Troy at Southern Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Troy -16.5 (48.5) (-850)  Open: -16.5 | 48.0
Troy 35 - Southern Miss: 17  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 6th straight game
TROY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -18   (SP+ TROY -25.5)

Projected Score: TROY: 35 - USM: 17 (54)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TROY Travel: 202 miles
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30ON
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13UY
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Troy at UL Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Miss-16.548.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 12/2 Troy vs App State-6.551.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-24.047.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss at Florida State+31.054.0L 13 - 66ON
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss vs Tulane+8.047.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 9/23 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-7.046.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 9/30 Southern Miss vs Texas State+6.560.0L 36 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Southern Miss vs Old Dominion-3.056.5L 13 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Southern Miss at South Alabama+18.551.0L 3 - 55ON
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss at App State+16.055.5L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/4 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-3.056.0W 24 - 7UY
Thu 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana+8.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+18.547.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss vs Troy+16.548.5L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1540%2640%2.9311641%2433.45.0840%28.442%38%3.0449.91.52.1
USM.1139%15.340%2.814239%2083.69.136%37.837%37%3.8659.521.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense142622.739.7%3.451.5203591162433.349%49%40%41%16%.15
USM Defense1337.83336.4%3.861.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%37%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1428.434.339.7%3.042.1 - - - - - 47%53%42%38%16%.08
USM Offense1315.319.538.6%3.692183491422083.953%45%40%39%19%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:2519.532%67%5.449.91.52.15.62.9129.7
Southern Miss1328:3817.934%63%6.759.521.87.83332.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1449%40%35.5116.13.321.072.9373%11%0.93
USM Defense1350%37% - - - - .082.7974%13%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447%42% - - - - .083.0972%10%0.89
USM Offense1353%40%36.6141.73.915.062.860%13%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1449%41%17.928.6242.68.513.52015.291.731%29%.25%1.9
USM Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 16.181.736%27%.216%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 13.11.432%26%.166%2.1
USM Offense1345%39%14.726.6207.57.814.12014.251.733%26%.266%2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08   Southern Miss: -10.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4   Southern Miss: -15.2




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 35
Southern Miss 17


Projected Total Points: 54
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Troy52Southern Miss20TroyTroy -17.5Troy48.5Over
202311/25Southern Miss17Troy35TroyTroy -16.5Troy48.5Over
202210/08Troy27Southern Miss10TroyTroy -7Troy44.0Under
202109/18Southern Miss9Troy21TroyTroy -11Troy49.0Under
201909/14Troy42Southern Miss47Southern MissTroy -3Southern Miss49.0Over
201609/17Southern Miss31Troy37TroySouthern Mississippi -11.5Troy61.0Over
200812/21Troy27Southern Miss30Southern Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss214 Overs
Troy552 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 52 - 42 - 20 - 2
Road Teams5 - 24 - 22 - 02 - 2

(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Team Profile






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Troy     Ratings Matchup     Southern Miss
Power #35
#119
Off #64
#116
Def #14
#102
Talent #123
#111
SP+ #26
#118
SP+ Off #34
#85
SP+ Def #26
#125

Rematch from Week 13
Troy 16.5 (48.5)
Troy won at Southern Miss this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TROY | USM
Depth Chart: TROY | USM
Rosters: TROY | USM
(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile






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Troy's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JD Sherrod2729%18002.6
Landon Parker (Tr)1333%29009.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
JD Sherrod136705.230
Jabre Barber82603.38
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabre Barber38381210.058
Landon Parker (Tr)27350013.033

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald12510483
Keyshawn Swanson632002
Damaje Yancey494208
Jack Tchienchou471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Jackson4014710
Jayden McDonald12510483
Damaje Yancey494208
Caleb Ransaw313102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaje Yancey494208
Jayden McDonald12510483
Keyshawn Swanson632002

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Pittman11100%250025.0
Holman Edwards (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)12460414.954
Chandler Pittman2703.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)135103.919
Chandler Pittman85106.425

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Jones463033
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)412010
Jalil Clemons347330
Kristin Booth103220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Clemons347330
Kristin Booth103220
Jay Jones463033
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)412010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Jones463033
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)412010
Jalil Clemons347330