Troy at UL Monroe - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Troy -23.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Troy 45 - UL Monroe: 14 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Troy -25 (SP+ TROY -33)
Projected Score: TROY: 36 - ULM: 11 (47)
TROY Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
TROY Travel: 361 miles

Warhawks (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (10 - 17)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.7 - 9.3 (#131)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UL Monroe vs Army	+8.5	47.0	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UL Monroe vs Lamar	-26.0	48.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/16	UL Monroe at Texas A&M	+36.5	53.5	L 3 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	UL Monroe vs App State	+13.5	50.5	L 40 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+11.0	51.5	L 7 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	UL Monroe at Texas State	+18.5	64.5	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UL Monroe at Georgia Southern	+16.5	60.5	L 28 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-1.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	UL Monroe at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	47.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	UL Monroe at Ole Miss	+35.5	59.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+12.5	53.0	L 21 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	40%	23.5	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	23.9	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1
ULM	.14	39%	16.6	41%	3.07	121	38%	205	4.13	.24	45%	31.9	45%	46%	4.06	44.8	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	23.5	23.4	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15
ULM Defense	12	31.9	22	45.1%	4.06	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	45%	46%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	23.9	25.9	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08
ULM Offense	12	16.6	18.2	39.1%	4.13	1.3	18	326	121	205	3.5	48%	52%	41%	38%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7
UL Monroe	12	29:28	17.8	40%	36%	4.9	44.8	1.3	0.8	5.8	1.7	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93
ULM Defense	12	54%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.16	66%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89
ULM Offense	12	48%	41%	34.8	120.6	3.5	16	.12	3.07	68%	12%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9
ULM Defense	12	45%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.33	1.6	33%	34%	.37	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1
ULM Offense	12	52%	38%	18.4	27.6	205.3	7.4	11.2	16	7	.21	1.7	36%	27%	.19	5%	2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 454.06 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08 UL Monroe: -17.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4 UL Monroe: -22.5

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.47 #132
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 6.82 #131
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 13.52 #108
2023 Talent Rating: 336.22 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UL Monroe's 2023 Expected Record: 2.70 - 9.30
UL Monroe's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.5 #132
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #117
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #130

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 36
UL Monroe 11

Projected Total Points: 47

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	UL Monroe	14	Troy	37	Troy -4.5	Troy	45.5	Over
2024	09/28	Troy	9	UL Monroe	13	Troy -6	UL Monroe	46.0	Under
2023	11/11	UL Monroe	14	Troy	45	Troy -23.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2022	11/19	Troy	34	UL Monroe	16	Troy -15	Troy	48.5	Over
2021	09/25	UL Monroe	29	Troy	16	Troy -23.5	UL Monroe	49.5	Under
2018	09/22	UL Monroe	27	Troy	35	Troy -4.5	Troy	59.0	Over
2015	11/07	Troy	51	UL Monroe	14	Troy -5	Troy	52.0	Over
2014	09/27	UL Monroe	22	Troy	20	Louisiana Monroe -10.5	Troy	0
2013	10/31	Troy	37	UL Monroe	49	Troy -3	UL Monroe	0
2011	10/15	Troy	10	UL Monroe	38
2010	10/30	UL Monroe	28	Troy	14
2009	10/31	Troy	42	UL Monroe	21
2008	11/01	UL Monroe	31	Troy	30
2007	09/29	Troy	24	UL Monroe	7
2006	10/14	Troy	24	UL Monroe	19
2005	10/15	UL Monroe	27	Troy	3
2003	11/22	Troy	28	UL Monroe	24
2001	11/10	UL Monroe	12	Troy	44

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	8	3	5 Overs
Troy	10	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	3 - 6	2 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 1	3 - 2

(#35) TROY at (#132) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TROY	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#35	#132
SP+SP+	#26	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#128
OffenseOff	#25	#129
DefenseDef	#9	#117
Spec TeamsST	#72	#70
TalentTal	#101	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Troy Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#25	#117
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#64	#108
SP+SP+	#34	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#8	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#41

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#129	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#131	#14
SP+SP+	#117	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#111	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#26

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#67	#15
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Troy 23.5 (47.5)
Troy won at UL Monroe this year (45-14)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat UL Monroe last year (37-14)
UL Monroe beat Troy in 2024 (13-9)
Troy beat UL Monroe in 2023 (45-14)

TROY's OC Joe Craddock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gunnar Watson	267	438	61%	3557	27	6	8.1
Will Crowder (Tr)	9	13	69%	94	1	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kimani Vidal	296	1662	14	5.6	69
Damien Taylor	67	346	1	5.2	45
Asa Martin (Tr)	25	114	0	4.6	16
Jarris Williams	14	69	1	4.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jabre Barber	74	994	5	13.4	52
Chris Lewis (Tr)	32	734	10	22.9	64
Deshon Stoudemire	43	563	1	13.1	51
Devonte Ross	40	428	3	10.7	38

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald	75	10	2	2	1
Dell Pettus	73	4	1	0	4
Jordan Stringer	68	5	1	3	0
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javon Solomon	54	17	16	5	0
Richard Jibunor	59	19	11	4	0
T.J. Jackson	27	8	4	2	2
Malaki Pegues	9	3	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Reddy Steward	50	4	1	10
Don Callis	26	1	1	4
Irshaad Davis	66	2	0	4

ULM's OC Matt Kubik (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jiya Wright	107	204	53%	1246	10	8	6.1
Blake Murphy	53	104	51%	721	4	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hunter Smith	94	507	3	5.4	62
Isaiah Woullard	98	447	1	4.6	44
Bennett Galloway	44	287	0	6.5	41
Jiya Wright	99	264	2	2.7	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyrone Howell	49	590	7	12.0	46
Dariyan Wiley	24	400	2	16.7	68
Devaughn Mortimer	15	291	0	19.4	54
NyNy Davis (Tr)	28	222	2	7.9	51

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Vic Koenning (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton	79	3	1	3	0
Max Harris	79	1	0	0	2
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
JaTerious Evans	62	6	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adin Huntington	62	16	9	4	2
Kenard Snyder	60	15	6	3	2
Dylan Howell	34	4	3	1	2
James Smith	11	4	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Watts	50	1	1	6
Car'lin Vigers	54	0	0	3
Lucius Tillery	30	0	0	3