Stephen F. Austin at Troy - 2023 Matchup Preview

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Troy Trojans

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -26 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Troy 48 - Stephen F. Austin: 30

Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 27 (0 - 27 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Troy -10 (SP+ TROY -10)
TROY Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SFA Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Stephen F. Austin at Troy	+26.0	48.0	L 30 - 48	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stephen F. Austin's Schedule

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SFA		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	27	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY	.15	40%	23.5	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	23.9	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SFA Offense	1	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TROY Defense	14	23.9	22.8	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SFA Defense	1	27	27	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TROY Offense	14	23.5	25.3	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stephen F. Austin	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SFA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SFA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SFA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SFA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9

Stephen F. Austin's Power Ratings
Stephen F. Austin's Power Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 172.29 #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Expected Record: -
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 196.23
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin: Troy: 10.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin: Troy: 10.4

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 454.06 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Stephen F. Austin Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 27
Stephen F. Austin 17

Projected Total Points: 43

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Troy	48	Stephen F. Austin	30	Troy -26	Stephen F. Austin	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	1	0	1 Overs
Stephen F. Austin	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) SFA at (#35) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SFA	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#35
SP+SP+	NR	#26
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#13
OffenseOff	NR	#25
DefenseDef	NR	#9
Spec TeamsST	NR	#72
TalentTal	#143	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Stephen F. Austin Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

Stephen F. Austin on Offense


CategoryCat	SFA Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#14
SP+SP+	NR	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stephen F. Austin Run Game


CategoryCat	SFA Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	NR	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

Stephen F. Austin Pass Game


CategoryCat	SFA Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#15
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	SFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#64	NR
SP+SP+	#34	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	SFA Def
Run GameRun	#8	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	SFA Def
Pass GamePass	#13	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#84	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

SFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Troy -26.0 (48.0)
Troy won vs Stephen F. Austin this year (48-30)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Stephen F. Austin in 2023 (48-30)

SFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerrell Wimbley	195	1017	9	5.2	48
Jaylen Jenkins	95	422	6	4.4	32
Anthony Williams	22	94	1	4.3	16
Kylon Harris	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kylon Harris	86	1068	10	12.4	76
Jerrell Wimbley	22	150	0	6.8	19
Jaylen Jenkins	8	24	0	3.0	7
Lavar Lindo	1	7	0	7.0	7

View Stephen F. Austin's Full Roster

SFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaydon Southard	18	3	0	0	0
Brandon Lane	11	3	1	1	1
Elijah Fields	7	1	0	0	0
Aaron Sears	7	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Lane	11	3	1	1	1
Jaydon Southard	18	3	0	0	0
Elijah Fields	7	1	0	0	0
Aaron Sears	7	1	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Lane	11	3	1	1	1
Aaron Sears	7	1	0	0	1
Jaydon Southard	18	3	0	0	0

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gunnar Watson	267	438	61%	3557	27	6	8.1
Will Crowder (Tr)	9	13	69%	94	1	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kimani Vidal	296	1662	14	5.6	69
Damien Taylor	67	346	1	5.2	45
Asa Martin (Tr)	25	114	0	4.6	16
Jarris Williams	14	69	1	4.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jabre Barber	74	994	5	13.4	52
Chris Lewis (Tr)	32	734	10	22.9	64
Deshon Stoudemire	43	563	1	13.1	51
Devonte Ross	40	428	3	10.7	38

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald	75	10	2	2	1
Dell Pettus	73	4	1	0	4
Jordan Stringer	68	5	1	3	0
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Solomon	54	17	16	5	0
Richard Jibunor	59	19	11	4	0
T.J. Jackson	27	8	4	2	2
Malaki Pegues	9	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Reddy Steward	50	4	1	10
Don Callis	26	1	1	4
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	4