South Alabama at Troy - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Thursday, November 2nd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Troy -5.5 (44.5) (-250)  Open: -3.0
Troy 28 - South Alabama: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Troy -7   (SP+ TROY -7)
Projected Score: USA: 21 - TROY: 28 (49)
TROY Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USA Travel: 145 miles
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 17 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Alabama at Tulane+6.051.0L 17 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 South Alabama vs SE Louisiana-24.059.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 South Alabama at Oklahoma State+7.049.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 South Alabama vs Central Michigan-16.546.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 South Alabama at James Madison+1.048.5L 23 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 South Alabama at UL Monroe-11.051.5W 55 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-18.551.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/28 South Alabama vs Louisiana-11.555.0L 20 - 33UN
Thu 11/2 South Alabama at Troy+5.544.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-14.554.5W 21 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 South Alabama vs Marshall-10.544.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 South Alabama at Texas State-6.557.0L 44 - 52ON
Sat 12/23 South Alabama at Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30ON
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13UY
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Troy at UL Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Miss-16.548.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 12/2 Troy vs App State-6.551.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)33.142% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)2135% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
TROY#56 (.21)41% (78)29.642% (79)3.12 (66)15441% (79)2653.78 (78)#4 (.03)38% (27)17.137% (22)40% (43)2.96 (10)46.41.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1333.134.443%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28
TROY Defense1417.118.638.1%2.961.6 - - - - - 47%52%37%40%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense132124.636.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
TROY Offense1429.633.441.4%3.781.3214191542654.448%51%42%41%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Troy1430:5921.141%45%5.146.41.31.66.93.1130.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)
TROY Defense1447% (29)37% (22) - - - - -.03 (10)2.75 (18)60% (9)13% (9)0.97 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
TROY Offense1448% (85)42% (79)34.6153.94.419 (69).15 (75)3.12 (66)72% (88)10% (62)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)
TROY Defense1452% (105)40% (43) - - - - - - 10 (67).12 (11)1.4 (12)34% (36)28% (41).2 (16)5% (105)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
TROY Offense1451% (45)41% (79)19.932.6265.18.113.329 (18)6 (14).29 (66)1.7 (41)33% (85)29% (80).3 (78)6% (60)2.2 (31)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 3.95 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.95   Troy: 10.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.0   Troy: 10.4




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 28
South Alabama 21


Total Points: 49

Troy Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/15South Alabama25Troy9South AlabamaSouth Alabama -10South Alabama53.0Under
202311/02Troy28South Alabama10TroyTroy -5.5Troy44.5Under
202210/20South Alabama6Troy10TroySouth Alabama -3Troy47.0Under
202111/06Troy31South Alabama24TroyTroy -3.5Troy47.5Over
202012/05South Alabama0Troy29TroyTroy -4.5Troy53.5Under
201910/16Troy37South Alabama13TroyTroy -17.5Troy55.5Under
201810/23South Alabama17Troy38TroyTroy -11Troy52.5Over
201710/11Troy8South Alabama19South AlabamaTroy -18South Alabama51.5Under
201610/20South Alabama21Troy28TroyTroy -9South Alabama49.0Push
201510/03Troy18South Alabama24South AlabamaTroy -3South Alabama61.5Under
201410/24South Alabama27Troy13South AlabamaSouth Alabama -12South Alabama0
201310/05Troy34South Alabama33TroyTroy -2.5South Alabama0
201209/29South Alabama10Troy31Troy
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy962 Overs
South Alabama467 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 76 - 65 - 41 - 2
Road Teams7 - 66 - 62 - 14 - 5

(#41) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 3.95 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70


South Alabama has lost 1 straight
South Alabama has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama offense is explosive (#86)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama has a really good defense (#117)
South Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#130)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama Defensive Line is very good (#105)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTROYUSA
OverallOver#11#28
OffenseOff#22#36
DefenseDef#7#26
Special TeamsST#58#68
PassingPass#12#69
RushingRush#8#5
Run BlockRBLK#88#45
Pass BlockPBLK#72#94
Route RunningWR Rt#9#21
TacklingTkl#24#92
Run DefenseR Def#3#22
Pass Rush DefPRush#14#53
Coverage DefCov#18#52

Rematch from Week 10
Troy -5.5 (44.5)
Troy won vs South Alabama this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | TROY
Depth Chart: USA | TROY
Rosters: USA | TROY
(#35) Troy Info
Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00


Troy has won 5 straight
Troy has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy Highlights
Troy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Troy has a really good defense (#82)
Troy defense does not give up big plays (#50)
Troy defense is really good in red zone (#123)
Troy has a good run defense (#94)
Troy Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#110)
Troy Defensive Line is very good (#125)
Troy Front 7 is disruptive (#48)

Troy Deficiencies
Troy Fumbles a Lot (#1)


  
South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Bradley22132668%26601978.2
Giovanni Lopez416167%475427.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Damian Webb1861007165.465
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)8344845.434
Braylon McReynolds4623205.035
Marco Lee5322024.213
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caullin Lacy911316714.584
Jamaal Pritchett57883815.551
Damarcus Thomas2723558.733
Javon Ivory (Tr)20234111.739

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
James Miller674010
Jaden Voisin662006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
Jamie Sheriff4593120
Brock Higdon184351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rickey Fletcher3810111
Jaden Voisin662006
Yamarus Banks456133

Troy's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Watson26743861%35572768.1
Will Crowder (Tr)91369%94107.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kimani Vidal2961662145.669
Damien Taylor6734615.245
Asa Martin (Tr)2511404.616
Jarris Williams146914.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabre Barber74994513.452
Chris Lewis (Tr)327341022.964
Deshon Stoudemire43563113.151
Devonte Ross40428310.738

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald7510221
Dell Pettus734104
Jordan Stringer685130
Irshaad Davis662004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Solomon54171650
Richard Jibunor59191140
T.J. Jackson278422
Malaki Pegues93210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reddy Steward5041010
Don Callis261104
Irshaad Davis662004