Stephen F. Austin at Troy - 2023 Matchup Preview
Stephen F. Austin logo Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -26 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 48 - Stephen F. Austin: 30

 
Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 48 (30 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Troy -10  (SP+ TROY -10)
TROY Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 17 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Stephen F. Austin at Troy+26.048.0L 30 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stephen F. Austin's Schedule
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30ON
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13UY
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Troy at UL Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Miss-16.548.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 12/2 Troy vs App State-6.551.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%300%000%000%480%0%0000
TROY#56 (.21)41% (78)29.642% (79)3.12 (66)15441% (79)2653.78 (78)#4 (.03)38% (27)17.137% (22)40% (43)2.96 (10)46.41.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TROY Defense1417.118.638.1%2.961.6 - - - - - 47%52%37%40%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Defense148480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TROY Offense1429.633.441.4%3.781.3214191542654.448%51%42%41%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stephen F. Austin10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Troy1430:5921.141%45%5.146.41.31.66.93.1130.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TROY Defense1447% (29)37% (22) - - - - -.03 (10)2.75 (18)60% (9)13% (9)0.97 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TROY Offense1448% (85)42% (79)34.6153.94.419 (69).15 (75)3.12 (66)72% (88)10% (62)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TROY Defense1452% (105)40% (43) - - - - - - 10 (67).12 (11)1.4 (12)34% (36)28% (41).2 (16)5% (105)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TROY Offense1451% (45)41% (79)19.932.6265.18.113.329 (18)6 (14).29 (66)1.7 (41)33% (85)29% (80).3 (78)6% (60)2.2 (31)

Stephen F. Austin's Power Ratings
Stephen F. Austin's Power Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Expected Record: -
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Troy: 10.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Troy: 10.4




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 10.24  #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62  #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67  #14
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4  #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Stephen F. Austin Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 32
Stephen F. Austin 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 39
Stephen F. Austin 16

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Troy 40
Stephen F. Austin 24

Total Points: 64
Troy Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Troy48Stephen F. Austin30Troy -26Stephen F. Austin48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy101 Overs
Stephen F. Austin010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) SFA at (#35) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSFATROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #35
SP+SP+NR #26
Perf GradeGradeNR #13
OffenseOffNR #25
DefenseDefNR #9
Spec TeamsSTNR #72
TalentTal #143 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Stephen F. Austin on Offense
CategoryCat
SFA OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #9
SuccessSucNR #27
ExplosiveExpNR #28
PPAPPANR #4
PowerPwrNR #14
SP+SP+NR #26
Pts POPPONR #10
HavocHavNR #25
Stephen F. Austin Run Game
CategoryCat
SFA OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNR #4
Run SuccessRSucNR #22
Run ExplRExpNR #48
PPAExpNR #10
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #18
Stuff RateStuffNR #15
TackleTak -  #26
Stephen F. Austin Pass Game
CategoryCat
SFA OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNR #21
Pass SuccessPSucNR #43
Pass ExplPExlNR #12
PPAExpNR #11
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #15
F7 HavocF7NR #9
DB HavocDBNR #105
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffSFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25NR
SuccessSuc #78NR
ExplosiveExp #33NR
PPAPPA #56NR
PowerPwr #64NR
SP+SP+ #34NR
Pts POPPO #78NR
HavocHav #63NR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffSFA Def
Run GameRun #8NR
Run SuccessRSuc #79NR
Run ExplRExp #50NR
PPAExp #75NR
Run BlockR Blk #117 -
OL YdsOLY #66NR
Stuff RateStuff #89NR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffSFA Def
Pass GamePass #13NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #79NR
Pass ExplPExl #41NR
PPAExp #66NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #84NR
F7 HavocF7 #62NR
DB HavocDB #60NR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

SFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81°
Rematch from Week 1
Troy -26.0 (48.0)
Troy won vs Stephen F. Austin this year (48-30)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Stephen F. Austin in 2023 (48-30)

  
SFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stephen F. Austin's Full Roster

SFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Walker61001
Aaron Sears61000
Bruce Harmon41010
Jermaine Brown41100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermaine Brown41100
Jeremiah Walker61001
Aaron Sears61000
Bruce Harmon41010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Fields20001
Jeremiah Walker61001
Tim Muhammad10001

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Watson26743861%35572768.1
Will Crowder (Tr)91369%94107.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kimani Vidal2961662145.669
Damien Taylor6734615.245
Asa Martin (Tr)2511404.616
Jarris Williams146914.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabre Barber74994513.452
Chris Lewis (Tr)327341022.964
Deshon Stoudemire43563113.151
Devonte Ross40428310.738

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald7510221
Dell Pettus734104
Jordan Stringer685130
Irshaad Davis662004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Solomon54171650
Richard Jibunor59191140
T.J. Jackson278422
Malaki Pegues93210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reddy Steward5041010
Don Callis261104
Irshaad Davis662004