Louisiana at Troy - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Troy -17.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Troy 31 - Louisiana: 24 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY is playing their 4th straight game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Troy -12 (SP+ TROY -10)
Projected Score: ULL: 19 - TROY: 31 (55)
TROY Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ULL Travel: 377 miles

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.13	40%	30.9	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	24.1	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2
TROY	.15	40%	26	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	28.4	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	30.9	32	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13
TROY Defense	14	28.4	22.5	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	24.1	20.8	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17
TROY Offense	14	26	29.3	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82 Troy: 10.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3 Troy: 10.4

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 31
Louisiana 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Louisiana	51	Troy	30	Louisiana	Louisiana -7.5	Louisiana	51.5	Over
2023	11/18	Troy	31	Louisiana	24	Troy	Troy -17.5	Louisiana	47.5	Over
2022	11/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	23	Troy	Troy -3.5	Troy	42.5	Under
2021	11/13	Troy	21	Louisiana	35	Louisiana	Louisiana -6.5	Louisiana	48.0	Over
2019	11/23	Louisiana	53	Troy	3	Louisiana	Louisiana -13	Louisiana	74.5	Under
2018	11/03	Troy	26	Louisiana	16	Troy	Troy -7.5	Troy	64.5	Under
2015	12/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	41	Troy	Louisiana -2	Troy	57.0	Over
2014	11/29	Troy	23	Louisiana	42	Louisiana	Louisiana -9.5	Louisiana	59.5	Over
2013	11/07	Louisiana	41	Troy	36	Louisiana	Louisiana -13	Troy	0
2012	09/08	Troy	24	Louisiana	37	Louisiana
2011	10/08	Louisiana	31	Troy	17	Louisiana
2010	10/16	Troy	31	Louisiana	24	Troy
2009	11/28	Louisiana	31	Troy	48	Troy
2008	11/22	Troy	48	Louisiana	3	Troy
2007	09/22	Louisiana	31	Troy	48	Troy
2006	11/04	Troy	42	Louisiana	28	Troy
2005	10/29	Louisiana	31	Troy	28	Louisiana
2004	11/13	Louisiana	10	Troy	13	Troy

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	10	4	5 Overs
Louisiana	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	3 - 6	3 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 10	6 - 3	3 - 0	3 - 3

(#86) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Louisiana Ratings Matchup Troy

Power #86

#35

Off #41

#64

Def #107

#14

Talent #93

#123

SP+ #64

#26

SP+ Off #37

#34

SP+ Def #102

#26

Rematch from Week 12
Troy -17.5 (47.5)
Troy won vs Louisiana this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Troy last year (51-30)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2023 (31-24)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2022 (23-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | TROY
Depth Chart: ULL | TROY
Rosters: ULL | TROY

(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.24 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Team Profile

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Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18
Chandler Fields	26	88	2	3.4	34
Lance LeGendre	1	10	0	10.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52
Tavion Smith	12	168	4	14.0	56
Dalen Cambre	5	46	0	9.2	13

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3

Troy's OC Joe Craddock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JD Sherrod	2	7	29%	18	0	0	2.6
Landon Parker (Tr)	1	3	33%	29	0	0	9.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
JD Sherrod	13	67	0	5.2	30
Jabre Barber	8	26	0	3.3	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jabre Barber	38	381	2	10.0	58
Landon Parker (Tr)	27	350	0	13.0	33

View Troy's Full Roster

Troy's DC Greg Gasparato

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Keyshawn Swanson	63	2	0	0	2
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Jack Tchienchou	47	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson	40	14	7	1	0
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Caleb Ransaw	31	3	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Keyshawn Swanson	63	2	0	0	2