Stephen F. Austin at Troy - 2023 Matchup Preview
Stephen F. Austin logo Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -26 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 48 - Stephen F. Austin: 30

 
Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 48 (30 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Troy -10   (SP+ TROY -10)
TROY Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 17 (33 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Stephen F. Austin at Troy+26.048.0L 30 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stephen F. Austin's Schedule
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30ON
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13UY
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Troy at UL Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Miss-16.548.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 12/2 Troy vs App State-6.551.5W 49 - 23OY
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%300%000%000%480%0%0000
TROY#56 (.21)41% (78)29.642% (79)3.12 (66)15441% (79)2653.78 (78)#4 (.03)38% (27)17.137% (22)40% (43)2.96 (10)46.41.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Offense130300%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TROY Defense1417.118.638.1%2.961.6 - - - - - 47%52%37%40%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SFA Defense148480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TROY Offense1429.633.441.4%3.781.3214191542654.448%51%42%41%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stephen F. Austin10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Troy1430:5921.141%45%5.146.41.31.66.93.1130.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TROY Defense1447% (29)37% (22) - - - - -.03 (10)2.75 (18)60% (9)13% (9)0.97 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TROY Offense1448% (85)42% (79)34.6153.94.419 (69).15 (75)3.12 (66)72% (88)10% (62)1.03 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TROY Defense1452% (105)40% (43) - - - - - - 10 (67).12 (11)1.4 (12)34% (36)28% (41).2 (16)5% (105)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SFA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TROY Offense1451% (45)41% (79)19.932.6265.18.113.329 (18)6 (14).29 (66)1.7 (41)33% (85)29% (80).3 (78)6% (60)2.2 (31)

Stephen F. Austin's Power Ratings
Stephen F. Austin's Power Rating: #NR
Stephen F. Austin's Offense Rating: #NR
Stephen F. Austin's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Expected Record: -
Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stephen F. Austin's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stephen F. Austin's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Troy: 10.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stephen F. Austin:    Troy: 10.4




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Stephen F. Austin Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Stephen F. Austin's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 33
Stephen F. Austin 23


Total Points: 56

Troy Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Troy48Stephen F. Austin30TroyTroy -26Stephen F. Austin48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy101 Overs
Stephen F. Austin010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Stephen F. Austin Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #143
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Stephen F. Austin Highlights
Stephen F. Austin is Undefeated vs Spread


Stephen F. Austin Deficiencies
Stephen F. Austin Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTROYSFA
OverallOver#11
OffenseOff#22
DefenseDef#7
Special TeamsST#58
PassingPass#12
RushingRush#8
Run BlockRBLK#88
Pass BlockPBLK#72
Route RunningWR Rt#9
TacklingTkl#24
Run DefenseR Def#3
Pass Rush DefPRush#14
Coverage DefCov#18

Rematch from Week 1
Troy -26.0 (48.0)
Troy won vs Stephen F. Austin this year (48-30)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Stephen F. Austin in 2023 (48-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SFA | TROY
Depth Chart: SFA | TROY
Rosters: SFA | TROY
(#35) Troy Info
Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00


Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy Highlights
Troy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Troy has a really good defense (#82)
Troy defense does not give up big plays (#50)
Troy defense is really good in red zone (#123)
Troy has a good run defense (#94)
Troy Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#110)
Troy Defensive Line is very good (#125)
Troy Front 7 is disruptive (#48)

Troy Deficiencies
Troy Fumbles a Lot (#1)


  
Stephen F. Austin's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stephen F. Austin's Full Roster
Stephen F. Austin's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Walker61001
Aaron Sears61000
Bruce Harmon41010
Jermaine Brown41100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermaine Brown41100
Jeremiah Walker61001
Aaron Sears61000
Bruce Harmon41010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Fields20001
Jeremiah Walker61001
Tim Muhammad10001

Troy's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Watson26743861%35572768.1
Will Crowder (Tr)91369%94107.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kimani Vidal2961662145.669
Damien Taylor6734615.245
Asa Martin (Tr)2511404.616
Jarris Williams146914.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabre Barber74994513.452
Chris Lewis (Tr)327341022.964
Deshon Stoudemire43563113.151
Devonte Ross40428310.738

View Troy's Full Roster
Troy's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald7510221
Dell Pettus734104
Jordan Stringer685130
Irshaad Davis662004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javon Solomon54171650
Richard Jibunor59191140
T.J. Jackson278422
Malaki Pegues93210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reddy Steward5041010
Don Callis261104
Irshaad Davis662004