Troy at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Troy -6.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Troy 19 - Army: 0

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARMY 2nd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Troy -14 (SP+ TROY -15.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 29 - ARMY: 15 (45)
TROY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 937 miles, 1 hrs behind

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	40%	23.5	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	23.9	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1
ARMY	.27	45%	23.8	48%	3.33	289	28%	77	4.25	.22	48%	21.6	50%	47%	3.69	38.8	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	23.5	23.4	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	24.2	47.9%	3.69	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	50%	47%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	23.9	25.9	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	25.6	44.5%	4.25	1	18	366	289	77	5.4	85%	14%	48%	28%	11%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7
Army	12	31:37	17.6	44%	53%	4.8	38.8	1	1.7	3.8	1.5	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93
ARMY Defense	12	61%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	74%	8%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89
ARMY Offense	12	85%	48%	53.8	288.9	5.4	38	.27	3.33	74%	8%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9
ARMY Defense	12	37%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.33	1.5	26%	34%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1
ARMY Offense	12	14%	28%	3.5	8.7	77	8.9	22	5	4	.32	2.3	25%	23%	.34	3%	2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 454.06 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08 Army: -6.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4 Army: -5.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.225 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 20.00 #223
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 29
Army 15

Projected Total Points: 45

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Army	0	Troy	19	Troy -6.5	Troy	41.5	Under
2022	11/12	Troy	10	Army	9	Troy -8.5	Army	45.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	0	1	0 Overs
Troy	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#35) TROY at (#125) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	ARMY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#35	#125
SP+SP+	#26	#82
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#76
OffenseOff	#25	#100
DefenseDef	#9	#63
Spec TeamsST	#72	#12
TalentTal	#101	#223
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Troy Injury Report

Army Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ARMY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#64	#93
SP+SP+	#34	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	#8	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Army on Offense


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#100	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#111	#14
SP+SP+	#113	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Army Run Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#117	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

Army Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#15
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Troy 6.5 (41.5)
Troy won at Army this year (19-0)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Army in 2023 (19-0)

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gunnar Watson	267	438	61%	3557	27	6	8.1
Will Crowder (Tr)	9	13	69%	94	1	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kimani Vidal	296	1662	14	5.6	69
Damien Taylor	67	346	1	5.2	45
Asa Martin (Tr)	25	114	0	4.6	16
Jarris Williams	14	69	1	4.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jabre Barber	74	994	5	13.4	52
Chris Lewis (Tr)	32	734	10	22.9	64
Deshon Stoudemire	43	563	1	13.1	51
Devonte Ross	40	428	3	10.7	38

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald	75	10	2	2	1
Dell Pettus	73	4	1	0	4
Jordan Stringer	68	5	1	3	0
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Solomon	54	17	16	5	0
Richard Jibunor	59	19	11	4	0
T.J. Jackson	27	8	4	2	2
Malaki Pegues	9	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Reddy Steward	50	4	1	10
Don Callis	26	1	1	4
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	4

ARMY's OC Matt Drinkall (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	60	120	50%	913	7	6	7.6
Champ Harris	19	35	54%	260	0	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	214	902	7	4.2	62
Kanye Udoh	99	524	1	5.3	23
Hayden Reed	50	205	2	4.1	27
Tyrell Robinson	39	187	2	4.8	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Alston	9	266	2	29.6	70
Noah Short	18	252	2	14.0	80
Casey Reynolds	16	237	0	14.8	69
Tobi Olawole	7	101	0	14.4	43

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Kalib Fortner	55	3	2	1	0
Max DiDomenico	47	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leo Lowin	75	5	3	0	1
Jack Latore	20	4	3	0	0
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Jimmy Ciarlo	47	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabari Moore	35	3	0	0	6
Quindrelin Hammonds	57	4	3	0	2
Cameron Jones	34	3	1	1	2