Akron at Kentucky - 2023 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -25 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 35 - Akron: 3

 
Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kentucky -26.5   (SP+ UK -31)
Projected Score: AKR: 11 - UK: 37 (47)
UK Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 264 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Akron's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Akron at Temple+9.555.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Akron vs Morgan State-25.046.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/16 Akron at Kentucky+25.048.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 9/23 Akron at Indiana+16.545.5L 27 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 Akron vs Buffalo-3.053.0L 10 - 13UN
Sat 10/7 Akron vs Northern Illinois+4.042.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 10/14 Akron at Central Michigan+10.544.0L 10 - 17UY
Sat 10/21 Akron at Bowling Green+7.037.0L 14 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Akron vs Kent State-4.039.0W 31 - 27ON
Wed 11/8 Akron at Miami (OH)+17.537.5L 0 - 19UN
Tue 11/14 Akron at Eastern Michigan+3.539.5L 27 - 30OY
Fri 11/24 Akron vs Ohio+13.541.5L 14 - 25UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR.1444%20.446%3.148643%2603.16.2744%3242%47%4.3454.31.80.8
UK.1140%20.643%311637%2083.23.0737%22.138%37%3.1539.51.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1220.416.943.8%3.161.82134686260337%62%46%43%30%.14
UK Defense1322.117.637.2%3.151.5 - - - - - 54%46%38%37%14%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense123237.344.1%4.340.8 - - - - - 54%45%42%47%20%.27
UK Offense1320.621.939.8%3.231.5183251162083.351%48%43%37%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1227:4121.234%50%654.31.80.84.81.5127.4
Kentucky1333:0817.634%62%5.739.51.51.541.5227.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1237%46%2985.5315.023.1470%20%0.81
UK Defense1354%38% - - - - .062.9162%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254%42% - - - - .122.9571%12%1.02
UK Offense1351%43%35.6116.23.39.05365%13%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1262%43%24.738.1260.36.810.61310.271.531%35%.3210%2.1
UK Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.141.534%26%.186%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245%47% - - - - - - 8.491.731%30%.48%2.2
UK Offense1348%37%17.226.8208.57.812.12113.231.934%28%.226%2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90   Kentucky: 8.97

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6   Kentucky: 9.3




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 37
Akron 11

Projected Total Points: 47
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Kentucky35Akron3KentuckyKentucky -25Kentucky48.5Under
201009/18Kentucky47Akron10Kentucky
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky210 Overs
Akron001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#130) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Team Profile






,
,







Akron     Ratings Matchup     Kentucky
Power #130
#43
Off #129
#60
Def #63
#72
Talent #117
#25
SP+ #128
#31
SP+ Off #132
#44
SP+ Def #90
#33

Rematch from Week 3
Kentucky -25.0 (48.5)
Kentucky won vs Akron this year (35-3)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Akron in 2023 (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: AKR | UK
Depth Chart: AKR | UK
Rosters: AKR | UK
(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






,
,









  
Akron's OC Billy Fessler
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tahj Bullock (Tr)223073%200006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Bullock (Tr)5313882.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Adrian Norton43832719.360
Jasaiah Gathings3230739.626
Connor Cravaack13147011.330
Tahj Bullock (Tr)106306.318

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish672111
Corey Thomas Jr.471002
Tyson Durant452026
Bennett Adler347351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bennett Adler347351
Kabbash Richards96200
Antavious Fish672111
Lama Lavea122110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant452026
Corey Thomas Jr.471002
Antavious Fish672111

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan61833%31021.7
Wilson Berry010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Vell Wright11564355.672
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Deuce Hogan4-30-0.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Shamar Porter6113318.839
Izayah Cummings333011.019
Ardell Banks220010.013

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Childress556162
Deone Walker375202
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
D'Eryk Jackson324103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade207410
J.J. Weaver317441
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Maxwell Hairston191104
D'Eryk Jackson324103