	5.0	33
Cade Klubnik	125	182	4	1.5	22
Domonique Thomas	18	116	1	6.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Brown	52	531	4	10.2	47
Beaux Collins	38	510	3	13.4	69
Jake Briningstool	50	498	5	10.0	50
Troy Stellato	39	337	1	8.6	18

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
Barrett Carter	56	8	3	4	5
R.J. Mickens	39	4	0	0	3
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.	79	13	6	8	5
T.J. Parker	32	13	6	5	1
Ruke Orhorhoro	23	8	5	3	1
Wade Woodaz	26	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shelton Lewis	10	0	0	0	7
Khalil Barnes	38	5	1	1	6
Andrew Mukuba	35	2	0	0	6